Spartak Moskva vs Akhmat Grozny Prediction, Preview and Stats

Russia flag 2025/2026 Premier League, Russia
Otkrytie Arena Sun, 19 Apr - 2:00 PM
Premier League
Spartak Moskva Spartak Moskva
Versus
Akhmat Grozny AKH
KICKOFF : Sun, 19 Apr - 2:00 PM
Round 25 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Spartak Moskva welcome Akhmat Grozny to the Otkrytie Arena for a 2025/2026 Premier League regular season fixture. Sitting in sixth place, the hosts boast a power score of 31.6 against the visitors' 23.32, creating an 8.3 point advantage that underlines their status as the stronger side. Spartak have compiled a form record of four wins, one draw and one loss across six matches, while Akhmat Grozny occupy ninth with two wins, three draws and one defeat in the same period. Both sides emerged with draws from their most recent away assignments against Rostov and Krylya Sovetov. Home support at this venue typically fuels energetic displays from Spartak, who will seek to exploit their metrics. Akhmat arrive intent on disrupting rhythm and securing a result through disciplined effort in a contest that highlights mid-table ambitions.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Sixth-placed hosts face ninth-placed visitors with clear home edge in standings.
  • Form: Spartak hold superior record of W4 D1 L1 compared to Akhmat's W2 D3 L1.
  • Squad: Hosts benefit from consistent selection and familiar home environment.
  • Efficiency: Spartak exhibit higher power score and overall quality metrics.
  • Transition: Both sides aim for swift shifts from defence into attacking phases.
  • Set pieces: Limited data shows low confidence and proxy reliance for both teams.
  • xVariable: Power differential stands as primary factor tilting toward home success.
  • Market: Spartak Moskva 0% (Δ+0%) | Draw 0% (Δ+0%) | Akhmat Grozny 0% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Spartak Moskva J. Carcedo Mardones
J. Carcedo Mardones
VS
Akhmat Grozny S. Cherchesov
S. Cherchesov
1.92
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.23
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Rostov Rank: D
Lokomotiv Moskva Rank: W
Orenburg Rank: W
Zenit Rank: L
Akron Rank: W
Sochi Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Krylya Sovetov Rank: D
Krasnodar Rank: L
Rostov Rank: W
Akron Rank: D
Lokomotiv Moskva Rank: D
CSKA Moskva Rank: W
19
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
19 - 9 - 9
9
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Spartak Moskva
0%
Draw
0%
Away Akhmat Grozny
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
31.6
23.32
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Spartak Moskva
Akhmat Grozny
Power Score
31.6
23.32
League Position
6
9
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Spartak Moskva — Opponent-weighted form score
Akhmat Grozny — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Spartak Moskva Akhmat Grozny

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 37 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Spartak Moskva Spartak Moskva Home
37 matches
Akhmat Grozny AKH Away
Match Record
19
Wins
9
9
Draws
9
9
Losses
19
Goals
59
Goals Scored
38
38
Goals Conceded
59
+21
Goal Difference
-21
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-16T01:05:30+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
A. Maximenko
98 A. Maximenko
G. Carvalho Fernandes
83 G. Carvalho Fernandes
C. Wooh
3 C. Wooh
A. Djiku
4 A. Djiku
I. Dmitriev
27 I. Dmitriev
N. Umyarov
18 N. Umyarov
R. Litvinov
68 R. Litvinov
J. Costa Martins
10 J. Costa Martins
E. Barco
5 E. Barco
R. Zobnin
47 R. Zobnin
M. Ugalde
9 M. Ugalde
V. Uljanov
1 V. Uljanov
M. Bogosavac
8 M. Bogosavac
K. Cake
5 K. Cake
M. Zare Mohazabieh
22 M. Zare Mohazabieh
D. Khlusevich
82 D. Khlusevich
P. Gadio
37 P. Gadio
S. Pryakhin
19 S. Pryakhin
T. Ibishev
4 T. Ibishev
E. dos Santos Cacintura
17 E. dos Santos Cacintura
M. Samorodov
20 M. Samorodov
G. Melkadze
77 G. Melkadze

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 19, 2026, 02:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Premier League, Russia · Round 25 · Regular Season
Stadium
Otkrytie Arena
Capacity
14274
Pitch Surface
N/A
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

98
Aleksandr Maksimenko
Aleksandr Maksimenko Goalkeeper
6.74
9
Manfred Ugalde
Manfred Ugalde Centre Forward
6.95
83
Gedson Fernandes
Gedson Fernandes Right Back
6.88
3
Christopher Wooh
Christopher Wooh Right Back
6.76
4
Alexander Djiku
Alexander Djiku Left Back
6.78
5
Esequiel Barco
Esequiel Barco Attacking Midfield
7.51
10
Marquinhos
Marquinhos Right Wing
6.81
18
Nail Umyarov
Nail Umyarov Defensive Midfield
7.01
27
Igor Dmitriev
Igor Dmitriev Left Back
6.9
47
Roman Zobnin
Roman Zobnin Left Wing
6.7
68
Ruslan Litvinov
Ruslan Litvinov Defensive Midfield
6.94

Starting XI ▼

1
Vadim Ulyanov
Vadim Ulyanov Goalkeeper
6.88
77
Georgiy Melkadze
Georgiy Melkadze Centre Forward
6.91
22
Mohammadmehdi Zare
Mohammadmehdi Zare Right Back
6.82
4
Turpal-Ali Ibishev
Turpal-Ali Ibishev Left Wing
6.62
5
Klisman Cake
Klisman Cake Left Back
6.84
8
Miroslav Bogosavac
Miroslav Bogosavac Left Back
6.72
17
Egas Cacintura
Egas Cacintura Attacking Midfield
6.89
19
S. Pryakhin
S. Pryakhin Defensive Midfield
6.7
20
Maksim Samorodov
Maksim Samorodov Right Wing
6.94
37
P. Gadio
P. Gadio Defensive Midfield
6.56
82
Daniil Khlusevich
Daniil Khlusevich Right Back
5.98

CONCLUSION

Spartak Moskva hold the initiative thanks to their higher power rating and encouraging recent form at Otkrytie Arena. The sixth-placed side will pursue control from the first whistle, aiming to convert territorial dominance into tangible rewards. Akhmat Grozny possess enough resilience to pose problems on the break and through compact shape, yet face an uphill task against superior metrics. Focus falls on tactical adjustments that could unlock space or maintain defensive integrity across the ninety minutes. While the hosts enter as favorites given their league position and scoring potential, visitors remain capable of frustrating progress if they capitalize on any lapses. This encounter offers both teams a platform to advance their season objectives through committed and intelligent play.

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