Monaco vs Auxerre Prediction, Preview and Stats

France flag 2025/2026 Ligue 1, France
Stade Louis II. Sun, 19 Apr - 1:00 PM
Ligue 1
Monaco ASM
Versus
Auxerre AUX
KICKOFF : Sun, 19 Apr - 1:00 PM
Round 30 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Monaco face Auxerre at Stade Louis II in a Ligue 1 clash during the 2025/2026 regular season. The hosts, positioned seventh, boast a formidable recent record of five wins from six matches and hold a commanding power score advantage. Auxerre sit 16th and have been less impressive, managing only one win and four draws in their last six games. Monaco come into this after a loss away at Paris, whereas Auxerre earned a draw at home versus Nantes. The significant 23.3 point power gap suggests the home side are well-equipped to dictate proceedings against a team languishing near the bottom of the standings. With home support behind them, Monaco will aim to translate their superiority into a positive result to maintain their push for a higher league finish.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Monaco in 7th host Auxerre in 16th at Stade Louis II.
  • Form: Strong home form of W5 D0 L1 contrasts Auxerre's W1 D4 L1.
  • Squad: No key squad information available for either side.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data not available for this fixture.
  • Transition: Monaco likely to dominate transitions with power edge.
  • Set pieces: Low confidence proxy data for set piece performance.
  • xVariable: Clear 23.3 point power score advantage to Monaco.
  • Market: Baseline split: Monaco 61.6% (Δ+0%) | Draw 22.1% (Δ+0%) | Auxerre 16.3% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Monaco S. Pocognoli
S. Pocognoli
VS
Auxerre C. Pélissier
C. Pélissier
1.67
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.82
2.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Paris Rank: L
Olympique Marseille Rank: W
Olympique Lyonnais Rank: W
Brest Rank: W
Paris Saint Germain Rank: W
Angers SCO Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Nantes Rank: D
Le Havre Rank: D
Brest Rank: W
Olympique Marseille Rank: L
Strasbourg Rank: D
Lorient Rank: D
9
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
9 - 2 - 6
6
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Monaco
61.62%
Draw
22.11%
Away Auxerre
16.27%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
41.15
17.89
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Monaco
Auxerre
Power Score
41.15
17.89
League Position
7
16
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Monaco — Opponent-weighted form score
Auxerre — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Monaco Auxerre

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 17 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Monaco ASM Home
17 matches
Auxerre AUX Away
Match Record
9
Wins
6
2
Draws
2
6
Losses
9
Goals
26
Goals Scored
19
19
Goals Conceded
26
+7
Goal Difference
-7
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-16T01:05:00+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
L. Hradecký
1 L. Hradecký
T. Kehrer
5 T. Kehrer
D. Zakaria Lako Lado
6 D. Zakaria Lako Lado
W. Faes
25 W. Faes
J. Teze
4 J. Teze
A. Bamba
23 A. Bamba
M. Coulibaly
28 M. Coulibaly
C. Mawissa Elebi
13 C. Mawissa Elebi
M. Akliouche
11 M. Akliouche
S. Adingra
24 S. Adingra
F. Balogun
9 F. Balogun
D. Léon
16 D. Léon
G. Mensah
14 G. Mensah
B. Okoh
24 B. Okoh
S. Diomande
20 S. Diomande
M. Senaya
29 M. Senaya
E. Owusu
42 E. Owusu
K. Danois
5 K. Danois
F. Oppegard
22 F. Oppegard
D. Loader
19 D. Loader
R. Faivre
28 R. Faivre
L. Sinayoko
10 L. Sinayoko

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 19, 2026, 01:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Ligue 1, France · Round 30 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stade Louis II.
Capacity
18523
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Thomas Léonard
Ludovic Reyes
Julien Garrigues
Remi Landry

Expected Lineup

Referee : Thomas Léonard

Starting XI ▼

1
Lukas Hradecky
Lukas Hradecky Goalkeeper
6.79
13
Christian Mawissa
Christian Mawissa Midfielder
6.73
11
Maghnes Akliouche
Maghnes Akliouche Midfielder
7.03
24
Simon Adingra
Simon Adingra Midfielder
6.73
4
J. Teze
J. Teze Midfielder
6.91
9
Folarin Balogun
Folarin Balogun Centre Forward
6.95
6
Denis Zakaria
Denis Zakaria Centre Back
6.9
25
Wout Faes
Wout Faes Left Back
6.79
28
Mamadou Coulibaly
Mamadou Coulibaly Central Midfield
6.8
23
Aladji Bamba
Aladji Bamba Central Midfield
6.84
5
Thilo Kehrer
Thilo Kehrer Right Back
6.93
Referee : Thomas Léonard

Starting XI ▼

16
Donovan Léon
Donovan Léon Goalkeeper
6.85
10
Lassine Sinayoko
Lassine Sinayoko Centre Forward
7.06
42
Elisha Owusu
Elisha Owusu Defensive Midfield
6.73
22
Fredrik Oppegård
Fredrik Oppegård Left Wing
6.62
19
Danny Namaso
Danny Namaso Attacking Midfield
6.81
24
Bryan Okoh
Bryan Okoh Left Back
7.16
28
Romain Faivre
Romain Faivre Right Wing
6.93
5
Kévin Danois
Kévin Danois Defensive Midfield
7.09
14
Gideon Mensah
Gideon Mensah Left Back
6.73
20
Sinaly Diomandé
Sinaly Diomandé Right Back
6.79
29
Marvin Senaya
Marvin Senaya Right Back
6.83

CONCLUSION

Overall, Monaco are expected to prevail in this encounter thanks to their better form, higher league position and substantial power advantage over Auxerre. The visitors have shown some defensive resolve with multiple draws but will find it tough to contain the hosts at Stade Louis II. Limited information on efficiency, transitions and set pieces points to a match where Monaco's general quality should shine through. A controlled performance from the home team could see them secure a victory by exploiting spaces in a likely deep Auxerre setup. This result would further solidify Monaco's mid-table standing while leaving Auxerre with work to do to climb away from the relegation zone.

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