Sporting Gijón vs Cádiz Prediction, Preview and Stats

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain
Estadio Municipal El Molinón Sun, 19 Apr - 2:15 PM
La Liga 2
Sporting Gijón SPO
3 Winner 0
Cádiz CAD
Full Time Sun, 19 Apr 2:15 PM
Round 36 Regular Season
Jonathan Dubasin - 77', 32'
Juan Otero - 49'
Goal
|

CONTEXT

Sporting Gijón delivered a dominant 3-0 home win against Cádiz, extending their first-half lead of 1-0 into a comprehensive second-half performance with two additional goals. Possession was tightly contested at 51% for the hosts and 49% for the visitors, reflecting a balanced battle despite the scoreline. No red cards disrupted play, allowing Sporting Gijón, recognized as the stronger side, to control the game from start to finish. The outcome featured minimal structural deviation of 5.3%, aligning closely with pre-match market probabilities where Sporting held a 94.7% implied chance of victory. Efficiency metrics stayed in line with expectations, underscoring the hosts' clinical finishing and defensive solidity. Without xG data available, the result emphasizes Sporting Gijón's superiority in execution and game management.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Minimal 5.3% deviation favored Sporting Gijón.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift stayed in line with expectations.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment undetermined due to unavailable data.
  • Market alignment: Market alignment fully confirmed.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations unavailable from data.
  • Event impact: No second-half adjustments or key events altered dynamics.
  • Red card distortion: Absence of red cards produced no distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

L. Bestard Servera

25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

V. Almarche González

2nd Assistant

P. Oreiro Hermida

4th Official

V. Jiménez Yustos

1st Assistant

Sporting Gijón B. Jiménez Sáez
B. Jiménez Sáez
VS
Cádiz S. González Soriano
S. González Soriano
1.42
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.77
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Burgos Rank: L
Real Sociedad II Rank: W
Racing Santander Rank: L
Deportivo La Coruña Rank: D
Las Palmas Rank: L
Castellón Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
FC Andorra Rank: L
Córdoba Rank: L
Real Valladolid Rank: L
Ceuta Rank: L
Málaga Rank: L
Mirandés Rank: W
6
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
6 - 3 - 6
6

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Sporting Gijón
94.66%
Draw
4.16%
Away Cádiz
1.18%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
24.47
14.81
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Sporting Gijón
Cádiz
Power Score
24.47
14.81
League Position
10
18
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Sporting Gijón — Opponent-weighted form score
Cádiz — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Sporting Gijón Cádiz

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Sporting Gijón

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Cádiz

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Sporting Gijón ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Cádiz
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
34.80
28.06
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
28.06
34.80
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Sporting Gijón +0.67 Efficiency Index
vs
Cádiz -0.67 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Sporting Gijón
Cádiz
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Sporting Gijón ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Cádiz
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Sporting Gijón Cádiz
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Sporting Gijón Cádiz
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Sporting Gijón
Cádiz
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Sporting Gijón
vs
Cádiz
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Sporting Gijón Cádiz
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Sporting Gijón 0.27
Cádiz 0.20
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Sporting Gijón Cádiz
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Sporting Gijón 0.00
Cádiz 0.05
Sporting Gijón
Cádiz
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • SPO had peak pressure around 13'.
  • SPO started the game with stronger pressure.
SPO Pressure CAD Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: SPO reached the top pressure at 13' (94.65).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 15 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Sporting Gijón SPO Home
15 matches
Cádiz CAD Away
Match Record
6
Wins
6
3
Draws
3
6
Losses
6
Goals
20
Goals Scored
21
21
Goals Conceded
20
-1
Goal Difference
+1

Data last updated: 2026-04-20T00:03:59+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-4-2
Pitch
O. Yáñez Alabart
Spain
1 O. Yáñez Alabart
G. Rosas Alonso
Substitution
Spain
2 G. Rosas Alonso
P. Vázquez Pérez
Spain
15 P. Vázquez Pérez
A. Cuenca Cejudo
Substitution
Spain
44 A. Cuenca Cejudo
B. Oliván Herrero
Spain
12 B. Oliván Herrero
J. Smith
British Virgin Islands
24 J. Smith
A. Corredera Alardi
Spain
14 A. Corredera Alardi
J. Otero Tovar
Substitution
Colombia
19 J. Otero Tovar
C. Gelabert Pina
Substitution
Spain
10 C. Gelabert Pina
G. Campos Ansó Fernández
Spain
7 G. Campos Ansó Fernández
J. Dubasin
Substitution
Belgium
17 J. Dubasin
Pitch
V. Aznar
Brazil
13 V. Aznar
M. Climent Plá
Substitution
Spain
21 M. Climent Plá
I. Ortega
Spain
6 I. Ortega
B. Kovačević
Serbia
14 B. Kovačević
J. Díaz Peregrina
Substitution
34 J. Díaz Peregrina
Antonio Cordero
Substitution
16 Antonio Cordero
Y. Diarra
Mali
18 Y. Diarra
S. Ortuño Díaz
Spain
15 S. Ortuño Díaz
J. Fernández Sáez de la Torre
Substitution
Spain
11 J. Fernández Sáez de la Torre
?. García Pascual
23 ?. García Pascual
R. Martí Salvador
Substitution
Spain
9 R. Martí Salvador

General Information

Date & Time :
Apr 19, 2026, 02:15 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain · Round 36 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Estadio Municipal El Molinón
Capacity :
30000
Attendance :
19106
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Vicente Javier Almarche González
Pedro Oreiro Hermida
Lluís Bestard Servera
Víctor Jiménez Yustos

Statistics

Possession
SPO
51%
CAD
49%

Top Statistics

3 Goals 0
6 Big Chances Created 0
15 Shots 11
55 Dangerous attacks 55
51 Possession 49
2 Corners 5
15 Free kicks 13
1 Yellow Cards 6

Match Overview

7 Injuries 2
10 Goal Attempts 6
3 Assists 0
5 Substitutions 5
21 Dribble Attempts 10
132 Ball Safe 107
11 Successful Dribbles 8
19 Throwins 24
52 Successful Dribbles Percentage 80
8 Goal Kicks 5

Attacking

5 Big Chances Missed 0
121 Attacks 106

Possession

79 Successful Passes Percentage 80
58 Long Passes 48
23 Successful Long Passes 21
332 Successful Passes 318
12 Key Passes 9
420 Passes 397
40 Successful Long Passes Percentage 44

Defensive

15 Tackles 19
15 Interceptions 12
2 Saves 3
58 Duels Won 58

Build-up

15 Total Crosses 24
5 Accurate Crosses 6

Discipline

1 Offsides 3
13 Fouls 15

Lineup

Referee : Lluís Bestard Servera

Starting XI ▼

1
Rubén Yáñez
Rubén Yáñez Goalkeeper
6.8
2
Guille Rosas
Guille Rosas Defender
6.87
23
Eric Curbelo
Eric Curbelo
Defender81'
6.99
12
Brian Oliván
Brian Oliván Defender
6.42
15
Pablo Vázquez
Pablo Vázquez Defender
6.97
44
Andrés Cuenca
Andrés Cuenca Defender
7.1
5
Diego Sánchez
Diego Sánchez
Defender72'
6.72
7
Gaspar Campos
Gaspar Campos Midfielder
6.8
10
César Gelabert
César Gelabert Midfielder
7.11
36
Manu Rodríguez
Manu Rodríguez
Midfielder65'
6.67
14
Àlex Corredera
Àlex Corredera Midfielder
7.07
19
Juan Otero
Juan Otero Midfielder
7.28
18
Amadou Coundoul
Amadou Coundoul
Attacker81'
6.67
24
Justin Smith
Justin Smith Midfielder
6.57
17
Jonathan Dubasin
Jonathan Dubasin Attacker
2
7.1
11
Dani Queipo
Dani Queipo
Attacker81'
6.55
Referee : Lluís Bestard Servera

Starting XI ▼

13
Victor Aznar
Victor Aznar Goalkeeper
7
6
Iker Recio
Iker Recio Defender
6.73
14
Bojan Kovacevic
Bojan Kovacevic Defender
6.71
21
Mario Climent
Mario Climent Defender
6.74
5
Moussa Diakité
Moussa Diakité
Midfielder66'
6.8
34
Juan Díaz
Juan Díaz Defender
6.96
17
Dawda Camara
Dawda Camara
Attacker66'
6.65
11
Suso
Suso Midfielder
6.76
8
Álex Fernández
Álex Fernández
Midfielder78'
6.71
15
Sergio Ortuño
Sergio Ortuño Midfielder
6.93
16
Antoñito Cordero
Antoñito Cordero Midfielder
6.7
10
Brian Ocampo
Brian Ocampo
Attacker46'
6.74
18
Yussi Diarra
Yussi Diarra Midfielder
6.58
9
Roger Martí
Roger Martí Attacker
6.57
7
Lucas Pérez
Lucas Pérez
Attacker46'
6.55
23
García Pascual
García Pascual Attacker
6.84

Events

2ND-HALF
87'
Event
Iker Recio
Foul / 7th Yellowcard
84'
Event
Sergio Ortuño
Red card cancelled
84'
Event
Sergio Ortuño
Foul / 6th Yellowcard
Event
Eric Curbelo → Guille Rosas
9th Substitution
81'
Event
Amadou Coundoul → Juan Otero
8th Substitution
81'
Event
Dani Queipo → Jonathan Dubasin
10th Substitution
81'
78'
Event
Álex Fernández → Suso
7th Substitution
Event
Jonathan Dubasin
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
77'
Event
Diego Sánchez → Andrés Cuenca
6th Substitution
72'
67'
Event
Bojan Kovacevic
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
66'
Event
Moussa Diakité → Mario Climent
5th Substitution
66'
Event
Dawda Camara → Juan Díaz
4th Substitution
Event
Manu Rodríguez → César Gelabert
3rd Substitution
65'
53'
Event
Yussi Diarra
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
Event
Juan Otero
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
49'
46'
Event
Lucas Pérez → Roger Martí
2nd Substitution
46'
Event
Brian Ocampo → Antoñito Cordero
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Àlex Corredera
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
42'
Event
Jonathan Dubasin
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
32'
13'
Event
Juan Díaz
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
9'
Event
Mario Climent
Foul / 1st Yellowcard

CONCLUSION

Sporting Gijón's 3-0 triumph over Cádiz validated their status as the stronger team, with a solid first-half foundation leading to second-half dominance. Balanced possession highlighted their efficiency in converting chances, while the lack of red cards ensured a straightforward path to victory. Minimal deviation and full market alignment reflect a predictable, well-executed performance. This result bolsters Sporting Gijón's standing, showcasing defensive resilience and attacking prowess without reliance on xG metrics.

Sporting Gijón vs Cádiz preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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Alf Indseth

Alf Indseth writes football-focused analysis that looks beyond match results to explore form, value, and market context.