Girona vs Real Betis Prediction, Preview and Stats

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga, Spain
Estadi Municipal de Montilivi Tue, 21 Apr - 7:30 PM
La Liga
Girona GIR
Versus
Real Betis BET
KICKOFF : Tue, 21 Apr - 7:30 PM
Round 33 Regular Season

CONTEXT

In La Liga's 2025/2026 regular season, Girona host Real Betis at Estadi Municipal de Montilivi in a matchup blending home ambition with away pedigree. The hosts sit 12th but carry a narrow power score edge of 28.75 to 27.29, translating to a 1.5 point advantage that could be amplified by familiar surroundings. Girona arrive with decent momentum shown in a W2 D2 L2 record from six matches, capped by a resilient draw away to Real Madrid. Betis, placed fifth, have been harder to beat than to beat teams themselves with a winless W0 D4 L2 sequence, their latest result another stalemate at Osasuna. Both clubs emphasize organization and look capable of controlling stretches, yet the slight structural tilt toward the home side sets up a contest where early control and tactical discipline may separate the teams.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Girona (12th) host 5th-placed Betis with a 1.5 power score edge at home, suggesting a tight but venue-influenced battle.
  • Form: Girona stronger at W2 D2 L2; Betis winless in six with W0 D4 L2, both entering off away draws.
  • Squad: Both teams field competitive groups capable of tactical shifts, with key individuals expected to influence midfield control.
  • Efficiency: Comparable efficiency shown in recent resilient displays, though Girona appear sharper in converting chances lately.
  • Transition: Transition speed could prove decisive, with Girona poised to exploit spaces if Betis overcommit forward.
  • Set pieces: Limited data confidence indicates standard set-piece importance, with neither side showing clear dominance.
  • xVariable: xVariable suggests moderate outcome variance given close power ratings and both teams' draw-heavy form.
  • Market: Girona 39.9% (Δ+0.7%) | Draw 27.4% (Δ+0%) | Real Betis 32.7% (Δ-0.7%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Girona M. Sánchez Muñoz
M. Sánchez Muñoz
VS
Real Betis M. Pellegrini
M. Pellegrini
1.45
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.36
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Real Madrid Rank: D
Villarreal Rank: W
Osasuna Rank: L
Athletic Club Rank: W
Levante Rank: D
Celta de Vigo Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Osasuna Rank: D
Espanyol Rank: D
Athletic Club Rank: L
Celta de Vigo Rank: D
Getafe Rank: L
Sevilla Rank: D
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 4 - 11
11
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Girona
39.92%
Draw
27.41%
Away Real Betis
32.67%

Movement

Changes since opening
Girona
+0.67%
Draw
+0.01%
Real Betis
-0.68%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
28.75
27.29
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Girona
Real Betis
Power Score
28.75
27.29
League Position
12
5
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Girona — Opponent-weighted form score
Real Betis — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Girona Real Betis

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 17 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Girona GIR Home
17 matches
Real Betis BET Away
Match Record
2
Wins
11
4
Draws
4
11
Losses
2
Goals
17
Goals Scored
29
29
Goals Conceded
17
-12
Goal Difference
+12
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-16T02:02:05+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
P. Gazzaniga
13 P. Gazzaniga
A. Martinez
4 A. Martinez
A. Torrijo
16 A. Torrijo
V. de Oliveira Nunes dos Reis
12 V. de Oliveira Nunes dos Reis
A. Moreno Lopera
24 A. Moreno Lopera
T. Lemar
11 T. Lemar
A. Witsel
20 A. Witsel
I. Martín Núñez
23 I. Martín Núñez
V. Tsygankov
15 V. Tsygankov
C. Echeverri
14 C. Echeverri
A. Ounahi
18 A. Ounahi
Á. Vallés Rosa
1 Á. Vallés Rosa
D. Gómez
16 D. Gómez
Natan
4 Natan
D. Llorente Ríos
3 D. Llorente Ríos
H. Bellerín Moruno
2 H. Bellerín Moruno
S. Altimira Clavell
6 S. Altimira Clavell
P. Fornals Malla
8 P. Fornals Malla
S. Amrabat
14 S. Amrabat
A. Ezzalzouli
10 A. Ezzalzouli
J. Hernández Suárez
19 J. Hernández Suárez
R. Riquelme Reche
17 R. Riquelme Reche

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 21, 2026, 07:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 La Liga, Spain · Round 33 · Regular Season
Stadium
Estadi Municipal de Montilivi
Capacity
14624
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

13
Paulo Gazzaniga
Paulo Gazzaniga Goalkeeper
6.9
14
Claudio Echeverri
Claudio Echeverri Centre Forward
6.79
15
Viktor Tsygankov
Viktor Tsygankov Attacker
7.12
18
Azzedine Ounahi
Azzedine Ounahi Attacker
7.26
20
Axel Witsel
Axel Witsel Central Midfield
6.82
11
Thomas Lemar
Thomas Lemar Central Midfield
6.78
12
Vitor Reis
Vitor Reis Left Back
6.9
4
Arnau Martínez
Arnau Martínez Right Back
6.9
16
Alejandro Francés
Alejandro Francés Right Back
6.64
23
Iván Martín
Iván Martín Central Midfield
6.81
24
Álex Moreno
Álex Moreno Left Back
6.69

Starting XI ▼

1
Álvaro Valles
Álvaro Valles Goalkeeper
6.88
10
Abde Ezzalzouli
Abde Ezzalzouli Attacker
7.21
19
Cucho Hernández
Cucho Hernández Centre Forward
7.03
17
Rodrigo Riquelme
Rodrigo Riquelme Attacker
6.55
2
Héctor Bellerín
Héctor Bellerín Right Back
6.84
3
Diego Llorente
Diego Llorente Right Back
6.96
4
Natan
Natan Left Back
6.72
6
Sergi Altimira
Sergi Altimira Central Midfield
6.92
8
Pablo Fornals
Pablo Fornals Central Midfield
7.28
14
Sofyan Amrabat
Sofyan Amrabat Central Midfield
6.91
16
Valentín Gómez
Valentín Gómez Left Back
6.82

CONCLUSION

This La Liga meeting looks set to be a measured affair where Girona's home power score advantage and superior recent form give them a platform to dictate terms against a higher-placed but winless Betis. The visitors' defensive resilience in recent draws offers a solid foundation, yet their lack of victories hints at an opportunity for the hosts to press. Tactical discipline, efficient ball progression, and the ability to seize transitional moments should shape the outcome. While Betis possess quality to punish any lapses, Girona's current edge in confidence and venue familiarity points toward a narrow home success or a hard-earned share of the points in an evenly balanced contest.

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