SC Freiburg vs Heidenheim Prediction, Preview and Stats

Germany flag 2025/2026 Bundesliga, Germany
Europa-Park Stadion Sun, 19 Apr - 1:30 PM
Bundesliga
SC Freiburg SCF
Versus
Heidenheim HDH
KICKOFF : Sun, 19 Apr - 1:30 PM
Round 30 Regular Season

CONTEXT

SC Freiburg host Heidenheim in Bundesliga (Regular Season) at Europa-Park Stadion. Domestically, SC Freiburg sit 8th in the table while Heidenheim are 18th. Power ranking favours SC Freiburg by 19.3 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: SC Freiburg possess a 19.3-point power advantage over Heidenheim, with scores of 33.82 versus 14.48.
  • Form: Freiburg's form score of 14.44 surpasses Heidenheim's 11.33.
  • Squad: Freiburg rank 8th in the Bundesliga, while Heidenheim sit 18th.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics are unavailable for both teams.
  • Transition: Transition strengths inferred from power scores favor Freiburg significantly.
  • Set pieces: Set piece data unavailable due to lack of xG metrics and low confidence proxies.
  • xVariable: xG variables not available as add-on is disabled.
  • Market: Baseline split: SC Freiburg 56.8% (Δ+0%) | Draw 22.9% (Δ+0%) | Heidenheim 20.2% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
SC Freiburg J. Schuster
J. Schuster
VS
Heidenheim F. Schmidt
F. Schmidt
1.39
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.68
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
FSV Mainz 05 Rank: W
FC Bayern München Rank: L
St. Pauli Rank: W
FC Union Berlin Rank: L
Bayer 04 Leverkusen Rank: D
Eintracht Frankfurt Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
FC Union Berlin Rank: W
Borussia Mönchengladbach Rank: D
Bayer 04 Leverkusen Rank: D
Eintracht Frankfurt Rank: L
TSG Hoffenheim Rank: L
Werder Bremen Rank: L
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 1 - 2
2
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home SC Freiburg
56.83%
Draw
22.94%
Away Heidenheim
20.23%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
33.82
14.48
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
SC Freiburg
Heidenheim
Power Score
33.82
14.48
League Position
8
18
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
SC Freiburg — Opponent-weighted form score
Heidenheim — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) SC Freiburg Heidenheim

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 5 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

SC Freiburg SCF Home
5 matches
Heidenheim HDH Away
Match Record
2
Wins
2
1
Draws
1
2
Losses
2
Goals
8
Goals Scored
6
6
Goals Conceded
8
+2
Goal Difference
-2
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-17T01:04:33+00:00

STARTING XI

Pitch
N. Atubolu
Germany
1 N. Atubolu
L. Kübler
Germany
17 L. Kübler
M. Ginter
Germany
28 M. Ginter
B. Ogbus
Switzerland
43 B. Ogbus
C. Günter
Germany
30 C. Günter
M. Eggestein
Germany
8 M. Eggestein
J. Manzambi
Switzerland
44 J. Manzambi
C. Irié
Ivory Coast
22 C. Irié
L. Höler
Germany
9 L. Höler
D. Scherhant
Germany
7 D. Scherhant
I. Matanovic
Croatia
31 I. Matanovic
D. Ramaj
Germany
41 D. Ramaj
H. Behrens
Germany
26 H. Behrens
J. Föhrenbach
Germany
19 J. Föhrenbach
P. Mainka
Germany
6 P. Mainka
M. Busch
Germany
2 M. Busch
M. Honsak
Austria
17 M. Honsak
J. Schöppner
Germany
3 J. Schöppner
J. Niehues
Germany
16 J. Niehues
E. Dinkci
Germany
8 E. Dinkci
S. Schimmer
Germany
9 S. Schimmer
M. Pieringer
Germany
18 M. Pieringer

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 19, 2026, 01:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Bundesliga, Germany · Round 30 · Regular Season
Stadium
Europa-Park Stadion
Capacity
34700
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Eric Müller
Thomas Gorniak
Lars Erbst
Patrick Ittrich

Lineup

Referee : Patrick Ittrich

Starting XI ▼

1
Noah Atubolu
Noah Atubolu Goalkeeper
6.94
17
Lukas Kübler
Lukas Kübler Defender
6.84
28
Matthias Ginter
Matthias Ginter Defender
6.94
30
Christian Günter
Christian Günter Defender
6.57
43
Bruno Ogbus
Bruno Ogbus Defender
6.62
8
Maximilian Eggestein
Maximilian Eggestein Midfielder
6.92
9
Lucas Höler
Lucas Höler Midfielder
6.71
44
Johan Manzambi
Johan Manzambi Midfielder
7
7
Derry Scherhant
Derry Scherhant Attacker
6.67
22
Cyriaque Irié
Cyriaque Irié Attacker
6.66
31
Igor Matanovic
Igor Matanovic Attacker
6.87
Referee : Patrick Ittrich

Starting XI ▼

41
Diant Ramaj
Diant Ramaj Goalkeeper
6.78
2
Marnon Busch
Marnon Busch Defender
6.74
6
Patrick Mainka
Patrick Mainka Defender
6.99
19
Jonas Föhrenbach
Jonas Föhrenbach Defender
6.6
26
Hennes Behrens
Hennes Behrens Defender
6.88
3
Jan Schöppner
Jan Schöppner Midfielder
6.51
8
Eren Dinkçi
Eren Dinkçi Midfielder
6.44
16
Julian Niehues
Julian Niehues Midfielder
6.75
17
Mathias Honsak
Mathias Honsak Midfielder
6.64
9
Stefan Schimmer
Stefan Schimmer Attacker
6.73
18
Marvin Pieringer
Marvin Pieringer Attacker
6.83

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward SC Freiburg holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give SC Freiburg a 19.3-point edge. External projection is SC Freiburg 56.8%, draw 22.9%, and Heidenheim 20.2%. That projection profile aligns with the structural signals. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.

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