Hartberg vs SK Rapid Prediction, Preview and Stats

Austria flag 2025/2026 Admiral Bundesliga, Austria
PROfertil ARENA Sun, 19 Apr - 12:30 PM
Admiral Bundesliga
Hartberg HTB
Versus
SK Rapid SCR
KICKOFF : Sun, 19 Apr - 12:30 PM
Round 5 Championship Round

CONTEXT

Hartberg host SK Rapid in Admiral Bundesliga (Championship Round) at PROfertil ARENA. Domestically, Hartberg sit 6th in the table while SK Rapid are 5th. Power ranking favours SK Rapid by 5.3 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: SK Rapid enjoys a 5.3-point power advantage over Hartberg, ranked 5th versus 6th.
  • Form: Rapid's form score stands at 22.78, far superior to Hartberg's 7.89.
  • Squad: Rapid's squad power rates at 25.32 against Hartberg's 20.02.
  • Efficiency: No efficiency metrics available for either team.
  • Transition: Transition play data unavailable.
  • Set pieces: Set-piece xG data absent, low confidence with proxies used.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables unavailable for both teams.
  • Market: Baseline split: Hartberg 25.8% (Δ+0%) | Draw 28.9% (Δ+0%) | SK Rapid 45.3% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Hartberg M. Schmid
M. Schmid
VS
SK Rapid J. Hoff Thorup
J. Hoff Thorup
1.44
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.35
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sturm Graz Rank: D
Salzburg Rank: L
Austria Wien Rank: L
LASK Linz Rank: D
Blau-Weiß Linz Rank: D
Salzburg Rank: D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Austria Wien Rank: D
Sturm Graz Rank: L
LASK Linz Rank: W
Salzburg Rank: W
Salzburg Rank: W
Rheindorf Altach Rank: D
8
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
8 - 5 - 9
9
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Hartberg
25.79%
Draw
28.92%
Away SK Rapid
45.3%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
20.02
25.32
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Hartberg
SK Rapid
Power Score
20.02
25.32
League Position
6
5
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Hartberg Opponent-weighted form score
SK Rapid Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Hartberg SK Rapid

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 22 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Hartberg HTB Home
22 matches
SK Rapid SCR Away
Match Record
8
Wins
9
5
Draws
5
9
Losses
8
Goals
32
Goals Scored
38
38
Goals Conceded
32
-6
Goal Difference
+6
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-17T01:03:51+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
T. Hülsmann
40 T. Hülsmann
J. Heil
28 J. Heil
F. Wilfinger
18 F. Wilfinger
L. Spendlhofer
19 L. Spendlhofer
H. Coulibaly
6 H. Coulibaly
L. Pazourek
2 L. Pazourek
B. Markuš
4 B. Markuš
K. Schopp
27 K. Schopp
T. Kainz
23 T. Kainz
C. Hoffmann
22 C. Hoffmann
E. Havel
7 E. Havel
N. Hedl
1 N. Hedl
S. Raux Yao
6 S. Raux Yao
N. Cvetković
55 N. Cvetković
J. Schöller
4 J. Schöller
J. Horn
38 J. Horn
A. Romeo
29 A. Romeo
M. Seidl
18 M. Seidl
B. Bolla
77 B. Bolla
P. Dahl
10 P. Dahl
N. Wurmbrand
15 N. Wurmbrand
A. Weimann
26 A. Weimann

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 19, 2026, 12:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Admiral Bundesliga, Austria · Round 5 · Championship Round
Stadium
PROfertil ARENA
Capacity
4635
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Julian Weinberger
Stefan Pichler
Sebastian Gruber
Alexander Harkam

Expected Lineup

Referee : Julian Weinberger

Starting XI

40
Tom Ritzy Hülsmann
Tom Ritzy Hülsmann Goalkeeper
6.91
7
Elias Havel
Elias Havel Attacker
6.74
22
Marco Hoffmann
Marco Hoffmann Attacker
6.61
4
Benjamin Markus
Benjamin Markus Central Midfield
6.79
6
Habib Coulibaly
Habib Coulibaly Left Back
6.71
19
Lukas Spendlhofer
Lukas Spendlhofer Centre Back
7.1
2
Luca Pazourek
Luca Pazourek Left Back
6.79
18
Fabian Wilfinger
Fabian Wilfinger Right Back
7.03
23
Tobias Kainz
Tobias Kainz Central Midfield
6.92
27
Konstantin Schopp
Konstantin Schopp Central Midfield
7.03
28
Jürgen Heil
Jürgen Heil Right Back
6.82
Referee : Julian Weinberger

Starting XI

1
Niklas Hedl
Niklas Hedl Goalkeeper
6.87
10
Petter Nosa Dahl
Petter Nosa Dahl Midfielder
6.71
15
Nikolaus Wurmbrand
Nikolaus Wurmbrand Midfielder
6.8
38
Jannes Horn
Jannes Horn Midfielder
6.86
77
Bendegúz Bolla
Bendegúz Bolla Midfielder
7.05
26
Andreas Weimann
Andreas Weimann Centre Forward
6.63
29
Romeo Amane
Romeo Amane Central Midfield
6.96
55
Nenad Cvetkovic
Nenad Cvetkovic Centre Back
7.12
4
Jakob Schöller
Jakob Schöller Right Back
6.16
6
Serge-Philippe Raux-Yao
Serge-Philippe Raux-Yao Left Back
6.88
18
Matthias Seidl
Matthias Seidl Central Midfield
7.14

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward SK Rapid holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give SK Rapid a 5.3-point edge. External projection is Hartberg 25.8%, draw 28.9%, and SK Rapid 45.3%. That projection profile aligns with the structural signals. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.