GAIS vs Mjällby Prediction, Preview and Stats

Sweden flag 2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden
Gamla Ullevi Thu, 23 Apr - 5:00 PM
Allsvenskan
GAIS GAIS
Versus
Mjällby Mjällby
KICKOFF : Thu, 23 Apr - 5:00 PM
Round 4 Regular Season

CONTEXT

GAIS host Mjällby in Allsvenskan (Regular Season) at Gamla Ullevi. Domestically, GAIS sit 16th in the table while Mjällby are 11th. Power ranking favours Mjällby by 13 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Mjällby hold a 13-point power advantage over GAIS with ratings of 26.3 versus 13.28.
  • Form: Mjällby enter with a form score of 7.44, towering over GAIS's 0.
  • Squad: GAIS sit 16th in the Allsvenskan, while Mjällby occupy 11th place.
  • Efficiency: No efficiency data available for either side.
  • Transition: Transition metrics unavailable in current analysis.
  • Set pieces: Set-piece data unavailable due to low confidence and proxy usage.
  • xVariable: xG data absent, limiting advanced variable insights.
  • Market: GAIS 31.9% (Δ+0.8%) | Draw 27.8% (Δ+0%) | Mjällby 40.3% (Δ-0.8%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
GAIS F. Holmberg
F. Holmberg
VS
Mjällby Karl Marius Aksum
Karl Marius Aksum
0.67
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Häcken Rank: L
Malmö FF Rank: L
Djurgården Rank: L
Malmö FF Rank: L
Öster Rank: D
Brommapojkarna Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Brommapojkarna Rank: W
Örgryte Rank: L
Hammarby Rank: L
Häcken Rank: W
Värnamo Rank: W
Norrköping Rank: W
3
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
3 - 4 - 3
3
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home GAIS
31.93%
Draw
27.75%
Away Mjällby
40.32%

Movement

Changes since opening
GAIS
+0.75%
Draw
+0.04%
Mjällby
-0.79%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
13.28
26.3
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
GAIS
Mjällby
Power Score
13.28
26.3
League Position
16
11
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
GAIS — Opponent-weighted form score
Mjällby — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) GAIS Mjällby

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 10 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

GAIS GAIS Home
10 matches
Mjällby Mjällby Away
Match Record
3
Wins
3
4
Draws
4
3
Losses
3
Goals
13
Goals Scored
17
17
Goals Conceded
13
-4
Goal Difference
+4
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-20T01:07:32+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
A. Hermansen
33 A. Hermansen
A. Wängberg
6 A. Wängberg
R. Frej
12 R. Frej
O. Ågren
4 O. Ågren
M. Wendin Thomasson
5 M. Wendin Thomasson
H. Sletsjøe
10 H. Sletsjøe
J. Åberg
7 J. Åberg
M. Bawa
27 M. Bawa
R. Þorkelsson
17 R. Þorkelsson
S. Salter
20 S. Salter
R. Niklasson Johansson
11 R. Niklasson Johansson
R. Wallinder
13 R. Wallinder
T. Miettinen
33 T. Miettinen
A. Norén
4 A. Norén
A. Iqbal
5 A. Iqbal
E. Stroud
17 E. Stroud
V. Gustafsson
7 V. Gustafsson
J. Gustavsson
22 J. Gustavsson
W. Granath
14 W. Granath
A. Manneh
19 A. Manneh
J. Bergström
18 J. Bergström
L. Malachowski Thorell
6 L. Malachowski Thorell

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 23, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition
2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden · Round 4 · Regular Season
Stadium
Gamla Ullevi
Capacity
18416
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

33
Andreas Hermansen
Andreas Hermansen Goalkeeper
17
Róbert Frosti Thorkelsson
Róbert Frosti Thorkelsson Attacker
6.81
20
S. Salter
S. Salter Centre Forward
6.79
11
Rasmus Patrik Niklasson Johansson
Rasmus Patrik Niklasson Johansson Attacker
6.46
6
August Wängberg
August Wängberg Right Back
6.79
12
Robin Frej
Robin Frej Right Back
6.63
4
Oskar Ågren
Oskar Ågren Left Back
7.16
5
Robin Wendin Thomasson
Robin Wendin Thomasson Left Back
6.59
10
Henry Sletsjøe
Henry Sletsjøe Central Midfield
6.3
7
Joackim Åberg
Joackim Åberg Central Midfield
6.57
27
Mohamed Bawa
Mohamed Bawa Central Midfield
6.37

Starting XI ▼

13
Robin Wallinder
Robin Wallinder Goalkeeper
6.69
14
Villiam Granath
Villiam Granath Midfielder
6.63
17
Elliot Stroud
Elliot Stroud Midfielder
7.71
6
Ludwig Malachowski Thorell
Ludwig Malachowski Thorell Attacker
7.15
18
Jacob Bergström
Jacob Bergström Centre Forward
7.06
19
Abdoulie Manneh
Abdoulie Manneh Attacker
7.56
5
Abdullah Iqbal
Abdullah Iqbal Right Back
6.61
22
Jesper Gustavsson
Jesper Gustavsson Central Midfield
6.68
7
Viktor Gustafson
Viktor Gustafson Central Midfield
6.71
4
Axel Norén
Axel Norén Centre Back
6.8
33
Tony Miettinen
Tony Miettinen Left Back
6.56

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Mjällby holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Mjällby a 13-point edge. External projection is GAIS 31.2%, draw 27.7%, and Mjällby 41.1%. That projection profile aligns with the structural signals. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.

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