Lechia Gdańsk vs Piast Gliwice Prediction, Preview and Stats

Poland flag 2025/2026 Ekstraklasa, Poland
Stadion Energa Gdańsk Mon, 20 Apr - 5:00 PM
Ekstraklasa
Lechia Gdańsk LGD
Versus
Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice
KICKOFF : Mon, 20 Apr - 5:00 PM
Round 29 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Lechia Gdańsk are set to face Piast Gliwice at the Stadion Energa Gdańsk in an Ekstraklasa encounter during the 2025/2026 regular season. The hosts occupy ninth position in the standings and boast a power score of 28.93, giving them a 1.8 point advantage over the visitors who sit in 13th with 27.16. This suggests a closely fought contest where the home side are marginally favored. Recent form shows both clubs have secured three victories in their last six matches, with Lechia recording one draw and two defeats compared to Piast's three losses. Both teams suffered defeats in their previous games, Lechia on the road against Wisła Płock and Piast at home to Pogoń Szczecin. With home advantage in play, Lechia will be aiming to consolidate their mid-table position while Piast look to improve their standing and gain valuable points on their travels.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Lechia in 9th hold narrow power advantage over 13th-placed Piast ahead of home clash.
  • Form: Similar form with three wins each from six games. Both teams lost last time out.
  • Squad: No key squad details available. Both sides expected to be at near full strength.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics not available. Performance to be assessed on pitch.
  • Transition: Effective transitions from defence to attack will be crucial for both teams.
  • Set pieces: Set piece reliance low confidence with proxy data only. Standard delivery expected.
  • xVariable: xG data unavailable, increasing importance of on-field execution and tactics.
  • Market: Projection split: Lechia Gdańsk 43.2% (Δ+0%) | Draw 26.2% (Δ+0%) | Piast Gliwice 30.6% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Lechia Gdańsk J. Carver
J. Carver
VS
Piast Gliwice D. Myśliwiec
D. Myśliwiec
1.69
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.56
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Wisła Płock Rank: L
Korona Kielce Rank: W
Pogoń Szczecin Rank: W
Katowice Rank: L
Jagiellonia Białystok Rank: W
Arka Gdynia Rank: D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Pogoń Szczecin Rank: L
Nieciecza Rank: L
Radomiak Radom Rank: W
Jagiellonia Białystok Rank: W
Zagłębie Lubin Rank: L
Cracovia Kraków Rank: W
16
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
16 - 6 - 11
11
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Lechia Gdańsk
43.21%
Draw
26.23%
Away Piast Gliwice
30.56%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
28.93
27.16
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Lechia Gdańsk
Piast Gliwice
Power Score
28.93
27.16
League Position
9
13
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Lechia Gdańsk Opponent-weighted form score
Piast Gliwice Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Lechia Gdańsk Piast Gliwice

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 33 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Lechia Gdańsk LGD Home
33 matches
Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice Away
Match Record
16
Wins
11
6
Draws
6
11
Losses
16
Goals
45
Goals Scored
40
40
Goals Conceded
45
+5
Goal Difference
-5
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-16T01:09:36+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
A. Paulsen
18 A. Paulsen
T. Wójtowicz
33 T. Wójtowicz
M. Dyachuk
15 M. Dyachuk
M. Rodin
80 M. Rodin
M. Vojtko
27 M. Vojtko
R. Kapič
10 R. Kapič
I. Zhelizko
5 I. Zhelizko
C. Mena Márquez
11 C. Mena Márquez
K. Sezonienko
79 K. Sezonienko
A. Ćirković
8 A. Ćirković
T. Bobček
89 T. Bobček
K. Szymanski
33 K. Szymanski
E. Twumasi
55 E. Twumasi
I. Drapiński
29 I. Drapiński
J. Rivas Margalef
5 J. Rivas Margalef
J. Lewicki
36 J. Lewicki
H. Vallejo Avilés
80 H. Vallejo Avilés
G. Tomasiewicz
20 G. Tomasiewicz
P. Dziczek
10 P. Dziczek
J. Eyenga-Lokilo
98 J. Eyenga-Lokilo
A. Dalmau Vaquer
9 A. Dalmau Vaquer
J. Muñoz García
7 J. Muñoz García

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 20, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Ekstraklasa, Poland · Round 29 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stadion Energa Gdańsk
Capacity
41984
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ , Clear

Expected Lineup

Starting XI

18
Alex Paulsen
Alex Paulsen Goalkeeper
6.76
89
Tomas Bobcek
Tomas Bobcek Centre Forward
7.31
27
Matus Vojtko
Matus Vojtko Left Back
6.69
79
Kacper Sezonienko
Kacper Sezonienko Attacking Midfield
6.87
80
Matej Rodin
Matej Rodin Left Back
6.95
5
Ivan Zhelizko
Ivan Zhelizko Defensive Midfield
7.25
8
Aleksandar Cirkovic
Aleksandar Cirkovic Left Wing
7
10
Rifet Kapic
Rifet Kapic Defensive Midfield
7.05
11
Camilo Mena
Camilo Mena Right Wing
7.07
15
Maksym Dyachuk
Maksym Dyachuk Right Back
6.74
33
Tomasz Wojtowicz
Tomasz Wojtowicz Right Back
6.68

Starting XI

33
Karol Szymanski
Karol Szymanski Goalkeeper
6.43
80
Hugo Vallejo
Hugo Vallejo Midfielder
6.77
98
Jason Lokilo
Jason Lokilo Midfielder
6.84
7
Jorge Félix
Jorge Félix Attacker
6.87
9
Adrián Dalmau
Adrián Dalmau Attacker
6.63
5
Juande Rivas
Juande Rivas Right Back
7.03
10
Patryk Dziczek
Patryk Dziczek Central Midfield
7.08
20
Grzegorz Tomasiewicz
Grzegorz Tomasiewicz Central Midfield
6.82
29
Igor Drapinski
Igor Drapinski Left Back
6.85
36
Jakub Lewicki
Jakub Lewicki Right Back
6.74
55
Ema Twumasi
Ema Twumasi Left Back
6.64

CONCLUSION

While the power scores indicate a slight preference for the home team, the similar form records suggest this could be a tight affair. Lechia will seek to use their home support to overcome Piast's resilient approach. Key will be how both sides handle the midfield battle and whether either can establish dominance in key areas. Given the lack of advanced metrics like efficiency and set piece data, traditional scouting and recent performances point towards a competitive match. Lechia may have just enough quality to secure the win, but a draw would not be surprising given Piast's ability to pick up results. Fans can anticipate a typical Ekstraklasa battle full of passion and tactical nuance.