Spartak Moskva vs Krasnodar Preview, Predictions, Analysis & Tips

2025/2026 Premier League, Russia

Otkrytie Arena Thu, 23 Apr - 4:45 PM

Premier League

Spartak Moskva Spartak Moskva

Krasnodar KRA

KICKOFF : Thu, 23 Apr - 4:45 PM

Round 26 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Sixth-placed Spartak Moskva host Premier League leaders Krasnodar at Otkrytie Arena in a crucial 2025/2026 Regular Season match. The visitors hold a power score edge of 4.2 points having registered 35.37 to the hosts' 31.13, marking them as the stronger side. However, recent form is identical with both clubs on 61.11 and sharing a W3 D2 L1 record across their last six games. Spartak drew at home versus Akhmat Grozny last time out while Krasnodar were held by Baltika Kaliningrad at their own ground. Home advantage could play a pivotal role as Spartak seek to upset the table toppers and improve their standing. This promises to be a competitive fixture between two well-matched teams in terms of current momentum despite the league gap.

TL;DR

Structural: Leaders Krasnodar hold 4.2pt power advantage over 6th-placed Spartak at Otkrytie Arena.
Form: Matching form scores of 61.11 and W3 D2 L1 records. Both sides drew last match.
Squad: No major absences anticipated. Both teams set to deploy competitive starting lineups.
Efficiency: Efficiency data unavailable for pre-match assessment.
Transition: Transition effectiveness tilts towards Krasnodar given their superior power rating.
Set pieces: Low confidence set piece metrics rely on proxies showing balanced reliance.
xVariable: xG and related variables not available limiting deeper statistical insights.
Market: Projection split: Spartak Moskva 0% (Δ+0%) | Draw 0% (Δ+0%) | Krasnodar 0% (Δ+0%).

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Jan 25 vs Team A

Feb 1 vs Team B

Feb 8 vs Team C

D. Stankovic

M. Musaev

1.85

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

2.15

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

17 - 2 - 10

No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Spartak Moskva

Draw

Krasnodar

Team Power Ranking

31.13

35.37

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Spartak Moskva

Krasnodar

Power Score

31.13

35.37

League Position

Global Rank

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

Spartak Moskva — Opponent-weighted form score

Krasnodar — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Spartak Moskva Krasnodar

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 29 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Spartak Moskva Spartak Moskva Home

29 matches

Krasnodar KRA Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

+15

Goal Difference

-15

Expected Goals

xGA

Data last updated: 2026-04-16T02:14:57+00:00

General Information

Date & Time

Apr 23, 2026, 04:45 PM

Competition

2025/2026 Premier League, Russia · Round 26 · Regular Season

Stadium

Otkrytie Arena

Capacity

14274

Pitch Surface

N/A

Weather

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Manager ▼

D. Stankovic Coach

Squad ▼

Ilya Pomazun Goalkeeper

Aleksandr Maximenko Goalkeeper

Aleksandr Dovbnya Goalkeeper

Alexander Djiku Defender

Srđan Babić Defender

Oleg Reabciuk Defender

Ilya Samoshnikov Defender

Ruslan Litvinov Defender

Christopher Wooh Defender

Daniil Denisov Defender

Christopher Martins Pereira Midfielder

Gedson Carvalho Fernandes Midfielder

Roman Zobnin Midfielder

Ezequiel Barco Midfielder

Nail Umyarov Midfielder

Vladislav Saus Midfielder

Daniil Zorin Midfielder

Levi Samuel Garcia Attacker

Théo Bongonda Mbul'Ofeko Batombo Attacker

Anton Zabolotnyi Attacker

José Marcos Costa Martins Attacker

Manfred Ugalde Attacker

Pablo Solari Attacker

Igor Dmitriev Attacker

Nikita Massalyga Attacker

Pavel Polekh Attacker

Manager ▼

M. Musaev Coach

Squad ▼

Stanislav Agkatsev Goalkeeper

—

Roman Safronov Goalkeeper

Aleksandr Koryakin Goalkeeper

Jubal Rocha Mendes Junior Defender

Sergey Petrov Defender

Lucas René Olaza Catrofe Defender

Giovanni Alessandro González Apud Defender

Vitor Tormena de Farias Defender

Vitaliy Stezhko Defender

Diego Henrique Costa Barbosa Defender

Valentin Paltsev Defender

Artem Khmarin Defender

Douglas Augusto Soares Gomes Midfielder

Aleksandr Chernikov Midfielder

Kevin Lenini Gonçalves Pereira de Pina Midfielder

Eduard Spertsyan Midfielder

Nikita Krivtsov Midfielder

Efim Burkin Olegovic Midfielder

Jhon Andrés Córdoba Copete Attacker

João Victor Santos Sa Attacker

Juan Manuel Boselli Graf Attacker

Danil Karpov Attacker

João Pedro Fortes Bachiessa Attacker

Timur Abdrashitov Attacker

Moses David Cobnan Attacker

Aleksandr Koksharov Attacker

Kazbek Mukailov Attacker

Eldar Guseynov Attacker

CONCLUSION

Krasnodar will aim to assert their dominance and maintain their lead at the top of the table against a Spartak side eager to climb the standings at home. Given the even form records, the match is set to be closely fought with both teams capable of securing a positive result. Spartak must capitalise on home support to counter Krasnodar's power advantage while the visitors look to exploit any openings in midfield and attack. Limited advanced data adds an element of unpredictability to the contest. Ultimately this encounter could hinge on tactical execution and key individual performances as the season progresses.

STANDINGS

CONTEXT