CSKA Moskva vs Rostov Prediction, Preview and Stats

Russia flag 2025/2026 Premier League, Russia
VEB Arena Tue, 21 Apr - 4:45 PM
Premier League
CSKA Moskva CSKA Moskva
Versus
Rostov FCR
KICKOFF : Tue, 21 Apr - 4:45 PM
Round 26 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Fifth-placed CSKA Moskva host 10th-placed Rostov at VEB Arena in the Premier League this weekend. The home team boasts a higher power score of 22.57 compared to Rostov's 18.04, giving them a 4.5 point advantage as the stronger side. Form has been inconsistent for both, with CSKA managing two wins one draw and three losses in their last six games, and Rostov recording one win three draws and two losses. CSKA drew their most recent match away against Krylya Sovetov, while Rostov also drew at home to Sochi. With the season in full flow, CSKA will be motivated to leverage their home advantage and superior metrics to climb the standings further against a competitive Rostov outfit.

TL;DR

  • Structural: CSKA 5th vs Rostov 10th. Hosts have 4.5pt power advantage at VEB Arena.
  • Form: Home: W2 D1 L3. Away: W1 D3 L2. Both last matches ended in draws.
  • Squad: No key absences noted. Both teams expected at near full strength.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency statistics currently unavailable in early season data.
  • Transition: CSKA expected to control game transitions with superior power score.
  • Set pieces: Limited set piece data available. Low confidence in current metrics.
  • xVariable: xG and related variables not accessible for this matchup.
  • Market: Projection split: CSKA Moskva 0% (Δ+0%) | Draw 0% (Δ+0%) | Rostov 0% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
CSKA Moskva F. Celestini
F. Celestini
VS
Rostov J. Alba Cabello
J. Alba Cabello
1.46
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Krylya Sovetov Rank: D
Sochi Rank: L
Akron Rank: W
Dynamo Makhachkala Rank: W
Baltika Kaliningrad Rank: L
Dinamo Moskva Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sochi Rank: D
Spartak Moskva Rank: D
FK Nizjni Novgorod Rank: W
Akhmat Grozny Rank: L
Dinamo Moskva Rank: L
Baltika Kaliningrad Rank: D
20
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
20 - 9 - 12
12
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home CSKA Moskva
0%
Draw
0%
Away Rostov
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
22.57
18.04
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
CSKA Moskva
Rostov
Power Score
22.57
18.04
League Position
5
10
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
CSKA Moskva Opponent-weighted form score
Rostov Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) CSKA Moskva Rostov

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 41 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

CSKA Moskva CSKA Moskva Home
41 matches
Rostov FCR Away
Match Record
20
Wins
12
9
Draws
9
12
Losses
20
Goals
63
Goals Scored
38
38
Goals Conceded
63
+25
Goal Difference
-25
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-16T01:36:36+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 21, 2026, 04:45 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Premier League, Russia · Round 26 · Regular Season
Stadium
VEB Arena
Capacity
30457
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

CONCLUSION

CSKA Moskva are well placed to claim victory in this home game against Rostov given their superior league position and power ranking. At VEB Arena the hosts will look to impose their style early and exploit any openings. Though both sides have shown mixed results lately the home advantage should help CSKA find the breakthrough. Rostov remain hard to beat on their day and will chase counters or a set piece chance yet face a difficult task containing the home attack. A controlled performance from the hosts is likely to yield three points and strengthen their upper table push.