Oxford United vs Wrexham Prediction, Preview and Stats

England flag 2025/2026 Championship, England
The Kassam Stadium Today - 6:45 PM
Championship
Oxford United OXF
Versus
Wrexham WXH
KICKOFF : Today - 6:45 PM
Round 44 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Oxford United host Wrexham in Championship (Regular Season) at The Kassam Stadium. Domestically, Oxford United sit 22th in the table while Wrexham are 7th. Power ranking favours Wrexham by 4.5 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Oxford United languish in 22nd position while Wrexham hold 7th in the Championship standings.
  • Form: Wrexham surpass Oxford United in form ratings, 16.61 to 14.72.
  • Squad: Power scores highlight Wrexham's superiority at 25.11 against Oxford United's 20.58.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics unavailable for this matchup.
  • Transition: Transition play data absent, emphasizing reliance on available form indicators.
  • Set pieces: Set piece analysis relies on low-confidence proxies for both Oxford United and Wrexham.
  • xVariable: xG data unavailable, limiting advanced variable insights.
  • Market: Oxford United 39.7% (Δ-0.3%) | Draw 29.1% (Δ+0.1%) | Wrexham 31.2% (Δ+0.1%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Oxford United M. Bloomfield
M. Bloomfield
VS
Wrexham P. Parkinson
P. Parkinson
1.06
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.73
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Derby County Rank: L
Watford Rank: W
Portsmouth Rank: D
Hull City Rank: D
Southampton Rank: L
Charlton Athletic Rank: D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Stoke City Rank: W
Birmingham City Rank: L
Southampton Rank: L
West Bromwich Albion Rank: D
Sheffield United Rank: W
Watford Rank: L
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 0 - 1
1
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Oxford United
39.71%
Draw
29.06%
Away Wrexham
31.23%

Movement

Changes since opening
Oxford United
-0.25%
Draw
+0.13%
Wrexham
+0.13%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
20.58
25.11
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Oxford United
Wrexham
Power Score
20.58
25.11
League Position
22
7
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Oxford United — Opponent-weighted form score
Wrexham — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Oxford United Wrexham

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 2 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Oxford United OXF Home
2 matches
Wrexham WXH Away
Match Record
1
Wins
1
0
Draws
0
1
Losses
1
Goals
2
Goals Scored
2
2
Goals Conceded
2
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-21T00:03:50+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Pitch
J. Cumming
England
1 J. Cumming
S. Long
England
2 S. Long
M. Helik
Poland
6 M. Helik
C. Brown
England
3 C. Brown
B. Spencer
Northern Ireland
15 B. Spencer
Y. Konak
Türkiye
5 Y. Konak
C. Brannagan
England
8 C. Brannagan
S. Mills
England
17 S. Mills
J. Donley
Northern Ireland
33 J. Donley
M. Peart-Harris
England
44 M. Peart-Harris
W. Lankshear
England
27 W. Lankshear
A. Okonkwo
England
1 A. Okonkwo
C. Doyle
England
2 C. Doyle
D. Hyam
Scotland
5 D. Hyam
M. Cleworth
Wales
4 M. Cleworth
G. Thomason
England
14 G. Thomason
M. James
England
37 M. James
G. Dobson
England
15 G. Dobson
I. Kabore
Burkina Faso
12 I. Kabore
J. Windass
England
10 J. Windass
L. O'Brien
England
27 L. O'Brien
K. Moore
Wales
19 K. Moore

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 21, 2026, 06:45 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Championship, England · Round 44 · Regular Season
Stadium
The Kassam Stadium
Capacity
12500
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Matt Donohue
James Wilson
Oliver Langford
J. Graham

Lineup

Referee : Matt Donohue

Starting XI ▼

1
Jamie Cumming
Jamie Cumming Goalkeeper
6.82
2
Sam Long
Sam Long Defender
6.75
3
Ciaron Maurice Brown
Ciaron Maurice Brown Defender
7
6
Michal Helik
Michal Helik Defender
6.96
15
Brodie Gilmore Spencer
Brodie Gilmore Spencer Defender
6.7
5
Yunus Konak
Yunus Konak Midfielder
6.63
8
Cameron Brannagan
Cameron Brannagan Midfielder
6.95
17
Stanley Mills
Stanley Mills Midfielder
6.71
33
Jamie Paul Donley
Jamie Paul Donley Midfielder
6.6
44
Myles Peart-Harris
Myles Peart-Harris Midfielder
6.69
27
Will Lankshear
Will Lankshear Attacker
6.66
Referee : Matt Donohue

Starting XI ▼

1
Arthur Okonkwo
Arthur Okonkwo Goalkeeper
6.84
2
Callum Doyle
Callum Doyle Defender
6.8
4
Max Cleworth
Max Cleworth Defender
6.87
5
Dominic Hyam
Dominic Hyam Defender
6.85
10
Josh Windass
Josh Windass Midfielder
7.02
12
Issa Kaboré
Issa Kaboré Midfielder
6.8
14
George Thomason
George Thomason Midfielder
6.94
15
George Dobson
George Dobson Midfielder
6.91
27
Lewis O'Brien
Lewis O'Brien Midfielder
6.99
37
Matty James
Matty James Midfielder
6.84
19
Kieffer Moore
Kieffer Moore Attacker
7.01

CONCLUSION

Wrexham enter as marginal favorites thanks to higher league standing, power rating, and form edge, yet Oxford United's home turf at The Kassam could level proceedings in this evenly projected encounter. With deltas at zero across projections, expect a tight affair where execution in open play might decide the outcome amid absent set-piece clarity. The U's must rally from their lowly position to challenge the Dragons' ascent, potentially sparking a survival boost or further climb for the visitors.

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