FC Andorra vs Real Valladolid Prediction, Preview and Stats

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain
Nou Estadi a Encamp Sun, 19 Apr - 12:00 PM
La Liga 2
FC Andorra AND
1 Winner 0
Real Valladolid REV
Full Time Sun, 19 Apr 12:00 PM
Round 36 Regular Season
Marc Cardona - 62'
Goal
|

CONTEXT

FC Andorra claimed a 1-0 home win against Real Valladolid, showcasing dominance with 70% possession throughout the match. The first half ended goalless, with both teams scoreless at halftime, before Andorra broke the deadlock in the second period to secure the victory. Identified as the stronger team beforehand, FC Andorra delivered a performance that resulted in a significant 57.5% structural deviation in their favor. No red cards disrupted play, and the outcome aligned with pre-match market expectations. Efficiency levels stayed in line with projections, though xG data was unavailable for deeper analysis. Possession superiority translated effectively into the winning goal, underlining Andorra's control without major second-half adjustments needed.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: FC Andorra's win featured a significant 57.5% structural deviation.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency remained in line with expectations.
  • xG alignment: xG data unavailable to assess alignment.
  • Market alignment: Outcome aligned with pre-match market expectations.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations unavailable due to missing data.
  • Event impact: No notable events or adjustments impacted the match.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards occurred, resulting in no distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

M. Orellana Cid

25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

?. Ramos Cinos

1st Assistant

J. Sarmiento Millet

2nd Assistant

?. Canovas García Villarrubia

4th Official

FC Andorra C. Manso Rubio
C. Manso Rubio
VS
Real Valladolid F. Escriba Segura
F. Escriba Segura
1.36
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.96
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Cádiz Rank: W
Racing Santander Rank: W
Málaga Rank: D
Cultural Leonesa Rank: W
SD Eibar Rank: L
Granada Rank: D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
SD Eibar Rank: D
Cultural Leonesa Rank: L
Cádiz Rank: W
Burgos Rank: L
Mirandés Rank: L
Leganés Rank: W
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 0 - 1
1

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home FC Andorra
42.47%
Draw
28.1%
Away Real Valladolid
29.43%

Movement

Changes since opening
FC Andorra
-52.76%
Draw
+23.52%
Real Valladolid
+29.24%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
28.19
21.21
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
FC Andorra
Real Valladolid
Power Score
28.19
21.21
League Position
9
17
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
FC Andorra — Opponent-weighted form score
Real Valladolid — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) FC Andorra Real Valladolid

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

FC Andorra

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Real Valladolid

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

FC Andorra ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Real Valladolid
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
20.43
18.00
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
18.00
20.43
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
FC Andorra +0.24 Efficiency Index
vs
Real Valladolid -0.24 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
FC Andorra
Real Valladolid
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

FC Andorra ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Real Valladolid
Created Set-piece attacking threat
FC Andorra Real Valladolid
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
FC Andorra Real Valladolid
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
FC Andorra
Real Valladolid
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
FC Andorra
vs
Real Valladolid
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
FC Andorra Real Valladolid
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
FC Andorra 0.17
Real Valladolid 0.14
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
FC Andorra Real Valladolid
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
FC Andorra 0.00
Real Valladolid 0.02
FC Andorra
Real Valladolid
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • AND had peak pressure around 17'.
  • AND started the game with stronger pressure.
AND Pressure REV Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: AND reached the top pressure at 17' (82.11).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 3 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

FC Andorra AND Home
3 matches
Real Valladolid REV Away
Match Record
2
Wins
1
0
Draws
0
1
Losses
2
Goals
3
Goals Scored
3
3
Goals Conceded
3
0
Goal Difference
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-20T00:02:08+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
J. Owono Ngua Akeng
Equatorial Guinea
13 J. Owono Ngua Akeng
T. Carrique
Substitution
France
17 T. Carrique
G. Alonso Moreno
Spain
4 G. Alonso Moreno
D. Alende López
Spain
23 D. Alende López
M. Vilà García
Spain
20 M. Vilà García
E. Akman
Turkey
8 E. Akman
M. Costa
Spain
18 M. Costa
D. Villahermosa Martínez
Substitution
Spain
6 D. Villahermosa Martínez
J. Cerdà Amengual
Substitution
Spain
21 J. Cerdà Amengual
M. Kim
Substitution
Spain
29 M. Kim
A. García Lopéz
Substitution
Spain
16 A. García Lopéz
Pitch
Á. Aceves Catalina
Spain
1 Á. Aceves Catalina
C. Clerc Martínez
Spain
18 C. Clerc Martínez
D. Torres Ortiz
Spain
4 D. Torres Ortiz
P. Tomeo Félez
Spain
15 P. Tomeo Félez
C. Michelin
France
2 C. Michelin
J. Ponceau
Substitution
France
21 J. Ponceau
S. Jurić
Croatia
24 S. Jurić
P. Gonzalez Carmona
Substitution
Spain
22 P. Gonzalez Carmona
I. San José Cantalejo
Substitution
Spain
20 I. San José Cantalejo
L. Sanseviero
Substitution
Uruguay
19 L. Sanseviero
J. Latasa Fernandez Layos
Substitution
Spain
9 J. Latasa Fernandez Layos

General Information

Date & Time :
Apr 19, 2026, 12:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain · Round 36 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Nou Estadi a Encamp
Capacity :
5500
Attendance :
2200
Pitch Surface :
Artificial turf
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Manuel Jesús Orellana Cid
Ángel Ramos Cinos
José Manuel Sarmiento Millet
?. Canovas García Villarrubia

Statistics

Possession
AND
65%
REV
35%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 0
3 Big Chances Created 0
11 Shots 4
66 Dangerous attacks 28
70 Possession 30
8 Corners 2
13 Free kicks 10
1 Yellow Cards 4

Match Overview

5 Goal Kicks 8
8 Successful Dribbles 5
42 Successful Dribbles Percentage 45
19 Dribble Attempts 11
13 Throwins 22
68 Ball Safe 64
6 Goal Attempts 2
1 Assists 0
5 Substitutions 6

Attacking

120 Attacks 62
2 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

612 Passes 255
8 Key Passes 2
90 Successful Passes Percentage 75
42 Long Passes 49
25 Successful Long Passes 22
60 Successful Long Passes Percentage 45
550 Successful Passes 190

Defensive

46 Duels Won 48
11 Tackles 20
3 Interceptions 12

Build-up

4 Accurate Crosses 1
23 Total Crosses 11

Discipline

1 Offsides 3
10 Fouls 13

Lineup

Referee : Manuel Jesús Orellana Cid

Starting XI ▼

13
Jesús Owono
Jesús Owono Goalkeeper
6.84
4
Gael Alonso
Gael Alonso Defender
7.1
17
Thomas Carrique
Thomas Carrique Defender
6.76
14
Sergio Molina
Sergio Molina
Midfielder82'
7.04
20
Martí Vilà
Martí Vilà Defender
6.74
23
Diego Alende
Diego Alende Defender
6.62
6
Dani Villahermosa
Dani Villahermosa Midfielder
7
2
Álex Petxarroman
Álex Petxarroman
Defender81'
6.58
8
Efe Akman
Efe Akman Midfielder
6.68
18
Marc Doménech
Marc Doménech Midfielder
6.85
16
Jastin Garcia
Jastin Garcia Attacker
6.84
22
Marc Cardona
Marc Cardona
Attacker57'
6.57
21
Josep Cerdà
Josep Cerdà Attacker
7.05
24
Théo Le Normand
Théo Le Normand
Midfielder82'
6.59
29
Min-su Kim
Min-su Kim Attacker
6.8
9
Manu Nieto
Manu Nieto
Attacker69'
6.79
Referee : Manuel Jesús Orellana Cid

Starting XI ▼

1
Álvaro Aceves
Álvaro Aceves Goalkeeper
6.7
2
Clément Michelin
Clément Michelin Defender
6.72
4
David Torres
David Torres Defender
6.75
15
Pablo Tomeo
Pablo Tomeo Defender
6.73
18
Carlos Clerc
Carlos Clerc Defender
6.65
19
Lucas Sanseviero
Lucas Sanseviero Midfielder
6.38
17
Stipe Biuk
Stipe Biuk
Attacker66'
6.73
20
Chuki
Chuki Midfielder
7.04
10
Marcos André
Marcos André
Attacker66'
6.75
21
Julien Ponceau
Julien Ponceau Midfielder
6.83
6
Mathis Lachuer
Mathis Lachuer
Midfielder78'
6.65
22
Peter Federico
Peter Federico Midfielder
6.9
25
Vegard Erlien
Vegard Erlien
Attacker87'
6.54
24
Stanko Juric
Stanko Juric Midfielder
6.96
9
Juanmi Latasa
Juanmi Latasa Attacker
6.91
39
Noah Ohio
Noah Ohio
Attacker78'
6.51

Events

2ND-HALF
90+6'
Event
David Torres
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
87'
Event
Vegard Erlien → Peter Federico
10th Substitution
84'
Event
Stanko Juric
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
Event
Sergio Molina → Thomas Carrique
8th Substitution
82'
Event
Théo Le Normand → Josep Cerdà
9th Substitution
82'
Event
Álex Petxarroman → Dani Villahermosa
7th Substitution
81'
78'
Event
Mathis Lachuer → Julien Ponceau
5th Substitution
78'
Event
Noah Ohio → Juanmi Latasa
6th Substitution
75'
Event
Juanmi Latasa
Argument / 3rd Yellowcard
72'
Event
Stipe Biuk
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Manu Nieto → Min-su Kim
4th Substitution
69'
66'
Event
Stipe Biuk → Lucas Sanseviero
3rd Substitution
66'
Event
Marcos André → Chuki
2nd Substitution
Event
Marc Cardona
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
62'
Event
Marc Cardona → Jastin Garcia
1st Substitution
57'
1ST-HALF
Event
Marc Doménech
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
35'

CONCLUSION

FC Andorra's 1-0 triumph over Real Valladolid highlighted their superiority, leveraging 70% possession into a decisive second-half goal after a level halftime. The significant structural deviation of 57.5% underscored the home side's effective execution, aligning with market views and maintaining efficiency consistency. Absent xG metrics and disruptions like red cards, the result reflected straightforward dominance by the stronger team, affirming their pre-identified edge without external influences.

FC Andorra vs Real Valladolid preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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