Birmingham City vs Preston North End Prediction, Preview and Stats

England flag 2025/2026 Championship, England
St. Andrew's Stadium Tomorrow - 6:45 PM
Championship
Birmingham City BRC
Versus
Preston North End PNE
KICKOFF : Tomorrow - 6:45 PM
Round 44 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Birmingham City host Preston North End in Championship (Regular Season) at St. Andrew's Stadium. Domestically, Birmingham City sit 14th in the table while Preston North End are 16th. Power ranking favours Birmingham City by 2.3 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Birmingham City hold a 2.3-point power advantage (22.63 vs 20.31) as the stronger team at home in 14th place over Preston's 16th.
  • Form: Preston North End lead in form with a score of 17.83 compared to Birmingham City's 14.06.
  • Squad: Birmingham City rank 14th and Preston North End 16th in the Championship table.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics are unavailable for both teams.
  • Transition: Transition data is not provided for this matchup.
  • Set pieces: Set piece performance data unavailable due to low confidence and proxy usage for both teams.
  • xVariable: xG data unavailable, impacting advanced variable analysis.
  • Market: Birmingham City 56.2% (Δ+0%) | Draw 25.3% (Δ+0%) | Preston North End 18.6% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Birmingham City C. Davies
C. Davies
VS
Preston North End P. Heckingbottom
P. Heckingbottom
1.31
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.28
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Hull City Rank: D
Wrexham Rank: W
Ipswich Town Rank: L
Blackburn Rovers Rank: L
Derby County Rank: L
Sheffield United Rank: D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
West Bromwich Albion Rank: L
Charlton Athletic Rank: W
Queens Park Rangers Rank: D
Leicester City Rank: D
Stoke City Rank: W
Norwich City Rank: L
6
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
6 - 6 - 11
11
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Birmingham City
56.15%
Draw
25.26%
Away Preston North End
18.59%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
22.63
20.31
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Birmingham City
Preston North End
Power Score
22.63
20.31
League Position
14
16
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Birmingham City — Opponent-weighted form score
Preston North End — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Birmingham City Preston North End

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 23 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Birmingham City BRC Home
23 matches
Preston North End PNE Away
Match Record
6
Wins
11
6
Draws
6
11
Losses
6
Goals
23
Goals Scored
27
27
Goals Conceded
23
-4
Goal Difference
+4
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-21T00:08:13+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
J. Beadle
25 J. Beadle
E. Laird
2 E. Laird
C. Klarer
4 C. Klarer
P. Neumann
5 P. Neumann
K. Wagner
31 K. Wagner
T. Iwata
24 T. Iwata
J. Solis Romero
14 J. Solis Romero
C. Vicente Robles
23 C. Vicente Robles
J. Stansfield
28 J. Stansfield
I. Osman
17 I. Osman
A. Priske
29 A. Priske
D. Iversen
1 D. Iversen
A. Hughes
16 A. Hughes
L. Gibson
19 L. Gibson
J. Storey
14 J. Storey
O. Offiah
42 O. Offiah
A. Moran
23 A. Moran
B. Whiteman
4 B. Whiteman
A. Devine
21 A. Devine
B. Potts
44 B. Potts
L. Dobbin
17 L. Dobbin
D. Jebbison
9 D. Jebbison

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 22, 2026, 06:45 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Championship, England · Round 44 · Regular Season
Stadium
St. Andrew's Stadium
Capacity
29409
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Ben Toner

Expected Lineup

Referee : Ben Toner

Starting XI ▼

25
James Beadle
James Beadle Goalkeeper
6.69
29
August Priske
August Priske Centre Forward
6.67
23
Carlos Vicente
Carlos Vicente Right Wing
6.76
31
Kai Wagner
Kai Wagner Left Back
7.13
2
Ethan Laird
Ethan Laird Right Back
6.81
5
Phil Neumann
Phil Neumann Left Back
6.91
24
Tomoki Iwata
Tomoki Iwata Defensive Midfield
6.93
4
Christoph Klarer
Christoph Klarer Right Back
7.01
17
Ibrahim Osman
Ibrahim Osman Left Wing
6.67
28
Jay Stansfield
Jay Stansfield Attacking Midfield
6.69
14
Jhon Solís
Jhon Solís Defensive Midfield
6.65
Referee : Ben Toner

Starting XI ▼

1
Daniel Iversen
Daniel Iversen Goalkeeper
6.94
23
Andrew Moran
Andrew Moran Midfielder
6.63
44
Brad Potts
Brad Potts Midfielder
6.83
9
Daniel Jebbison
Daniel Jebbison Attacker
6.65
17
Lewis Dobbin
Lewis Dobbin Attacker
6.82
42
Odeluga Offiah
Odeluga Offiah Right Back
6.71
4
Ben Whiteman
Ben Whiteman Central Midfield
7.06
14
Jordan Storey
Jordan Storey Right Back
6.93
16
Andrew Hughes
Andrew Hughes Left Back
6.78
21
Alfie Devine
Alfie Devine Central Midfield
6.99
19
Lewis Gibson
Lewis Gibson Left Back
6.81

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Birmingham City holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Birmingham City a 2.3-point edge. External projection is Birmingham City 56.2%, draw 25.3%, and Preston North End 18.6%. That projection profile aligns with the structural signals. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.

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