Degerfors vs AIK Prediction, Preview and Stats

Sweden flag 2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden
Stora Valla Thu, 23 Apr - 5:00 PM
Allsvenskan
Degerfors Degerfors
Versus
AIK AIK
KICKOFF : Thu, 23 Apr - 5:00 PM
Round 4 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Degerfors host AIK in Allsvenskan (Regular Season) at Stora Valla. Domestically, Degerfors sit 10th in the table while AIK are 5th. Power ranking favours AIK by 2.1 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: AIK possesses a 2.1-point power advantage and occupies 5th place compared to Degerfors' 10th in the Allsvenskan.
  • Form: AIK's form score stands at 6.11, superior to Degerfors' 3.67.
  • Squad: AIK's squad power score of 22.86 exceeds Degerfors' 20.76.
  • Efficiency: No efficiency data available for either team.
  • Transition: Limited transition metrics provided in available data.
  • Set pieces: Set piece performance data unavailable due to absent xG information for both teams.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables not available for analysis.
  • Market: Degerfors 31.3% (Δ+0%) | Draw 28% (Δ+0%) | AIK 40.8% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Degerfors H. Goitom
H. Goitom
VS
AIK J. Riveiro
J. Riveiro
1.67
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.83
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Elfsborg Rank: L
Halmstad Rank: W
Sirius Rank: L
Brommapojkarna Rank: W
Hammarby Rank: D
Öster Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Kalmar Rank: W
Brommapojkarna Rank: D
Halmstad Rank: W
Halmstad Rank: L
Elfsborg Rank: W
Häcken Rank: D
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 2 - 4
4
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Degerfors
31.25%
Draw
27.99%
Away AIK
40.76%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
20.76
22.86
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Degerfors
AIK
Power Score
20.76
22.86
League Position
10
5
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Degerfors — Opponent-weighted form score
AIK — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Degerfors AIK

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 8 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Degerfors Degerfors Home
8 matches
AIK AIK Away
Match Record
2
Wins
4
2
Draws
2
4
Losses
2
Goals
6
Goals Scored
12
12
Goals Conceded
6
-6
Goal Difference
+6
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-20T01:07:17+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
M. Igonen
38 M. Igonen
D. Sundgren
6 D. Sundgren
S. Ohlsson
16 S. Ohlsson
J. Pikkarainen
5 J. Pikkarainen
S. Diatara
18 S. Diatara
K. Karlsson
4 K. Karlsson
L. Fritzson
14 L. Fritzson
N. Girmai
22 N. Girmai
E. Barsoum
20 E. Barsoum
M. Rafferty
10 M. Rafferty
D. Vukojevic
11 D. Vukojevic
K. Nordfeldt
15 K. Nordfeldt
S. Wilson
21 S. Wilson
I. Cissé
25 I. Cissé
S. Papagiannopoulos
4 S. Papagiannopoulos
C. Pavey
12 C. Pavey
A. Csongvai
33 A. Csongvai
J. Hove
8 J. Hove
B. Celina
10 B. Celina
A. Kouame
48 A. Kouame
Zadok Yohanna
36 Zadok Yohanna
K. Filling
29 K. Filling

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 23, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition
2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden · Round 4 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stora Valla
Capacity
7500
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

38
Matvei Igonen
Matvei Igonen Goalkeeper
6.47
11
Dijan Vukojevic
Dijan Vukojevic Centre Forward
6.46
16
Sebastian Ohlsson
Sebastian Ohlsson Right Back
6.93
14
Ludvig Fritzson
Ludvig Fritzson Defensive Midfield
6.84
10
Marcus Rafferty
Marcus Rafferty Left Wing
6.63
18
Samba Diatara
Samba Diatara Left Back
6.69
22
Nahom Girmai Netabay
Nahom Girmai Netabay Right Wing
7.26
20
Elias Barsoum
Elias Barsoum Attacking Midfield
6.55
4
Kazper Karlsson
Kazper Karlsson Defensive Midfield
6.57
6
Daniel Sundgren
Daniel Sundgren Right Back
7.04
5
Juhani Pikkarainen
Juhani Pikkarainen Left Back
6.84

Starting XI ▼

15
Kristoffer Nordfeldt
Kristoffer Nordfeldt Goalkeeper
7.25
29
Kevin Filling
Kevin Filling Centre Forward
6.52
12
Charlie Pavey
Charlie Pavey Right Back
6.72
4
Sotirios Papagiannopoulos
Sotirios Papagiannopoulos Right Back
6.74
25
Ibrahim Cissé
Ibrahim Cissé Left Back
7.39
21
Stanley Wilson
Stanley Wilson Left Back
7.18
8
Johan Hove
Johan Hove Defensive Midfield
7.26
36
Z. Yohanna
Z. Yohanna Right Wing
7.3
33
Áron Csongvai
Áron Csongvai Defensive Midfield
7.34
48
Axel Kouame
Axel Kouame Attacking Midfield
6.66
10
Bersant Celina
Bersant Celina Left Wing
7.3

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward AIK holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give AIK a 2.1-point edge. External projection is Degerfors 30.9%, draw 28.1%, and AIK 41%. That projection profile aligns with the structural signals. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.

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