Inter vs Como Prediction, Preview and Stats

Italy flag 2025/2026 Coppa Italia, Italy
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza Today - 7:00 PM
Coppa Italia
Inter INT
Versus
Como COM
KICKOFF : Today - 7:00 PM
Semi Finals Leg 2 of 2 Aggregate : 0 - 0

CONTEXT

Inter hosts Como at the iconic Stadio Giuseppe Meazza for the crucial second leg of the Coppa Italia semi-finals in the 2025/2026 season. The aggregate score remains deadlocked at 0-0 after a tense, goalless first leg played at Como's ground 49 days prior, where Inter struggled to convert chances on the road. Boasting a superior power score of 33.82 to Como's 28.42, Inter holds a 5.4-point advantage, marking them as the stronger outfit. Their form score stands at an impressive 38.89, well ahead of Como's 27.78, indicating recent momentum swings in the Nerazzurri's favor. This home fixture offers Inter a platform to leverage San Siro's atmosphere in a high-stakes knockout battle. Both sides enter with everything on the line, promising a tactical showdown.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Inter enjoys a 5.4-point power advantage in this level 0-0 aggregate semi-final second leg at home.
  • Form: Inter's form score of 38.89 outpaces Como's 27.78 entering the tie.
  • Squad: Squad details remain unavailable in the current dataset for both teams.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics are not provided for this matchup.
  • Transition: Transition play data is absent from the available analysis.
  • Set pieces: Set piece stats show low confidence with proxy data used for Inter and Como.
  • xVariable: No xVariable metrics are detailed in the fixture information.
  • Market: Inter 49.6% (Δ+0.2%) | Draw 27.3% (Δ+0.1%) | Como 23.1% (Δ-0.3%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Inter C. Chivu
C. Chivu
VS
Como F. Fàbregas i Soler
F. Fàbregas i Soler
2.33
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.67
2.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Como Rank: D
Torino Rank: W
Venezia Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Inter Rank: D
Napoli Rank: D
Fiorentina Rank: W
4
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
4 - 1 - 0
0
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Inter
49.58%
Draw
27.32%
Away Como
23.1%

Movement

Changes since opening
Inter
+0.17%
Draw
+0.1%
Como
-0.26%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
33.82
28.42
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Inter
Como
Power Score
33.82
28.42
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Inter — Opponent-weighted form score
Como — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Inter Como

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 5 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Inter INT Home
5 matches
Como COM Away
Match Record
4
Wins
0
1
Draws
1
0
Losses
4
Goals
12
Goals Scored
3
3
Goals Conceded
12
+9
Goal Difference
-9
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-21T00:04:40+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
Y. Sommer
1 Y. Sommer
Y. Bisseck
31 Y. Bisseck
M. Akanji
25 M. Akanji
C. Zopalato Neves
30 C. Zopalato Neves
D. Dumfries
2 D. Dumfries
N. Barella
23 N. Barella
H. Çalhanoğlu
20 H. Çalhanoğlu
P. Zieliński
7 P. Zieliński
F. Dimarco
32 F. Dimarco
F. Esposito
94 F. Esposito
M. Thuram
9 M. Thuram
J. Butez
1 J. Butez
?. Valle Gómez
3 ?. Valle Gómez
M. Kempf
2 M. Kempf
J. Naveros
14 J. Naveros
I. Smolčić
28 I. Smolčić
M. Perrone
23 M. Perrone
L. Da Cunha
33 L. Da Cunha
M. Baturina
20 M. Baturina
N. Paz Martínez
10 N. Paz Martínez
M. Vojvoda
31 M. Vojvoda
A. Douvikas
11 A. Douvikas

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 21, 2026, 07:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Coppa Italia, Italy · Semi Finals · Leg 2 of 2 · Aggregate : 0 - 0
Stadium
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Capacity
75817
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

1
Yann Sommer
Yann Sommer Goalkeeper
7.75
2
Denzel Dumfries
Denzel Dumfries Defender
6.36
30
Carlos Augusto
Carlos Augusto Defender
6.88
32
Federico Dimarco
Federico Dimarco Defender
7.07
25
Manuel Akanji
Manuel Akanji Defender
7.28
31
Yann Bisseck
Yann Bisseck Defender
6.61
20
Hakan Çalhanoğlu
Hakan Çalhanoğlu Midfielder
6.74
23
Nicolò Barella
Nicolò Barella Midfielder
6.97
7
Piotr Zieliński
Piotr Zieliński Midfielder
6.97
94
Pio Esposito
Pio Esposito Attacker
6.63
9
Marcus Thuram
Marcus Thuram Attacker
7.51

Starting XI ▼

1
Jean Butez
Jean Butez Goalkeeper
6.94
2
Marc Oliver Kempf
Marc Oliver Kempf Defender
7.11
14
Jacobo Ramón
Jacobo Ramón Defender
7.11
28
Ivan Smolcic
Ivan Smolcic Defender
6.95
3
Álex Valle
Álex Valle Defender
6.73
31
Mërgim Vojvoda
Mërgim Vojvoda Defender
6.83
10
Nico Paz
Nico Paz Midfielder
7.37
20
Martin Baturina
Martin Baturina Midfielder
7.36
33
Lucas Da Cunha
Lucas Da Cunha Midfielder
7.38
23
Máximo Perrone
Máximo Perrone Midfielder
6.78
11
Anastasios Douvikas
Anastasios Douvikas Attacker
7.19

CONCLUSION

Inter's superior power and form metrics position them favorably to seize control in this decisive Coppa Italia semi-final leg. The home advantage at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza amplifies their edge over a resilient Como side that held firm in the first leg. With the aggregate at 0-0, expect Inter to push aggressively for breakthroughs while Como counters strategically. Recent form disparities suggest the Nerazzurri will capitalize on opportunities, potentially advancing to the final through a hard-fought victory.

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