Sint-Truiden vs Anderlecht Prediction, Preview and Stats

Belgium flag 2025/2026 Pro League, Belgium
Stayen Stadion Thu, 23 Apr - 6:30 PM
Pro League
Sint-Truiden SIT
Versus
Anderlecht ADL
KICKOFF : Thu, 23 Apr - 6:30 PM
Round 4 Championship Round

CONTEXT

Sint-Truiden host Anderlecht in Pro League (Championship Round) at Stayen Stadion. Domestically, Sint-Truiden sit 6th in the table while Anderlecht are 6th. Power ranking favours Anderlecht by 7.8 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Anderlecht holds a 7.8-point power advantage over Sint-Truiden with scores of 26.73 versus 18.96.
  • Form: Anderlecht's form score of 13.89 surpasses Sint-Truiden's 8.5.
  • Squad: Both teams share 6th place in the league standings.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data is unavailable for both teams.
  • Transition: No specific transition metrics provided in available data.
  • Set pieces: Set piece data shows low confidence with proxy usage and no xG available.
  • xVariable: xG data unavailable, limiting advanced variable analysis.
  • Market: Sint-Truiden 44% (Δ+0%) | Draw 26.2% (Δ+0%) | Anderlecht 29.8% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Sint-Truiden W. Vrancken
W. Vrancken
VS
Anderlecht J. Taravel
J. Taravel
1.82
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.41
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Gent Rank: D
Club Brugge Rank: L
Union Saint-Gilloise Rank: L
Union Saint-Gilloise Rank: L
Genk Rank: L
Cercle Brugge Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Mechelen Rank: W
Gent Rank: W
Club Brugge Rank: L
Cercle Brugge Rank: L
Mechelen Rank: L
Club Brugge Rank: D
7
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
7 - 6 - 22
22
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Sint-Truiden
43.98%
Draw
26.2%
Away Anderlecht
29.82%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
18.96
26.73
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Sint-Truiden
Anderlecht
Power Score
18.96
26.73
League Position
6
6
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Sint-Truiden — Opponent-weighted form score
Anderlecht — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Sint-Truiden Anderlecht

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 35 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Sint-Truiden SIT Home
35 matches
Anderlecht ADL Away
Match Record
7
Wins
22
6
Draws
6
22
Losses
7
Goals
38
Goals Scored
70
70
Goals Conceded
38
-32
Goal Difference
+32
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-20T01:07:46+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
L. Kokubo
16 L. Kokubo
R. Vanwesemael
60 R. Vanwesemael
S. Taniguchi
5 S. Taniguchi
V. Musliu
26 V. Musliu
T. Hata
3 T. Hata
R. Yamamoto
6 R. Yamamoto
A. Sissako
8 A. Sissako
K. Matsuzawa
38 K. Matsuzawa
R. Ito
13 R. Ito
I. Sebaoui
10 I. Sebaoui
K. Goto
42 K. Goto
C. Coosemans
26 C. Coosemans
L. Augustinsson
6 L. Augustinsson
M. Diarra
93 M. Diarra
M. Kana
55 M. Kana
A. Maamar
79 A. Maamar
E. Llansana
24 E. Llansana
N. Saliba
13 N. Saliba
C. Gomes da Costa
77 C. Gomes da Costa
M. Stroeykens
29 M. Stroeykens
T. Degreef
83 T. Degreef
T. Hazard
11 T. Hazard

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 23, 2026, 06:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Pro League, Belgium · Round 4 · Championship Round
Stadium
Stayen Stadion
Capacity
14600
Pitch Surface
Artificial turf
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Simon Bourdeaud'hui
Ben Gonnissen
Jonas Van Dyck
Bert Verbeke

Expected Lineup

Referee : Simon Bourdeaud'hui

Starting XI ▼

16
Leo Kokubo
Leo Kokubo Goalkeeper
6.98
42
Keisuke Goto
Keisuke Goto Centre Forward
6.9
5
Shogo Taniguchi
Shogo Taniguchi Right Back
6.92
10
Ilias Sebaoui
Ilias Sebaoui Left Wing
6.87
13
Ryotaro Ito
Ryotaro Ito Attacking Midfield
7.4
3
Taiga Hata
Taiga Hata Left Back
6.66
6
Rihito Yamamoto
Rihito Yamamoto Defensive Midfield
7.18
8
Abdoulaye Sissako
Abdoulaye Sissako Defensive Midfield
6.95
26
Visar Musliu
Visar Musliu Left Back
7.02
38
Kaito Matsuzawa
Kaito Matsuzawa Right Wing
6.68
60
Robert-Jan Vanwesemael
Robert-Jan Vanwesemael Right Back
6.75
Referee : Simon Bourdeaud'hui

Starting XI ▼

26
Colin Coosemans
Colin Coosemans Goalkeeper
6.85
11
Thorgan Hazard
Thorgan Hazard Centre Forward
7.38
6
Ludwig Augustinsson
Ludwig Augustinsson Left Back
6.95
13
Nathan-Dylan Saliba
Nathan-Dylan Saliba Defensive Midfield
6.91
77
Coba da Costa
Coba da Costa Left Wing
6.57
79
Ali Maamar
Ali Maamar Right Back
6.59
24
Enric Llansana
Enric Llansana Defensive Midfield
6.83
29
Mario Stroeykens
Mario Stroeykens Attacking Midfield
6.6
55
Marco Kana
Marco Kana Right Back
6.74
83
Tristan Degreef
Tristan Degreef Right Wing
6.61
93
Moussa Diarra
Moussa Diarra Left Back
6.64

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Anderlecht holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Anderlecht a 7.8-point edge. External projection is Sint-Truiden 44%, draw 26.2%, and Anderlecht 29.8%. That projection profile diverges from the structural signals, so execution is likely to decide the result. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.

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