West Bromwich Albion vs Watford Prediction, Preview and Stats

England flag 2025/2026 Championship, England
The Hawthorns Today - 6:45 PM
Championship
West Bromwich Albion WBA
Versus
Watford WAT
KICKOFF : Today - 6:45 PM
Round 44 Regular Season

CONTEXT

West Bromwich Albion host Watford in Championship (Regular Season) at The Hawthorns. Domestically, West Bromwich Albion sit 20th in the table while Watford are 13th. Power ranking favours West Bromwich Albion by 9.2 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: West Brom holds a 9.2-point power advantage over Watford, positioning them as structurally superior despite league standings.
  • Form: West Brom's form score of 32 greatly surpasses Watford's 12.61.
  • Squad: West Brom's higher power score of 28.08 indicates stronger squad quality compared to Watford's 18.9.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics are unavailable, but West Brom's overall power suggests superior performance levels.
  • Transition: Power scores imply West Brom's edge in transition phases over Watford.
  • Set pieces: Set piece data unavailable due to low-confidence proxies and absent xG for both teams.
  • xVariable: xG data unavailable, limiting advanced variable analysis for the matchup.
  • Market: West Bromwich Albion 54.1% (Δ+0%) | Draw 25.7% (Δ+0%) | Watford 20.2% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
West Bromwich Albion J. Morrison
J. Morrison
VS
Watford E. Still
E. Still
0.97
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.36
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Preston North End Rank: W
Millwall Rank: D
Blackburn Rovers Rank: D
Wrexham Rank: D
Bristol City Rank: W
Hull City Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sheffield United Rank: L
Oxford United Rank: L
Charlton Athletic Rank: D
Queens Park Rangers Rank: L
Leicester City Rank: D
Wrexham Rank: W
4
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
4 - 7 - 6
6
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home West Bromwich Albion
54.1%
Draw
25.71%
Away Watford
20.19%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
28.08
18.9
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
West Bromwich Albion
Watford
Power Score
28.08
18.9
League Position
20
13
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
West Bromwich Albion — Opponent-weighted form score
Watford — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) West Bromwich Albion Watford

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 17 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

West Bromwich Albion WBA Home
17 matches
Watford WAT Away
Match Record
4
Wins
6
7
Draws
7
6
Losses
4
Goals
26
Goals Scored
22
22
Goals Conceded
26
+4
Goal Difference
-4
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-21T00:04:21+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-4-2
Match Formation 4-4-2
Pitch
M. O’Leary
England
1 M. O’Leary
D. Imray
England
30 D. Imray
N. Phillips
England
3 N. Phillips
G. Campbell
United States
6 G. Campbell
C. Taylor
England
29 C. Taylor
I. Price
Northern Ireland
21 I. Price
A. Mowatt
England
27 A. Mowatt
O. Diakite
Mali
17 O. Diakite
J. Molumby
Republic of Ireland
8 J. Molumby
J. Maja
Nigeria
9 J. Maja
D. Dike
United States
12 D. Dike
E. Selvik
Norway
1 E. Selvik
M. Bola
England
16 M. Bola
M. Pollock
England
6 M. Pollock
S. Goglichidze
Georgia
3 S. Goglichidze
J. Pétris
France
29 J. Pétris
G. Chakvetadze
Georgia
8 G. Chakvetadze
I. Louza
Morocco
10 I. Louza
N. Mendy
Senegal
23 N. Mendy
N. Irankunda
Australia
66 N. Irankunda
L. Kjerrumgaard
Denmark
9 L. Kjerrumgaard
E. Kayembe
DR Congo
39 E. Kayembe

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 21, 2026, 06:45 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Championship, England · Round 44 · Regular Season
Stadium
The Hawthorns
Capacity
26445
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Anthony Backhouse
Lewis Smith
Johnathon Bickerdike
David Harrison

Lineup

Referee : Anthony Backhouse

Starting XI ▼

1
Max Edward O’Leary
Max Edward O’Leary Goalkeeper
6.64
3
Nathaniel Harry Phillips
Nathaniel Harry Phillips Defender
7.03
6
George Hampton Campbell
George Hampton Campbell Defender
6.96
29
Charles James Taylor
Charles James Taylor Defender
6.66
30
Daniel Edward Peter Imray
Daniel Edward Peter Imray Defender
6.79
8
Jayson Patrick Molumby
Jayson Patrick Molumby Midfielder
6.83
17
Ousmane Diakité
Ousmane Diakité Midfielder
6.8
21
Isaac Jude Price
Isaac Jude Price Midfielder
6.99
27
Alex James Mowatt
Alex James Mowatt Midfielder
7
9
Joshua Erowoli Orisunmihare Oluwaseun Maja
Joshua Erowoli Orisunmihare Oluwaseun Maja Attacker
6.67
12
Daryl Enyinnaya Dike
Daryl Enyinnaya Dike Attacker
6.6
Referee : Anthony Backhouse

Starting XI ▼

1
Egil Selvik
Egil Selvik Goalkeeper
6.9
3
Saba Goglichidze
Saba Goglichidze Defender
6.65
6
Mattie Pollock
Mattie Pollock Defender
6.89
16
Marc Bola
Marc Bola Defender
6.88
29
Jérémy Pétris
Jérémy Pétris Defender
6.65
8
Giorgi Chakvetadze
Giorgi Chakvetadze Midfielder
6.86
10
Imrân Louza
Imrân Louza Midfielder
7.42
23
Nampalys Mendy
Nampalys Mendy Midfielder
6.67
66
Nestory Irankunda
Nestory Irankunda Midfielder
6.84
9
Luca Kjerrumgaard
Luca Kjerrumgaard Attacker
6.83
39
Edo Kayembe
Edo Kayembe Attacker
6.93

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward West Bromwich Albion holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give West Bromwich Albion a 9.2-point edge. External projection is West Bromwich Albion 52.9%, draw 26%, and Watford 21.1%. That projection profile aligns with the structural signals. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.

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