Queens Park Rangers vs Swansea City Prediction, Preview and Stats

England flag 2025/2026 Championship, England
MATRADE Loftus Road Today - 6:45 PM
Championship
Queens Park Rangers QPR
Versus
Swansea City SWA
KICKOFF : Today - 6:45 PM
Round 44 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Queens Park Rangers host Swansea City at MATRADE Loftus Road in a Championship regular season fixture from the 2025/2026 campaign. The Hoops sit 11th in the standings, four places above the Swans in 15th, with a clear power advantage of 4 points (24.12 vs 20.12). QPR's form score towers at 24.22 over Swansea's modest 10.89, signaling strong momentum heading into this London showdown. As the designated stronger team, QPR benefit from home comforts and superior underlying metrics, though detailed efficiency, transition, and set-piece data remain unavailable due to limited xG coverage. Swansea must disrupt QPR's rhythm to climb the table, but the hosts' edge in structure and recent performances points to a favorable matchup. Fans anticipate a gritty battle where execution will decide the spoils.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Queens Park Rangers hold a 4-point power advantage and sit higher in the table at 11th versus Swansea City's 15th.
  • Form: QPR's form score of 24.22 significantly outpaces Swansea's 10.89.
  • Squad: QPR's squad power rated at 24.12 exceeds Swansea's 20.12.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data unavailable for this fixture.
  • Transition: Transition metrics not provided in available data.
  • Set pieces: Set piece performance data unavailable due to lack of xG information.
  • xVariable: xG data unavailable for both teams.
  • Market: Queens Park Rangers 41.7% (Δ+0%) | Draw 28.5% (Δ+0%) | Swansea City 29.8% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Queens Park Rangers J. Stéphan
J. Stéphan
VS
Swansea City V. Emanuel Soares Matos
V. Emanuel Soares Matos
1.3
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.33
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Millwall Rank: L
Bristol City Rank: D
Preston North End Rank: D
Watford Rank: W
Portsmouth Rank: W
Leicester City Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Southampton Rank: L
Leicester City Rank: W
Middlesbrough Rank: D
Sheffield United Rank: D
Coventry City Rank: L
Wrexham Rank: L
9
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
9 - 9 - 10
10
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Queens Park Rangers
41.72%
Draw
28.45%
Away Swansea City
29.83%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
24.12
20.12
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Queens Park Rangers
Swansea City
Power Score
24.12
20.12
League Position
11
15
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Queens Park Rangers — Opponent-weighted form score
Swansea City — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Queens Park Rangers Swansea City

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 28 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Queens Park Rangers QPR Home
28 matches
Swansea City SWA Away
Match Record
9
Wins
10
9
Draws
9
10
Losses
9
Goals
29
Goals Scored
33
33
Goals Conceded
29
-4
Goal Difference
+4
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-21T00:04:04+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
J. Walsh
13 J. Walsh
A. Mbengue
27 A. Mbengue
J. Clarke-Salter
6 J. Clarke-Salter
R. Edwards
37 R. Edwards
R. Norrington-Davies
18 R. Norrington-Davies
K. Poku
17 K. Poku
K. Morgan
21 K. Morgan
J. Varane
40 J. Varane
P. Smyth
11 P. Smyth
R. Kone
22 R. Kone
H. Vale
20 H. Vale
L. Vigouroux
22 L. Vigouroux
J. Tymon
14 J. Tymon
C. Burgess
15 C. Burgess
B. Cabango
5 B. Cabango
S. Parker
41 S. Parker
M. Stamenic
6 M. Stamenic
G. Franco
17 G. Franco
J. Eom
10 J. Eom
M. Widell
7 M. Widell
L. Cullen
20 L. Cullen
Ž. Vipotnik
9 Ž. Vipotnik

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 21, 2026, 06:45 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Championship, England · Round 44 · Regular Season
Stadium
MATRADE Loftus Road
Capacity
18500
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Leigh Doughty
Richard Woodward
Robert Hyde
Paul Howard

Expected Lineup

Referee : Leigh Doughty

Starting XI ▼

13
Joe Walsh
Joe Walsh Goalkeeper
6.65
11
Paul Patrick Smyth
Paul Patrick Smyth Midfielder
6.79
17
Kwame Poku
Kwame Poku Midfielder
6.48
20
Harvey Vale
Harvey Vale Attacker
6.89
22
Richard Kone
Richard Kone Attacker
6.82
6
Jake Clarke-Salter
Jake Clarke-Salter Right Back
6.59
21
Kieran Morgan
Kieran Morgan Central Midfield
6.55
18
Rhys Norrington-Davies
Rhys Norrington-Davies Left Back
5.21
27
Amadou Salif Mbengue
Amadou Salif Mbengue Right Back
6.64
40
Jonathan Varane
Jonathan Varane Central Midfield
6.77
37
Ronnie Edwards
Ronnie Edwards Left Back
6.6
Referee : Leigh Doughty

Starting XI ▼

22
Lawrence Vigouroux
Lawrence Vigouroux Goalkeeper
6.97
9
Zan Vipotnik
Zan Vipotnik Centre Forward
7.03
17
Gonçalo Franco
Gonçalo Franco Defensive Midfield
6.89
5
Ben Cabango
Ben Cabango Right Back
6.9
6
Marko Stamenić
Marko Stamenić Defensive Midfield
6.8
14
Josh Tymon
Josh Tymon Left Back
6.97
7
Melker Widell
Melker Widell Attacking Midfield
6.63
10
Ji-sung Eom
Ji-sung Eom Left Wing
6.85
15
Cameron Burgess
Cameron Burgess Left Back
6.97
20
Liam Cullen
Liam Cullen Right Wing
6.7
41
Sam Parker
Sam Parker Right Back
6.53

CONCLUSION

Queens Park Rangers approach this home clash as clear favorites, leveraging a superior power score, dominant form, and higher league position against a struggling Swansea City. The 4-point structural edge and Loftus Road atmosphere should fuel QPR's push for victory, especially with Swansea's poor recent metrics. While detailed set-piece and efficiency insights are absent, the Hoops' overall profile suggests control and chances created. Swansea face an uphill task to grind out a result, relying on defensive solidity. Expect QPR to capitalize on their advantages for a hard-fought win in this mid-table Championship encounter.

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