Mallorca vs Valencia Prediction, Preview and Stats
2025/2026 La Liga, Spain
La Liga
Valencia
VAL
STANDINGS
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
CONTEXT
Mallorca hosted Valencia in a La Liga match that ended in a hard-fought 1-1 draw. The first half finished goalless, with the scoreline at 0-0 and Mallorca enjoying 59% possession without creating clear-cut chances. The second half exploded into life as both teams found the net once, first Mallorca equalizing before Valencia responded to level terms. As the stronger team, Mallorca dictated play and held territorial superiority, but Valencia's compact defense and opportunistic finishing secured a share of the points. No red cards disrupted the flow, and there were no notable tactical adjustments in the latter stages. The result reflects a game of few genuine openings, where efficiency trumped dominance.
TL;DR
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Structural deviation: Match showed moderate 8.8% structural deviation favoring Mallorca.
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Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift stayed in line with expectations.
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xG alignment: xG alignment unavailable due to missing data.
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Market alignment: Outcome fully aligned with pre-match market view.
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xG expectations: xG expectations unassessable without data.
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Event impact: No second-half adjustments or knockout elements affected the result.
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Red card distortion: No red cards occurred, causing zero distortion.
Quality vs Volume
Open Play vs Set Play
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
Match referee
C. Soto Grado
Other match officials
C. Álvarez Fernández
1st Assistant
R. Becerril Gómez
2nd Assistant
?. Canovas García Villarrubia
4th Official
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Mallorca
Valencia
Movement
Changes since opening
Mallorca
Valencia
Team Power Ranking
i
26.13
22.76
Mallorca
Valencia
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
Mallorca
Valencia
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Mallorca
⚠ Proxy
Attacking Efficiency









Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)








Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
















Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.




























PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- MLL had peak pressure around 42'.
- MLL started the game with stronger pressure.
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 27 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
















Data last updated: 2026-04-22T00:02:33+00:00
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General Information
Next Match


Mallorca
vs
Deportivo Alavés
League: La Liga
Kickoff: Sat, 25 Apr - 12:00 PM
Venue: Estadio de Mendizorroza


Valencia
vs
Girona
League: La Liga
Kickoff: Sat, 25 Apr - 4:30 PM
Venue: Estadio de Mestalla
Statistics
Top Statistics
Match Overview
Attacking
Possession
Defensive
Build-up
Discipline
Lineup


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Manager ▼


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Events
CONCLUSION
Mallorca vs Valencia preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.
Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.
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Match Commentary