Hellas Verona vs AC Milan Prediction, Preview and Stats

Italy flag 2025/2026 Serie A, Italy
Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi Sun, 19 Apr - 1:00 PM
Serie A
Hellas Verona VER
Versus
AC Milan MIL
KICKOFF : Sun, 19 Apr - 1:00 PM
Round 33 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Hellas Verona face a tough test at home against AC Milan in this Serie A Regular Season match at the Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi during the 2025/2026 season. Currently positioned 19th in the league, Verona are in a relegation scrap, having secured only one win from their last six games. In contrast, AC Milan occupy third place and carry a formidable power score of 31.78 compared to the hosts' 12.57, resulting in a 19.2 point advantage for the visitors. Recent results have not been kind to either team, as Verona suffered a loss away to Torino and Milan were defeated at home by Udinese. This fixture represents an opportunity for Milan to bounce back and maintain their strong standing, while Verona must find a way to tighten their defense and create surprises against a superior opponent. The atmosphere at the Bentegodi will be electric as the home fans urge their team to fight for every point in a challenging campaign.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Hellas Verona sit 19th in the table facing a daunting task against 3rd-placed AC Milan, who boast a 19.2 power score advantage.
  • Form: Verona have won just once in six matches while Milan have three victories from their last six, though both lost their most recent outings.
  • Squad: Milan possess higher squad quality and depth, contrasting Verona's more limited resources in their relegation battle.
  • Efficiency: Limited efficiency data available but Milan's overall dominance points to stronger resource utilization across the pitch.
  • Transition: The visitors are well-equipped to exploit transitions, targeting spaces in Verona's often stretched defensive line.
  • Set pieces: Set piece information shows low confidence and reliance on proxy data, offering little edge to either side.
  • xVariable: Advanced power metrics heavily favor AC Milan, highlighting their edge in key performance indicators.
  • Market: Hellas Verona 14.9% (Δ+0%) | Draw 24.4% (Δ+0%) | AC Milan 60.7% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Hellas Verona P. Sammarco
P. Sammarco
VS
AC Milan M. Allegri
M. Allegri
0.56
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.92
0.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Torino Rank: L
Fiorentina Rank: L
Atalanta Rank: L
Genoa Rank: L
Bologna Rank: W
Napoli Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Udinese Rank: L
Napoli Rank: L
Torino Rank: W
Lazio Rank: L
Inter Rank: W
Cremonese Rank: W
3
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
3 - 4 - 15
15
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Hellas Verona
14.88%
Draw
24.43%
Away AC Milan
60.69%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
12.57
31.78
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Hellas Verona
AC Milan
Power Score
12.57
31.78
League Position
19
3
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Hellas Verona — Opponent-weighted form score
AC Milan — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Hellas Verona AC Milan

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 22 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Hellas Verona VER Home
22 matches
AC Milan MIL Away
Match Record
3
Wins
15
4
Draws
4
15
Losses
3
Goals
21
Goals Scored
42
42
Goals Conceded
21
-21
Goal Difference
+21
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-16T01:04:31+00:00

STARTING XI

Pitch
L. Montipò
Italy
1 L. Montipò
V. Nelsson
Denmark
15 V. Nelsson
A. Edmundsson
Faroe Islands
5 A. Edmundsson
M. Frese
Denmark
3 M. Frese
D. Oyegoke
England
2 D. Oyegoke
J. Akpa Akpro
Ivory Coast
11 J. Akpa Akpro
R. Gagliardini
Italy
63 R. Gagliardini
A. Bernede
France
24 A. Bernede
R. Belghali
Algeria
7 R. Belghali
A. Harroui
Morocco
21 A. Harroui
K. Bowie
Scotland
18 K. Bowie
M. Maignan
France
16 M. Maignan
D. Bartesaghi
Italy
33 D. Bartesaghi
S. Pavlović
Serbia
31 S. Pavlović
K. De Winter
Belgium
5 K. De Winter
Z. Athekame
Switzerland
24 Z. Athekame
A. Rabiot
France
12 A. Rabiot
L. Modrić
Croatia
14 L. Modrić
S. Ricci
Italy
4 S. Ricci
C. Pulisic
United States
11 C. Pulisic
R. Conceição Leão
Portugal
10 R. Conceição Leão
A. Saelemaekers
Belgium
56 A. Saelemaekers

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 19, 2026, 01:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Serie A, Italy · Round 33 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi
Capacity
39045
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Andrea Zingarelli
Paolo Laudato
Daniele Chiffi
Luca Massimi

Lineup

Referee : Daniele Chiffi

Starting XI ▼

1
Lorenzo Montipò
Lorenzo Montipò Goalkeeper
6.56
3
Martin Frese
Martin Frese Defender
6.86
5
Andrias Edmundsson
Andrias Edmundsson Defender
6.8
15
Victor Nelsson
Victor Nelsson Defender
6.76
2
Daniel Oyegoke
Daniel Oyegoke Midfielder
6.56
7
Rafik Belghali
Rafik Belghali Midfielder
6.71
11
Jean-Daniel Akpa Akpro
Jean-Daniel Akpa Akpro Midfielder
6.84
24
Antoine Bernede
Antoine Bernede Midfielder
6.68
63
Roberto Gagliardini
Roberto Gagliardini Midfielder
6.93
18
Kieron Bowie
Kieron Bowie Attacker
6.86
21
Abdou Harroui
Abdou Harroui Attacker
6.53
Referee : Daniele Chiffi

Starting XI ▼

16
Mike Maignan
Mike Maignan Goalkeeper
7.08
5
Koni De Winter
Koni De Winter Defender
6.83
24
Zachary Athekame
Zachary Athekame Defender
6.6
31
Strahinja Pavlović
Strahinja Pavlović Defender
6.97
33
Davide Bartesaghi
Davide Bartesaghi Defender
7
4
Samuele Ricci
Samuele Ricci Midfielder
6.82
12
Adrien Rabiot
Adrien Rabiot Midfielder
7.28
14
Luka Modrić
Luka Modrić Midfielder
7.35
10
Rafael Leão
Rafael Leão Attacker
7.02
11
Christian Pulisic
Christian Pulisic Attacker
7.18
56
Alexis Saelemaekers
Alexis Saelemaekers Attacker
7.15

CONCLUSION

Overall, AC Milan enter this encounter as the stronger side with better recent form and a significant power advantage that should translate into a positive result on the road. Verona's poor league position and inconsistent performances suggest they will have to mount a resilient defensive effort to contain Milan's attacking threats. The visitors have the squad depth and tactical flexibility to break down stubborn opposition, particularly through effective transitions and organized build-up play. While set piece contributions remain difficult to quantify with current data, Milan's quality throughout the team makes them favorites to secure the victory. Verona will hope for a turnaround but face an uphill battle against one of the division's top performers.

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