Sochi vs Krylya Sovetov Prediction, Preview and Stats

Russia flag 2025/2026 Premier League, Russia
Olimpiyskiy Stadion Fisht Tue, 21 Apr - 2:30 PM
Premier League
Sochi Sochi
Versus
Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov
KICKOFF : Tue, 21 Apr - 2:30 PM
Round 26 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Sochi, currently languishing in 16th position in the Premier League, face Krylya Sovetov who sit in 13th place at the Olimpiyskiy Stadion Fisht. This Regular Season encounter pits two sides in need of points against each other as the 2025/2026 campaign progresses. The home team has a poor recent record with one win, one draw and four losses from six matches, while the visitors have one win, three draws and two defeats in the same number of games. Krylya Sovetov hold the upper hand according to power rankings with a 2.4 point advantage. Both teams drew their last matches, Sochi on the road against Rostov and Krylya Sovetov at home versus CSKA Moskva. The fixture represents an opportunity for Sochi to arrest their slide towards the bottom of the standings, but they face a Krylya side that appears better equipped for the challenge. Expect a tense affair with the away team looking to exploit any vulnerabilities in the Sochi setup.

TL;DR

  • Structural: 16th-placed Sochi host 13th-placed Krylya Sovetov at Fisht Stadium in Premier League regular season.
  • Form: Sochi W1 D1 L4, Krylya W1 D3 L2 in last six. Both drew most recent outing.
  • Squad: No major squad news; standard lineups anticipated for both sides.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data unavailable; limited insights into overall performance metrics.
  • Transition: Krylya Sovetov hold 2.4 point power advantage over Sochi.
  • Set pieces: Low confidence set piece data with proxy used; no clear edge.
  • xVariable: Advanced xG metrics unavailable for this fixture.
  • Market: Projection split: Sochi 0% (Δ+0%) | Draw 0% (Δ+0%) | Krylya Sovetov 0% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Sochi I. Osinkin
I. Osinkin
VS
Krylya Sovetov S. Bulatov
S. Bulatov
0.62
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.77
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Rostov Rank: D
CSKA Moskva Rank: W
Rubin Kazan Rank: L
Baltika Kaliningrad Rank: L
Krasnodar Rank: L
FK Nizjni Novgorod Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
CSKA Moskva Rank: D
Akhmat Grozny Rank: D
Zenit Rank: L
Rubin Kazan Rank: D
FK Nizjni Novgorod Rank: L
Dynamo Makhachkala Rank: W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 8
8
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Sochi
0%
Draw
0%
Away Krylya Sovetov
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
14.73
17.16
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Sochi
Krylya Sovetov
Power Score
14.73
17.16
League Position
16
13
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Sochi Opponent-weighted form score
Krylya Sovetov Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Sochi Krylya Sovetov

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 8 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Sochi Sochi Home
8 matches
Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov Away
Match Record
0
Wins
8
0
Draws
0
8
Losses
0
Goals
4
Goals Scored
16
16
Goals Conceded
4
-12
Goal Difference
+12
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-16T01:32:10+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 21, 2026, 02:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Premier League, Russia · Round 26 · Regular Season
Stadium
Olimpiyskiy Stadion Fisht
Capacity
47659
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

CONCLUSION

Krylya Sovetov enter this match as the stronger side with a power advantage over Sochi. The away team sits higher in the league and boasts a better recent form record. Sochi have found wins hard to come by and must step up at home to avoid further slipping down the table. Both coming from draws, the game may start cautiously. However, Krylya's quality should allow them to create chances and pressure the hosts. The visitors are well placed to claim victory in this encounter. Sochi will need to show great determination to earn a result. Overall the away side looks better prepared for the challenge.