Kristiansund vs Fredrikstad Prediction, Preview and Stats

Norway flag 2026 Eliteserien, Norway
Kristiansund Stadion Sun, 19 Apr - 3:00 PM
Eliteserien
Kristiansund Kristiansund
2 Winner 0
Fredrikstad Fredrikstad
Full Time Sun, 19 Apr 3:00 PM
Round 5 Regular Season
Promise Ikojo Meliga - 48'
L. Alvheim - 59'
Goal
|

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Kristiansund 2–0 Fredrikstad. The result saw Kristiansund take the points. Kristiansund showed a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. Possession was 44%–56%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Kristiansund's victory registered a minimal 2.1% deviation from pre-match structural expectations.
  • Efficiency shift: Team efficiencies stayed in line with anticipated performance levels.
  • xG alignment: xG data absence prevented assessment of outcome consistency with chance creation.
  • Market alignment: Result fully aligned with pre-match market positioning.
  • xG expectations: Missing xG figures left expectations unevaluated.
  • Event impact: Empty second-half adjustments indicated no pivotal events swayed momentum.
  • Red card distortion: Zero red cards ensured no disciplinary distortions affected the scoreline.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
T. Grønevik
T. Grønevik
1st Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 18.27
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.8
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.08
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.22
M. Lokkeberg
M. Lokkeberg
2nd Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 18.27
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.8
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.08
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.22
B. Haarberg
B. Haarberg
4th Official • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 18.27
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.8
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.08
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.22
M. Huru Kellerhals
M. Huru Kellerhals
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 18.27
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.8
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.08
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.22
Kristiansund A. Robertsen Skiri
A. Robertsen Skiri
VS
Fredrikstad A. Hagen
A. Hagen
0.89
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.7
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Tromsø Rank: L
Bodø / Glimt Rank: L
Brann Rank: W
Tromsø Rank: L
Vålerenga Rank: D
Strømsgodset Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Vålerenga Rank: D
Aalesund Rank: W
KFUM Rank: W
Tromsø Rank: L
Bodø / Glimt Rank: L
Viking Rank: L
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 1 - 2
2

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Kristiansund
97.86%
Draw
1.92%
Away Fredrikstad
0.22%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
15.4
20.9
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Kristiansund
Fredrikstad
Power Score
15.4
20.9
League Position
10
8
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Kristiansund — Opponent-weighted form score
Fredrikstad — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Kristiansund Fredrikstad

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Kristiansund

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Fredrikstad

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Kristiansund ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Fredrikstad
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
42.95
34.46
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
34.46
42.95
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Kristiansund +0.88 Efficiency Index
vs
Fredrikstad -0.88 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Kristiansund
Fredrikstad
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Kristiansund ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Fredrikstad
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Kristiansund Fredrikstad
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Kristiansund Fredrikstad
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Kristiansund
Fredrikstad
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Kristiansund
vs
Fredrikstad
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Kristiansund Fredrikstad
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Kristiansund 0.45
Fredrikstad 0.37
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Kristiansund Fredrikstad
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Kristiansund 0.00
Fredrikstad 0.05
Kristiansund
Fredrikstad
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • Fredrikstad had peak pressure around 87'.
  • Fredrikstad started the game with stronger pressure.
Kristiansund Pressure Fredrikstad Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: Fredrikstad reached the top pressure at 87' (84.45).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 4 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Kristiansund Kristiansund Home
4 matches
Fredrikstad Fredrikstad Away
Match Record
1
Wins
2
1
Draws
1
2
Losses
1
Goals
5
Goals Scored
6
6
Goals Conceded
5
-1
Goal Difference
+1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-20T00:04:25+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-4-2
Match Formation 5-3-2
Pitch
A. Sæther
Norway
12 A. Sæther
A. Munksgaard
Denmark
13 A. Munksgaard
J. Júlíusson
Iceland
4 J. Júlíusson
D. Ulvestad
Norway
5 D. Ulvestad
F. Flex
Substitution
Denmark
3 F. Flex
P. Meliga
Substitution
Nigeria
18 P. Meliga
H. Gikling Bruseth
Norway
10 H. Gikling Bruseth
W. Igor
Nigeria
20 W. Igor
A. Kurd Rønning
Substitution
Norway
27 A. Kurd Rønning
M. Isah Ubandoma
Substitution
Nigeria
7 M. Isah Ubandoma
S. Hestetun Kilen
Norway
9 S. Hestetun Kilen
M. Børsheim
Norway
77 M. Børsheim
S. Sørløkk
Norway
13 S. Sørløkk
J. Vonheim Norbye
Substitution
Norway
18 J. Vonheim Norbye
U. Fredriksen
Norway
12 U. Fredriksen
S. Holm
Sweden
6 S. Holm
D. Eid
Substitution
Norway
16 D. Eid
R. Shein
Estonia
21 R. Shein
L. Owusu
Ghana
24 L. Owusu
O. Øhlenschlæger
Denmark
20 O. Øhlenschlæger
J. Nunez Godoy
Substitution
Norway
10 J. Nunez Godoy
S. Laghzaoui
Substitution
Norway
9 S. Laghzaoui

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 19, 2026, 03:00 PM
Competition
2026 Eliteserien, Norway · Round 5 · Regular Season
Stadium
Kristiansund Stadion
Capacity
4126
Attendance
3012
Pitch Surface
Artificial turf
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Tom Harald Grønevik
Monica Lokkeberg
Bendik Haarberg
Mischa Huru Kellerhals

Statistics

Possession
Kristiansund
46%
Fredrikstad
54%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 0
6 Big Chances Created 1
6 Shots 9
38 Dangerous attacks 46
44 Possession 56
4 Corners 8
13 Free kicks 11
2 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

5 Substitutions 4
2 Injuries 1
64 Successful Dribbles Percentage 64
14 Goal Kicks 9
85 Ball Safe 98
11 Goal Attempts 14
19 Throwins 11
14 Dribble Attempts 14
9 Successful Dribbles 9

Attacking

87 Attacks 106
4 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

68 Long Passes 53
313 Successful Passes 419
381 Passes 478
31 Successful Long Passes 31
82 Successful Passes Percentage 88
46 Successful Long Passes Percentage 58
11 Key Passes 12

Defensive

47 Duels Won 47
4 Interceptions 18
4 Saves 5
12 Tackles 10

Build-up

6 Accurate Crosses 9
14 Total Crosses 20

Discipline

11 Fouls 13
1 Offsides 3

Lineup

Referee : Mischa Huru Kellerhals

Starting XI ▼

12
A. Sæther
A. Sæther Goalkeeper
7.07
3
F. Flex
F. Flex Defender
6.36
22
H. Haugen
H. Haugen
Defender70'
6.8
4
J. Júlíusson
J. Júlíusson Defender
6.79
5
D. Ulvestad
D. Ulvestad Defender
6.76
13
Alexander Munksgaard
Alexander Munksgaard Defender
6.57
10
Heine Gikling Bruseth
Heine Gikling Bruseth Midfielder
6.82
18
Promise Ikojo Meliga
Promise Ikojo Meliga Midfielder
7.19
19
L. Alvheim
L. Alvheim
Attacker59'
6.94
20
W. Igor
W. Igor Midfielder
6.2
27
A. Rønning
A. Rønning Midfielder
6.57
23
Tobias Hammer Svendsen
Tobias Hammer Svendsen
Midfielder70'
6.48
7
M. Ubandoma
M. Ubandoma Attacker
6.35
15
Nikolai Skuseth
Nikolai Skuseth
Defender87'
9
S. Kilen
S. Kilen Attacker
6.53
Referee : Mischa Huru Kellerhals

Starting XI ▼

77
Martin Børsheim
Martin Børsheim Goalkeeper
7.11
6
Samuel Leach Holm
Samuel Leach Holm Defender
7.26
12
Ulrik Fredriksen
Ulrik Fredriksen Defender
6.94
13
Sondre Sørløkk
Sondre Sørløkk Defender
6.16
16
Daniel Eid
Daniel Eid Defender
7.2
19
Fanuel Ghebreyohannes Yrga-Alem
Fanuel Ghebreyohannes Yrga-Alem
Defender67'
6.34
18
Jonathan Norbye
Jonathan Norbye Defender
6.5
17
Sigurd Kvile
Sigurd Kvile
Defender67'
6.48
20
Oskar Öhlenschlaeger
Oskar Öhlenschlaeger Midfielder
7.12
21
Rocco Shein
Rocco Shein Midfielder
7.12
24
Leonard Owusu
Leonard Owusu Midfielder
6.8
9
S. Laghzaoui
S. Laghzaoui Attacker
6.82
15
Eirik Julius Granaas
Eirik Julius Granaas
Midfielder79'
6.54
10
Johannes Núñez
Johannes Núñez Attacker
6.8
23
Henrik Langaas Skogvold
Henrik Langaas Skogvold
Attacker59'
6.62

Events

2ND-HALF
90'
Event
Daniel Eid
3rd Yellowcard
Event
Nikolai Skuseth → M. Ubandoma
8th Substitution
87'
87'
Event
Andreas Hagen
Argument / 4th Yellowcard
Event
Heine Gikling Bruseth
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
79'
79'
Event
Eirik Julius Granaas → S. Laghzaoui
7th Substitution
Event
Var
75'
Event
H. Haugen → F. Flex
5th Substitution
70'
Event
Tobias Hammer Svendsen → A. Rønning
6th Substitution
70'
67'
Event
Fanuel Ghebreyohannes Yrga-Alem → Daniel Eid
3rd Substitution
67'
Event
Sigurd Kvile → Jonathan Norbye
4th Substitution
Event
L. Alvheim
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
59'
Event
L. Alvheim → Promise Ikojo Meliga
1st Substitution
59'
59'
Event
Henrik Langaas Skogvold → Johannes Núñez
2nd Substitution
Event
F. Flex
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
55'
Event
Promise Ikojo Meliga
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
48'

CONCLUSION

Kristiansund's clinical second-half display earned a deserved 2-0 triumph over possession-heavy Fredrikstad, highlighting their resilience against a favored opponent. With balanced discipline and no major disruptions, the hosts capitalized perfectly on limited chances. This minimal-deviation result reinforces Kristiansund's home strength, potentially boosting confidence for upcoming fixtures. Fredrikstad's inability to convert control into goals raises questions about finishing prowess, urging tactical tweaks. Overall, a disciplined affair that rewarded efficiency over dominance.

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