Lokomotiv Moskva vs Zenit Preview, Predictions, Analysis & Tips

2025/2026 Premier League, Russia

RZD Arena Wed, 22 Apr - 4:45 PM

Premier League

Lokomotiv Moskva Lokomotiv Moskva

Zenit ZSP

KICKOFF : Wed, 22 Apr - 4:45 PM

Round 26 Regular Season

CONTEXT

As the 2025/2026 Russian Premier League season unfolds, Lokomotiv Moskva and Zenit are set to face off at the RZD Arena in a crucial Regular Season match. Currently occupying third and second positions respectively, these two sides are battling near the top of the table. Zenit emerge as the stronger team with a power score of 39.48 against Lokomotiv's 22.78, creating a 16.7 point advantage. Recent form shows Zenit ahead with 61.11 compared to the hosts' 33.33. Lokomotiv have managed one win, three draws and two losses in their last six games, while Zenit have three wins, two draws and one loss. Both clubs drew their previous outings, with Lokomotiv sharing the spoils away at Orenburg and Zenit doing the same versus Dynamo Makhachkala. This promises to be a fascinating contest between two well-matched competitors.

TL;DR

Structural: Zenit hold a clear 16.7 point power advantage as second-placed visitors against third-placed hosts in a key top-table clash.
Form: Zenit lead the way at 61.11 with W3 D2 L1, while Lokomotiv sit at 33.33 from W1 D3 L2; both teams drew last time out.
Squad: Zenit boast superior overall squad quality and depth, supporting their stronger position and power rating in this matchup.
Efficiency: Efficiency metrics remain limited, though Zenit's higher form and power scores suggest they create and convert chances more effectively.
Transition: Zenit appear better equipped for rapid transitions, which could exploit spaces if Lokomotiv commit too many players forward.
Set pieces: Set piece data shows low confidence with proxy metrics; neither side displays clear dominance in this area.
xVariable: Advanced variables align with Zenit's edge, pointing to better control and chance creation across multiple performance indicators.
Market: Lokomotiv Moskva 0% (Δ+0%) | Draw 0% (Δ+0%) | Zenit 0% (Δ+0%).

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Jan 25 vs Team A

Feb 1 vs Team B

Feb 8 vs Team C

M. Galaktionov

S. Semak

1.54

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

2.31

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

10 - 17 - 18

No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Lokomotiv Moskva

Draw

Zenit

Team Power Ranking

22.78

39.48

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Lokomotiv Moskva

Zenit

Power Score

22.78

39.48

League Position

Global Rank

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

Lokomotiv Moskva — Opponent-weighted form score

Zenit — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Lokomotiv Moskva Zenit

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 45 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Lokomotiv Moskva Lokomotiv Moskva Home

45 matches

Zenit ZSP Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

-19

Goal Difference

+19

Expected Goals

xGA

Data last updated: 2026-04-16T02:03:14+00:00

General Information

Date & Time

Apr 22, 2026, 04:45 PM

Competition

2025/2026 Premier League, Russia · Round 26 · Regular Season

Stadium

RZD Arena

Capacity

28800

Pitch Surface

Grass

Weather

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Manager ▼

M. Galaktionov Coach

Squad ▼

Anton Mitryushkin Goalkeeper

Ilya Lantratov Goalkeeper

Daniil Veselov Goalkeeper

Cristian Leonel Ramírez Zambrano Defender

César Jasib Montes Castro Defender

Gerzino Nyamsi Defender

Maksim Nenakhov Defender

Aleksandr Silyanov Defender

Evgeny Morozov Defender

Lucas Fasson dos Santos Defender

Egor Pogostnov Defender

Artem Timofeev Midfielder

Danila Prutsev Midfielder

Lucas Vera Midfielder

Artem Karpukas Midfielder

Mikhail Shchetinin Midfielder

Aleksey Batrakov Midfielder

Danila Godyaev Midfielder

Daniil Igorevich Chevardin Midfielder

Nikolay Komlichenko Attacker

Zelimkhan Bakaev Attacker

Dmitriy Vorobyev Attacker

Vladislav Sarveli Attacker

Alexander Rudenko Attacker

Sergey Pinyaev Attacker

Nikita Saltykov Attacker

Ruslan Myalkovskiy Attacker

Vadim Rakov Attacker

Manager ▼

S. Semak Coach

Squad ▼

Mikhail Kerzhakov Goalkeeper

Denis Adamov Goalkeeper

Evgeny Latyshonok Goalkeeper

Bogdan Moskvichev Goalkeeper

Douglas dos Santos Justino de Melo Defender

Vyacheslav Karavaev Defender

Marcílio Florêncio Mota Filho Defender

Yuriy Gorshkov Defender

Arsen Adamov Defender

Nuraly Alip Defender

Igor Diveev Defender

Vanja Drkušić Defender

Gustavo Mantuan Defender

Román Vega Defender

Aleksandr Erokhin Midfielder

Wílmar Enrique Barrios Terán Midfielder

Marcus Wendel Valle da Silva Midfielder

Yaroslav Mikhailov Midfielder

Jhonatan dos Santos Rosa Midfielder

Daniil Kondakov Midfielder

Aleksandr Sobolev Attacker

Andrey Mostovoy Attacker

Maksim Glushenkov Attacker

Jhon Jáder Durán Palacio Attacker

Luiz Henrique André Rosa da Silva Attacker

Pedro Henrique Silva dos Santos Attacker

Vadim Shilov Attacker

CONCLUSION

Zenit enter this Premier League fixture as the stronger side and are well placed to extend their positive run against Lokomotiv at the RZD Arena. Their higher power score, better recent form and league position provide a platform for control, especially if they can dictate the tempo from the start. Lokomotiv remain competitive at home and will look to tighten defensively while seeking counter opportunities, yet they must raise their consistency to seriously challenge the visitors. With both sides coming off draws, an open and tactical battle is expected where Zenit's quality in midfield and attack may prove decisive. The outcome could influence the early title picture significantly.

STANDINGS

CONTEXT