Atalanta vs Lazio Preview, Predictions, Analysis & Tips

2025/2026 Coppa Italia, Italy

Gewiss Stadium Wed, 22 Apr - 7:00 PM

Coppa Italia

Atalanta ATA

Lazio LAZ

KICKOFF : Wed, 22 Apr - 7:00 PM

Semi Finals Leg 2 of 2 Aggregate : 2 - 2

CONTEXT

In the second leg of the Coppa Italia semi-finals, Atalanta welcome Lazio to the Gewiss Stadium with the aggregate score locked at 2-2. After an entertaining draw in the first meeting, both sides will be aiming to edge through to the final. Lazio hold a slight edge in overall power rating, but Atalanta boast a stronger recent run of results and the benefit of home support. The tie remains finely balanced, promising a tactical battle as the teams push for a decisive result. With no league positions to fall back on in this knockout stage, every moment will carry extra weight. This matchup highlights the attacking potential on both ends, setting the stage for an intriguing evening of football.

TL;DR

Structural: Tightly poised semi-final tie with 2-2 aggregate score heading into the decisive second leg at home for Atalanta.
Form: Atalanta enter with strong form scoring well recently, holding an edge over Lazio who have drawn their last two matches.
Squad: Full strength squads anticipated as both clubs prioritize this Coppa Italia route with key attackers ready to influence the game.
Efficiency: Both teams showed clinical edge in first leg by scoring twice each, though deeper efficiency metrics remain unavailable.
Transition: Expect high tempo transitions given the knockout nature, with Lazio counter-attacking style clashing against Atalanta pressing.
Set pieces: With limited set piece insights available, both sides may look to capitalize on dead ball situations to gain an advantage.
xVariable: The key variable remains which team can better control the midfield battle to create quality chances in this balanced contest.
Market: Atalanta 54% (Δ+0%) | Draw 25.2% (Δ+0%) | Lazio 20.9% (Δ+0%).

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Jan 25 vs Team A

Feb 1 vs Team B

Feb 8 vs Team C

R. Palladino

M. Sarri

2.33

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

1.67

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

15 - 10 - 17

No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Atalanta

53.97%

Draw

25.17%

Lazio

20.87%

Team Power Ranking

24.59

30.24

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Atalanta

Lazio

Power Score

24.59

30.24

League Position

Global Rank

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

Atalanta — Opponent-weighted form score

Lazio — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Atalanta Lazio

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 42 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Atalanta ATA Home

42 matches

Lazio LAZ Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

-5

Goal Difference

Expected Goals

0.88

0.81

xGA

0.88

Data last updated: 2026-04-16T02:10:24+00:00

General Information

Date & Time

Apr 22, 2026, 07:00 PM

Competition

2025/2026 Coppa Italia, Italy · Semi Finals · Leg 2 of 2 · Aggregate : 2 - 2

Stadium

Gewiss Stadium

Capacity

23439

Pitch Surface

Grass

Weather

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Manager ▼

R. Palladino Coach

Squad ▼

Marco Sportiello Goalkeeper

Francesco Rossi Goalkeeper

Marco Carnesecchi Goalkeeper

Sead Kolašinac Defender

Berat Djimsiti Defender

Mitchel Bakker Defender

Isak Hien Defender

Kossonou Odilon Defender

Giorgio Scalvini Defender

Honest Ahanor Defender

Marten de Roon Midfielder

Mario Pašalić Midfielder

Davide Zappacosta Midfielder

Éderson José dos Santos Lourenço da Silva Midfielder

Raoul Bellanova Midfielder

Charles De Ketelaere Midfielder

Nicola Zalewski Midfielder

Lazar Samardžić Midfielder

Yunus Musah Midfielder

Lorenzo Bernasconi Midfielder

Gianluca Scamacca Attacker

Nikola Krstović Attacker

Giacomo Raspadori Attacker

Kamal Deen Sulemana Attacker

Manager ▼

M. Sarri Coach

Squad ▼

Ivan Provedel Goalkeeper

Alessio Furlanetto Goalkeeper

Edoardo Motta Goalkeeper

Adam Marušić Defender

Samuel Gigot Defender

Alessio Romagnoli Defender

Elseid Hysaj Defender

Patricio Gabarrón Gil Defender

Manuel Lazzari Defender

Luca Pellegrini Defender

Nuno Albertino Varela Tavares Defender

Mario Gila Fuentes Defender

Oliver Provstgaard Nielsen Defender

Toma Bašić Midfielder

Danilo Cataldi Midfielder

Fisayo Dele-Bashiru Midfielder

Kenneth Taylor Midfielder

Nicolò Rovella Midfielder

Daniel Maldini Midfielder

Reda Belahyane Midfielder

Adrian Przyborek Midfielder

Pedro Eliezer Rodríguez Ledesma Attacker

Mattia Zaccagni Attacker

Boulaye Dia Attacker

Gustav Tang Isaksen Attacker

Tijanni Noslin Attacker

Matteo Cancellieri Attacker

Petar Ratkov Attacker

CONCLUSION

With the tie level at 2-2, Atalanta have the opportunity to leverage home advantage and superior recent form against a Lazio side that possesses greater overall power. The first leg demonstrated both teams' attacking capabilities, suggesting another open and competitive match. Lazio will aim to frustrate the home crowd and strike on the counter, while Atalanta push forward seeking the vital goal that could send them through. Tactical discipline will be paramount, especially in managing the clock and potential extra time. Ultimately, the team that handles the pressure of this semi-final second leg more effectively stands the best chance of advancing to the final.

STANDINGS

CONTEXT