Gent vs Sint-Truiden Prediction, Preview and Stats

Belgium flag 2025/2026 Pro League, Belgium
Planet Group Arena Sun, 19 Apr - 11:30 AM
Pro League
Gent GNT
Versus
Sint-Truiden SIT
KICKOFF : Sun, 19 Apr - 11:30 AM
Round 3 Championship Round

CONTEXT

In the 2025/2026 Pro League Championship Round, Gent are set to face Sint-Truiden at the Planet Group Arena. Currently fifth in the table, the home side boast a power score of 21.71 compared to the visitors' 17.73, giving them a four-point advantage and marking them as the stronger team. Form also smiles on Gent, who have collected three wins and a draw from their last six matches, in contrast to Sint-Truiden's single victory in the same span. The last outings saw both sides taste defeat, Gent losing away at Anderlecht while Sint-Truiden were beaten at home by Club Brugge. With league positions so close, this promises to be a pivotal fixture as both clubs seek to gain ground in the competitive championship phase.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Gent hold home power advantage and higher league spot in close Championship Round clash.
  • Form: Gent W3 D1 L2 in last six; Sint-Truiden W1 L5 showing poor form.
  • Squad: No major squad issues reported for either side ahead of the fixture.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics unavailable with low confidence proxy data in use.
  • Transition: Gent expected to control transitions thanks to overall power edge.
  • Set pieces: Limited set piece data at low confidence, both teams using proxy metrics.
  • xVariable: xVariable points to balanced contest with no clear advanced edge.
  • Market: Gent 36.1% (Δ+0%) | Draw 27.1% (Δ+0%) | Sint-Truiden 36.8% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Gent R. Demil
R. Demil
VS
Sint-Truiden W. Vrancken
W. Vrancken
1.32
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.82
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Anderlecht Rank: L
Mechelen Rank: D
Dender Rank: W
Zulte-Waregem Rank: W
Mechelen Rank: W
Genk Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Club Brugge Rank: L
Union Saint-Gilloise Rank: L
Union Saint-Gilloise Rank: L
Genk Rank: L
Cercle Brugge Rank: W
Antwerp Rank: L
18
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
18 - 9 - 11
11
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Gent
36.1%
Draw
27.07%
Away Sint-Truiden
36.83%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
21.71
17.73
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Gent
Sint-Truiden
Power Score
21.71
17.73
League Position
5
6
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Gent — Opponent-weighted form score
Sint-Truiden — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Gent Sint-Truiden

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 38 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Gent GNT Home
38 matches
Sint-Truiden SIT Away
Match Record
18
Wins
11
9
Draws
9
11
Losses
18
Goals
64
Goals Scored
43
43
Goals Conceded
64
+21
Goal Difference
-21
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-16T01:03:22+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
D. Roef
33 D. Roef
D. Hashioka
4 D. Hashioka
M. Volckaert
57 M. Volckaert
S. Van der Heyden
44 S. Van der Heyden
M. Skóraś
8 M. Skóraś
L. da Silva Lopes
22 L. da Silva Lopes
T. De Vlieger
27 T. De Vlieger
T. Alves Araújo
20 T. Alves Araújo
H. Hong
24 H. Hong
M. Dean
21 M. Dean
A. Kanga
7 A. Kanga
L. Kokubo
16 L. Kokubo
T. Hata
3 T. Hata
V. Musliu
26 V. Musliu
S. Taniguchi
5 S. Taniguchi
R. Vanwesemael
60 R. Vanwesemael
R. Yamamoto
6 R. Yamamoto
A. Sissako
8 A. Sissako
I. Sebaoui
10 I. Sebaoui
R. Ito
13 R. Ito
A. Muja
7 A. Muja
K. Goto
42 K. Goto

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 19, 2026, 11:30 AM
Competition
2025/2026 Pro League, Belgium · Round 3 · Championship Round
Stadium
Planet Group Arena
Capacity
20185
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

33
Davy Roef
Davy Roef Goalkeeper
6.95
20
Tiago Araújo
Tiago Araújo Midfielder
6.89
8
Michal Skoras
Michal Skoras Midfielder
7.47
7
Wilfried Kanga
Wilfried Kanga Attacker
7.08
21
Max Dean
Max Dean Attacker
6.95
44
Siebe Van der Heyden
Siebe Van der Heyden Left Back
6.86
4
Daiki Hashioka
Daiki Hashioka Right Back
6.46
22
Leonardo Lopes
Leonardo Lopes Central Midfield
6.74
24
Hyun-seok Hong
Hyun-seok Hong Attacking Midfield
6.78
27
Tibe De Vlieger
Tibe De Vlieger Central Midfield
6.86
57
Matties Volckaert
Matties Volckaert Centre Back
6.78

Starting XI ▼

16
Leo Kokubo
Leo Kokubo Goalkeeper
6.99
42
Keisuke Goto
Keisuke Goto Centre Forward
6.9
3
Taiga Hata
Taiga Hata Left Back
6.67
5
Shogo Taniguchi
Shogo Taniguchi Right Back
6.89
6
Rihito Yamamoto
Rihito Yamamoto Defensive Midfield
7.18
7
Arbnor Muja
Arbnor Muja Right Wing
6.9
8
Abdoulaye Sissako
Abdoulaye Sissako Defensive Midfield
6.95
10
Ilias Sebaoui
Ilias Sebaoui Left Wing
6.88
13
Ryotaro Ito
Ryotaro Ito Attacking Midfield
7.44
26
Visar Musliu
Visar Musliu Left Back
7.01
60
Robert-Jan Vanwesemael
Robert-Jan Vanwesemael Right Back
6.75

CONCLUSION

Gent start as the more likely winners thanks to their better recent results and overall strength. Sint-Truiden have found wins hard to come by lately and will need to improve significantly to take something from this away trip. The even projections indicate that a draw is a distinct possibility, yet the home advantage and form edge point towards Gent prevailing. Both managers will be looking for their teams to bounce back from last weekend's losses and produce a performance that boosts their championship aspirations. It should be a competitive match with plenty at stake for these mid-table sides in the upper half of the Pro League.

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