Telstar vs Sparta Rotterdam Prediction, Preview and Stats
2025/2026 Eredivisie, Netherlands
Eredivisie
Sparta Rotterdam
SPR
STANDINGS
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
CONTEXT
Telstar delivered a commanding 4-1 home win against Sparta Rotterdam, breaking a 1-1 halftime stalemate with three unanswered second-half goals. Despite trailing slightly in possession at 46% to Sparta's 54%, Telstar showcased clinical finishing and structural superiority, registering a significant 55.1% deviation in their favor. Identified as the stronger team pre-match, Telstar capitalized on limited chances while Sparta squandered their territorial edge. The game flowed uninterrupted by red cards, providing a clear showcase of quality. Efficiency remained in line with expectations, and the result aligned with pre-match market assessments favoring the hosts. Absent xG data limits deeper statistical insight, but the performance underscores Telstar's second-half adjustments and resilience.
TL;DR
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Structural deviation: Telstar achieved a significant 55.1% structural deviation in their favor.
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Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift stayed in line with pre-match assessments.
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xG alignment: xG alignment unavailable due to missing data.
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Market alignment: Outcome fully aligned with pre-match market expectations.
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xG expectations: xG expectations unevaluable without data.
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Event impact: No notable second-half adjustments or events impacted play.
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Red card distortion: No red card distortion occurred with zero red cards issued.
Quality vs Volume
Open Play vs Set Play
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
Match referee
E. Blank
Other match officials
W. Wiersma
4th Official
Y. Weterings
1st Assistant
K. Weever
2nd Assistant
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Telstar
Sparta Rotterdam
Movement
Changes since opening
Telstar
Sparta Rotterdam
Team Power Ranking
i
24.71
19.02
Telstar
Sparta Rotterdam
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
Telstar
Sparta Rotterdam
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Telstar
⚠ Proxy
Attacking Efficiency









Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)








Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
















Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.




























PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- SPR had peak pressure around 68'.
- SPR started the game with stronger pressure.
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
















Data last updated: 2026-04-23T00:03:21+00:00
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General Information
Next Match


Telstar
vs
NEC Nijmegen
League: Eredivisie
Kickoff: Sat, 2 May - 7:00 PM
Venue: Goffertstadion


Sparta Rotterdam
vs
Go Ahead Eagles
League: Eredivisie
Kickoff: Sun, 3 May - 2:45 PM
Venue: Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel
Statistics
Top Statistics
Match Overview
Attacking
Possession
Defensive
Build-up
Discipline
Lineup


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Manager ▼


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Events
CONCLUSION
Telstar vs Sparta Rotterdam preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.
Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.
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Match Commentary