Charlton Athletic vs Ipswich Town Prediction, Preview and Stats

England flag 2025/2026 Championship, England
The Valley Tomorrow - 6:45 PM
Championship
Charlton Athletic CHA
Versus
Ipswich Town IPS
KICKOFF : Tomorrow - 6:45 PM
Round 44 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Charlton Athletic host Ipswich Town in Championship (Regular Season) at The Valley. Domestically, Charlton Athletic sit 19th in the table while Ipswich Town are 2th. Power ranking favours Ipswich Town by 14 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Ipswich Town hold a 14-point power advantage (31.03 vs 17.02) and lie second, while Charlton Athletic are 19th.
  • Form: Ipswich Town's form score stands at 21.33, towering over Charlton's 4.22.
  • Squad: Ipswich Town's squad power rating of 31.03 significantly outpaces Charlton's 17.02.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data unavailable.
  • Transition: Transition metrics unavailable.
  • Set pieces: Set piece data unavailable with low-confidence proxies used and no xG.
  • xVariable: xG variable data unavailable.
  • Market: Projection split: Charlton Athletic 19.8% (Δ+0%) | Draw 26.3% (Δ+0%) | Ipswich Town 54% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Charlton Athletic N. Jones
N. Jones
VS
Ipswich Town K. McKenna
K. McKenna
1
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.97
0.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sheffield Wednesday Rank: D
Preston North End Rank: L
Watford Rank: D
Bristol City Rank: L
Norwich City Rank: L
Oxford United Rank: D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Middlesbrough Rank: D
Portsmouth Rank: L
Norwich City Rank: W
Birmingham City Rank: W
Millwall Rank: D
Sheffield Wednesday Rank: W
7
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
7 - 3 - 7
7
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Charlton Athletic
19.77%
Draw
26.27%
Away Ipswich Town
53.97%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
17.02
31.03
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Charlton Athletic
Ipswich Town
Power Score
17.02
31.03
League Position
19
2
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Charlton Athletic — Opponent-weighted form score
Ipswich Town — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Charlton Athletic Ipswich Town

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 17 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Charlton Athletic CHA Home
17 matches
Ipswich Town IPS Away
Match Record
7
Wins
7
3
Draws
3
7
Losses
7
Goals
19
Goals Scored
22
22
Goals Conceded
19
-3
Goal Difference
+3
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-21T00:08:22+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
W. Mannion
25 W. Mannion
R. Burke
32 R. Burke
L. Jones
5 L. Jones
A. Bell
17 A. Bell
H. Clarke
44 H. Clarke
C. Coady
15 C. Coady
G. Docherty
10 G. Docherty
L. Chambers
19 L. Chambers
M. Godden
24 M. Godden
S. Carey
14 S. Carey
L. Dykes
99 L. Dykes
C. Walton
28 C. Walton
L. Davis
3 L. Davis
J. Greaves
24 J. Greaves
D. O'Shea
26 D. O'Shea
D. Furlong
19 D. Furlong
J. Taylor
14 J. Taylor
A. Matusiwa
5 A. Matusiwa
J. Philogene-Bidace
11 J. Philogene-Bidace
M. Nuñez
32 M. Nuñez
K. McAteer
20 K. McAteer
I. Monzón
31 I. Monzón

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 22, 2026, 06:45 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Championship, England · Round 44 · Regular Season
Stadium
The Valley
Capacity
27111
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Andrew Madley

Expected Lineup

Referee : Andrew Madley

Starting XI ▼

25
Will Mannion
Will Mannion Goalkeeper
7.28
14
Sonny Carey
Sonny Carey Midfielder
6.9
44
Harry Clarke
Harry Clarke Midfielder
6.72
19
Luke Chambers
Luke Chambers Midfielder
6.67
24
Matty Godden
Matty Godden Midfielder
6.62
99
Lyndon Dykes
Lyndon Dykes Centre Forward
6.64
32
Reece Burke
Reece Burke Right Back
6.62
5
Lloyd Jones
Lloyd Jones Centre Back
7.14
10
Greg Docherty
Greg Docherty Central Midfield
6.73
15
Conor Coady
Conor Coady Central Midfield
6.83
17
Amari'i Bell
Amari'i Bell Left Back
6.77
Referee : Andrew Madley

Starting XI ▼

28
Christian Walton
Christian Walton Goalkeeper
6.92
31
Iván Azón
Iván Azón Centre Forward
6.63
32
Marcelino Núñez
Marcelino Núñez Attacking Midfield
6.9
26
Dara O'Shea
Dara O'Shea Right Back
7.05
3
Leif Davis
Leif Davis Left Back
7
5
Azor Matusiwa
Azor Matusiwa Defensive Midfield
6.97
11
Jaden Philogene
Jaden Philogene Left Wing
7.03
19
Darnell Furlong
Darnell Furlong Right Back
6.86
20
Kasey McAteer
Kasey McAteer Right Wing
6.46
24
Jacob Greaves
Jacob Greaves Left Back
7.03
14
Jack Taylor
Jack Taylor Defensive Midfield
6.81

CONCLUSION

Ipswich Town arrive at The Valley as clear frontrunners, their second-place standing and superior power and form metrics positioning them to exploit Charlton's vulnerabilities. The 14-point edge and 21.33 form score suggest the visitors will control proceedings, targeting a vital win in their promotion charge. Charlton must summon a heroic home display to counter the Tractor Boys' dominance, but projections favor Ipswich at 54%. Without detailed set piece or efficiency insights, the matchup hinges on Ipswich's structural superiority prevailing in this Championship test.

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