FC Barcelona vs Celta de Vigo Prediction, Preview and Stats

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga, Spain
Camp Nou Wed, 22 Apr - 7:30 PM
La Liga
FC Barcelona BAR
Versus
Celta de Vigo CEL
KICKOFF : Wed, 22 Apr - 7:30 PM
Round 33 Regular Season

CONTEXT

In La Liga's 2025/2026 Regular Season, league leaders FC Barcelona welcome sixth-placed Celta de Vigo to Camp Nou. The hosts hold a substantial power advantage and enter the fixture with maximum form points after winning all six of their most recent matches, including a home success over Espanyol. Celta arrive with a mixed record of two wins, one draw and three losses from six games, underlined by a recent home defeat to Real Oviedo. The home crowd and familiar surroundings should amplify Barcelona's strengths as they seek to maintain their lead at the top of the table. Celta must improve their away discipline and find ways to disrupt the reigning leaders' rhythm if they are to claim a positive result in this challenging away assignment.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Barcelona lead the table from first while Celta sit sixth. Significant home power advantage at Camp Nou favors the leaders.
  • Form: Hosts boast perfect W6 D0 L0 record. Visitors show W2 D1 L3 with recent inconsistency on the road.
  • Squad: Barcelona enjoy superior depth and quality that should control the match. Celta lack comparable resources for this test.
  • Efficiency: Limited efficiency data available. Barcelona's results imply stronger overall execution across key performance areas.
  • Transition: Barcelona excel at quick transitions to exploit spaces. Celta may struggle to contain rapid home attacks.
  • Set pieces: Low confidence proxy data for both sides. No clear edge visible in set play creation or prevention.
  • xVariable: Power scores tilt heavily toward Barcelona at 46.43 versus Celta's 28.83, signaling home control.
  • Market: FC Barcelona 74.7% (Δ+0.8%) | Draw 15.7% (Δ+0.1%) | Celta de Vigo 9.7% (Δ-0.9%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
FC Barcelona H. Flick
H. Flick
VS
Celta de Vigo C. Giráldez González
C. Giráldez González
2.59
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.68
3 i
Last 6 Opponents
Espanyol Rank: W
Atlético Madrid Rank: W
Rayo Vallecano Rank: W
Sevilla Rank: W
Athletic Club Rank: W
Villarreal Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Real Oviedo Rank: L
Valencia Rank: W
Deportivo Alavés Rank: L
Real Betis Rank: D
Real Madrid Rank: L
Girona Rank: W
21
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
21 - 7 - 7
7
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home FC Barcelona
74.67%
Draw
15.68%
Away Celta de Vigo
9.66%

Movement

Changes since opening
FC Barcelona
+0.82%
Draw
+0.05%
Celta de Vigo
-0.86%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
46.43
28.83
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
FC Barcelona
Celta de Vigo
Power Score
46.43
28.83
League Position
1
6
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
FC Barcelona — Opponent-weighted form score
Celta de Vigo — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) FC Barcelona Celta de Vigo

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 35 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

FC Barcelona BAR Home
35 matches
Celta de Vigo CEL Away
Match Record
21
Wins
7
7
Draws
7
7
Losses
21
Goals
85
Goals Scored
48
48
Goals Conceded
85
+37
Goal Difference
-37
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-15T01:08:35+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
J. Pons
13 J. Pons
J. Cavaco Cancelo
2 J. Cavaco Cancelo
R. Araújo da Silva
4 R. Araújo da Silva
P. Cubarsí Paredes
5 P. Cubarsí Paredes
A. Balde Martínez
3 A. Balde Martínez
E. García
24 E. García
P. López
8 P. López
L. Yamal Nasraoui Ebana
10 L. Yamal Nasraoui Ebana
Pablo Gaviria
6 Pablo Gaviria
F. López Marín
16 F. López Marín
F. Torres García
7 F. Torres García
I. Radu
13 I. Radu
M. Alonso Mendoza
20 M. Alonso Mendoza
J. Aidoo
4 J. Aidoo
Á. Núñez Cobo
14 Á. Núñez Cobo
S. Carreira Vilariño
5 S. Carreira Vilariño
F. López González
8 F. López González
M. Vecino Falero
15 M. Vecino Falero
J. Rueda García
17 J. Rueda García
W. Swedberg
19 W. Swedberg
P. Durán Fernández
18 P. Durán Fernández
A. Antañón Vieites
36 A. Antañón Vieites

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 22, 2026, 07:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 La Liga, Spain · Round 33 · Regular Season
Stadium
Camp Nou
Capacity
99354
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

13
Joan García
Joan García Goalkeeper
7.14
7
Ferran Torres
Ferran Torres Centre Forward
6.99
2
João Cancelo
João Cancelo Right Back
7.14
3
Alejandro Balde
Alejandro Balde Left Back
6.87
4
Ronald Araujo
Ronald Araujo Right Back
6.76
5
Pau Cubarsí
Pau Cubarsí Left Back
6.96
10
Lamine Yamal
Lamine Yamal Right Wing
8.03
24
Eric García
Eric García Defensive Midfield
7.11
16
Fermín López
Fermín López Left Wing
7.23
6
Gavi
Gavi Attacking Midfield
6.78
8
Pedri
Pedri Defensive Midfield
7.47

Starting XI ▼

13
Ionuț Radu
Ionuț Radu Goalkeeper
6.88
5
Sergio Carreira
Sergio Carreira Midfielder
6.81
17
Javi Rueda
Javi Rueda Midfielder
6.78
18
Pablo Durán
Pablo Durán Centre Forward
6.64
19
Williot Swedberg
Williot Swedberg Attacker
6.72
36
Andrés Antañón
Andrés Antañón Attacker
6.26
4
Joseph Aidoo
Joseph Aidoo Centre Back
6.39
8
Fer López
Fer López Central Midfield
6.73
14
Álvaro Núñez
Álvaro Núñez Right Back
7
15
Matías Vecino
Matías Vecino Central Midfield
6.67
20
Marcos Alonso
Marcos Alonso Left Back
7.03

CONCLUSION

Barcelona enter this match as strong favorites and should leverage their perfect recent form together with home advantage at Camp Nou to secure another victory. Their ability to control possession and create chances from open play gives them a clear path to all three points against a Celta side that has shown vulnerability on the road. The visitors will need to defend compactly and look for occasional counter opportunities, yet the power gap suggests they face an uphill task. Expect the leaders to dictate the tempo from the outset and gradually wear down their opponents. A professional home performance looks the most likely outcome as Barcelona aim to stay top of the league.

Related Football Previews