Gaziantep F.K. vs Kayserispor Prediction, Preview and Stats

Turkey flag 2025/2026 Super Lig, Turkey
Gaziantep Stadyumu Mon, 20 Apr - 5:00 PM
Super Lig
Gaziantep F.K. Gaziantep F.K.
Versus
Kayserispor KAY
KICKOFF : Mon, 20 Apr - 5:00 PM
Round 30 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Gaziantep F.K. host Kayserispor in Super Lig (Regular Season) at Gaziantep Stadyumu. Domestically, Gaziantep F.K. sit 11th in the table while Kayserispor are 16th. Power ranking favours Gaziantep F.K. by 3.6 points heading into this fixture. Gaziantep F.K.'s recent form reads W1 D3 L2 from 6 matches; Kayserispor's form is W1 D1 L4 from 6 matches. In their last outing, Gaziantep F.K. Loss away against Rizespor. Kayserispor last played at home versus Fenerbahçe, finishing with a Loss.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Gaziantep F.K. hold a +3.6 pts power-ranking advantage heading into this fixture.
  • Form: Gaziantep F.K. sit above baseline on opponent-adjusted form.
  • Squad: No major squad or availability edge; impact is neutral.
  • Efficiency: Gaziantep F.K. show stronger possession-adjusted chance creation in the data.
  • Transition: Gaziantep F.K. have a moderate edge in transition threat.
  • Set pieces: Gaziantep F.K. carry higher set-play value and dead-ball upside.
  • xVariable: Gaziantep F.K. hold a marginal advantage on underlying metrics.
  • Market: Gaziantep F.K. 43.3% (Δ+0%) | Draw 27.7% (Δ+0%) | Kayserispor 29% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Gaziantep F.K. B. Yılmaz
B. Yılmaz
VS
Kayserispor E. Moe
E. Moe
0.85
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.9
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Rizespor Rank: L
Alanyaspor Rank: D
Fenerbahçe Rank: L
Antalyaspor Rank: W
Fatih Karagümrük Rank: D
Samsunspor Rank: D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Fenerbahçe Rank: L
Kasımpaşa Rank: L
Fatih Karagümrük Rank: W
Samsunspor Rank: L
Trabzonspor Rank: L
Gençlerbirliği Rank: D
4
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
4 - 6 - 3
3
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Gaziantep F.K.
43.29%
Draw
27.73%
Away Kayserispor
28.98%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
16.7
13.13
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Gaziantep F.K.
Kayserispor
Power Score
16.7
13.13
League Position
11
16
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Gaziantep F.K. — Opponent-weighted form score
Kayserispor — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Gaziantep F.K. Kayserispor

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 13 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Gaziantep F.K. Gaziantep F.K. Home
13 matches
Kayserispor KAY Away
Match Record
4
Wins
3
6
Draws
6
3
Losses
4
Goals
15
Goals Scored
13
13
Goals Conceded
15
+2
Goal Difference
-2
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-16T01:09:44+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
Z. Görgen
20 Z. Görgen
N. Sangare
30 N. Sangare
T. Sanuç
23 T. Sanuç
M. Abena
14 M. Abena
L. Pérez Maqueda
2 L. Pérez Maqueda
K. Gassama
17 K. Gassama
D. Camara
3 D. Camara
C. Lungoyi
11 C. Lungoyi
K. Kozłowski
10 K. Kozłowski
A. Maxim
44 A. Maxim
M. Bayo
9 M. Bayo
B. Bayazit
25 B. Bayazit
J. Brenet
30 J. Brenet
S. Denswil
4 S. Denswil
S. Güler
6 S. Güler
J. Katongo
2 J. Katongo
Y. Aït Bennasser
15 Y. Aït Bennasser
D. Toköz
24 D. Toköz
M. Nunes Cardoso
7 M. Nunes Cardoso
F. Soyalp
33 F. Soyalp
D. Makarov
18 D. Makarov
F. Chalov
63 F. Chalov

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 20, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Super Lig, Turkey · Round 30 · Regular Season
Stadium
Gaziantep Stadyumu
Capacity
33502
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ , Clear

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

20
Zafer Görgen
Zafer Görgen Goalkeeper
6.8
44
Alexandru Maxim
Alexandru Maxim Midfielder
7.38
2
Luis Pérez
Luis Pérez Midfielder
6.89
10
Kacper Kozlowski
Kacper Kozlowski Midfielder
6.97
11
Christopher Lungoyi
Christopher Lungoyi Midfielder
6.73
9
Mohamed Bayo
Mohamed Bayo Centre Forward
7.03
23
Tayyip Talha Sanuç
Tayyip Talha Sanuç Centre Back
6.77
3
Drissa Camara
Drissa Camara Central Midfield
7.13
14
Myenty Abena
Myenty Abena Left Back
6.82
17
Karamba Gassama
Karamba Gassama Central Midfield
6.62
30
N. Sangaré
N. Sangaré Right Back
6.77

Starting XI ▼

25
Bilal Bayazıt
Bilal Bayazıt Goalkeeper
6.9
63
Fedor Chalov
Fedor Chalov Centre Forward
6.47
2
J. Katongo
J. Katongo Right Back
6.33
7
Miguel Cardoso
Miguel Cardoso Left Wing
6.94
15
Youssef Aït Bennasser
Youssef Aït Bennasser Defensive Midfield
6.81
4
Stefano Denswil
Stefano Denswil Left Back
6.71
6
Semih Güler
Semih Güler Right Back
6.7
30
Joshua Brenet
Joshua Brenet Left Back
6.34
33
Furkan Soyalp
Furkan Soyalp Attacking Midfield
6.77
18
Denis Makarov
Denis Makarov Right Wing
6.59
24
Dorukhan Toköz
Dorukhan Toköz Defensive Midfield
6.49

CONCLUSION

Gaziantep F.K. has the stronger pre-match profile with a power advantage of 3.6 points over Kayserispor. Projection data selects Gaziantep F.K. as the leader at 43.7 percent, indicating that projection and structural signals align. In the league Gaziantep F.K. sits 11th with a form record of W1 D3 L2 from six matches while Kayserispor is 16th having W1 D1 L4 from six matches. Both teams lost their last outings. Improved defensive execution and control in midfield will be critical factors in determining the result of this Regular Season match.

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