Real Oviedo vs Villarreal Preview, Predictions, Analysis & Tips

2025/2026 La Liga, Spain

Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere Thu, 23 Apr - 7:30 PM

La Liga

Real Oviedo OVI

Villarreal VIL

KICKOFF : Thu, 23 Apr - 7:30 PM

Round 33 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Real Oviedo face Villarreal at the Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere in a La Liga Regular Season match during the 2025/2026 campaign. Currently sitting 20th in the league, the home side are battling at the bottom while the visitors hold a strong third position. Villarreal are the stronger team with a power score advantage of 4.1 points. Form is evenly matched with both clubs recording three wins, a draw and two losses in their last six games along with identical form scores. Real Oviedo earned a win in their most recent away trip against Celta de Vigo, as did Villarreal who beat Athletic Club on the road. This fixture presents an opportunity for the hosts to claim a vital result against one of the division's in-form teams.

TL;DR

Structural: 20th vs 3rd in La Liga. Villarreal hold 4.1pt power advantage away.
Form: Both W3 D1 L2 in last six. Recent away wins for each.
Squad: Villarreal squad depth edges newly promoted Oviedo.
Efficiency: Efficiency metrics unavailable early in season.
Transition: Villarreal expected to dominate on quick counters.
Set pieces: Limited data with low confidence and proxy metrics.
xVariable: xG and advanced variables not available yet.
Market: Real Oviedo 0% (Δ+0%) | Draw 0% (Δ+0%) | Villarreal 0% (Δ+0%).

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Jan 25 vs Team A

Feb 1 vs Team B

Feb 8 vs Team C

J. Almada Álves

M. García Toral

0.95

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

0 - 0 - 1

No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Real Oviedo

Draw

Villarreal

Team Power Ranking

22.81

26.9

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Real Oviedo

Villarreal

Power Score

22.81

26.9

League Position

Global Rank

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

Real Oviedo — Opponent-weighted form score

Villarreal — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Real Oviedo Villarreal

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Real Oviedo OVI Home

1 matches

Villarreal VIL Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

-2

Goal Difference

Expected Goals

xGA

Data last updated: 2026-04-16T02:16:00+00:00

General Information

Date & Time

Apr 23, 2026, 07:30 PM

Competition

2025/2026 La Liga, Spain · Round 33 · Regular Season

Stadium

Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere

Capacity

5000

Pitch Surface

Grass

Weather

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Manager ▼

J. Almada Álves Coach

Squad ▼

Aarón Escandell Banacloche Goalkeeper

Horaţiu Moldovan Goalkeeper

Eric Bertrand Bailly Defender

David Costas Cordal Defender

Daniel Pedro Calvo San Román Defender

Ignacio Vidal Miralles Defender

Lucas Ahijado Quintana Defender

David Mota Veiga Teixeira Carmo Defender

Javier López Carballo Defender

A. Alhassane Bonkan Defender

Santiago Cazorla González Midfielder

Leander Dendoncker Midfielder

Santiago Colombatto Midfielder

Luka Ilić Midfielder

Kwasi Sibo Midfielder

Nicolas Fonseca Midfielder

Alberto Reina Campos Midfielder

Pablo Menéndez Agudín Midfielder

Oviemuno Dominic Ejaria Attacker

Federico Sebastián Viñas Barboza Attacker

Haissem Hassan Attacker

Álex Forés Mendoza Attacker

Thiago Nicolás Borbas Silva Attacker

Ilyas Chaira Attacker

Thiago Cruz Fernández Attacker

Manager ▼

M. García Toral Coach

Squad ▼

Diego José Conde Alcolado Goalkeeper

Arnau Tenas Ureña Goalkeeper

Luiz Lúcio Reis Júnior Goalkeeper

Alfonso Pedraza Sag Defender

Juan Marcos Foyth Defender

Logan Costa Defender

Sergi Cardona Bermúdez Defender

Rafael Marín Zamora Defender

Willy Kambwala Defender

Álvaro Santiago Mouriño González Defender

Renato Palma Veiga Defender

Alexander Freeman Defender

Pau Navarro Badenes Defender

Daniel Parejo Muñoz Midfielder

Thomas Teye Partey Midfielder

Santiago Comesaña Veiga Midfielder

Pape Gueye Midfielder

Carlos Macià Coves Midfielder

Ayoze Pérez Gutiérrez Attacker

Nicolas Pépé Attacker

Gerard Moreno Balaguero Attacker

Alfonso González Martínez Attacker

Georges Mikautadze Attacker

Tajon Buchanan Attacker

Alberto Moleiro González Attacker

Pau Cabanes De La Torre Attacker

Tani Oluwaseyi Attacker

Hugo López Cortés Attacker

CONCLUSION

Villarreal enter as the stronger side on paper given their league position and power ranking yet face a motivated Oviedo at home. Matching recent form suggests a competitive start but the visitors superior quality should show in open play and transitions. The hosts will look to frustrate and use set pieces while fighting to climb from the bottom. With advanced data still limited this early this match hinges on basic execution and squad strength. Oviedo must seize their chance to earn points while Villarreal aim to maintain their top three challenge.

STANDINGS

CONTEXT