HamKam vs KFUM Prediction, Preview and Stats

Norway flag 2026 Eliteserien, Norway
Briskeby Arena Sun, 19 Apr - 3:00 PM
Eliteserien
HamKam HamKam
4 Winner 0
KFUM KFUM
Full Time Sun, 19 Apr 3:00 PM
Round 5 Regular Season
Henrik Udahl - 24' (P), 41' (P)
M. Alassane Niang - 50', 81'
Goal
|
|
Red Card S. Sjøkvist 39'

CONTEXT

HamKam delivered a composed 2-0 home win against KFUM, striking twice in the first half to seize control before the interval. The hosts edged possession at 52% to 48%, asserting their status as the stronger side throughout. KFUM's task grew insurmountable in the second half following a red card, which stifled their momentum and allowed HamKam to manage the game with defensive discipline. No additional goals materialized post-halftime, underscoring HamKam's efficiency in front of goal early and resilience at the back. This outcome reflected minimal deviation from expectations, with the market fully aligned and the result cementing HamKam's superiority in a match marked by early decisiveness and late containment.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: HamKam's victory exhibited minimal structural deviation of 2.4%.
  • Efficiency shift: Team efficiencies stayed in line with pre-match projections.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment cannot be assessed due to unavailable data.
  • Market alignment: The final outcome perfectly aligned with pre-match market views.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations remain unevaluable without recorded metrics.
  • Event impact: KFUM's red card significantly amplified HamKam's control after halftime.
  • Red card distortion: The away red card distorted second-half play toward containment.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
J. Knutsen
J. Knutsen
1st Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 18.27
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.8
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.08
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.22
C. Jørgensen
C. Jørgensen
2nd Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 18.27
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.8
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.08
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.22
H. Holthe
H. Holthe
4th Official • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 18.27
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.8
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.08
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.22
J. Haugen
J. Haugen
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 18.27
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.8
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.08
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.22
HamKam T. Myhre
T. Myhre
VS
KFUM J. Moesgaard
J. Moesgaard
1.6
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.6
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Molde Rank: L
Brann Rank: L
Bodø / Glimt Rank: D
Viking Rank: W
Brann Rank: L
Haugesund Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Aalesund Rank: D
Sandefjord Rank: L
Fredrikstad Rank: L
Start Rank: W
Sandefjord Rank: L
Bodø / Glimt Rank: L
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 3 - 1
1

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home HamKam
97.6%
Draw
1.91%
Away KFUM
0.49%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
25.7
11.07
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
HamKam
KFUM
Power Score
25.7
11.07
League Position
9
12
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
HamKam — Opponent-weighted form score
KFUM — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) HamKam KFUM

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

HamKam

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

KFUM

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

HamKam ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy KFUM
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
28.75
26.46
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
26.46
28.75
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
HamKam +0.24 Efficiency Index
vs
KFUM -0.24 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
HamKam
KFUM
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

HamKam ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy KFUM
Created Set-piece attacking threat
HamKam KFUM
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
2.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
HamKam KFUM
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 2.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
HamKam
KFUM
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
HamKam
vs
KFUM
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
HamKam KFUM
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
HamKam 0.33
KFUM 0.32
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
HamKam KFUM
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
HamKam 0.00
KFUM 0.10
HamKam
KFUM
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • HamKam had peak pressure around 86'.
  • KFUM started the game with stronger pressure.
HamKam Pressure KFUM Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: HamKam reached the top pressure at 86' (81.88).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 4 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

HamKam HamKam Home
4 matches
KFUM KFUM Away
Match Record
0
Wins
1
3
Draws
3
1
Losses
0
Goals
3
Goals Scored
5
5
Goals Conceded
3
-2
Goal Difference
+2
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-20T00:04:31+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 5-3-2
Match Formation 3-4-3
Pitch
M. Sandberg
Sweden
12 M. Sandberg
V. Jonsson
Substitution
Iceland
7 V. Jonsson
M. Gjone
Norway
2 M. Gjone
F. Sjølstad
Substitution
Norway
23 F. Sjølstad
E. Amundsen-Day
Norway
3 E. Amundsen-Day
A. Ekeroth
Sweden
5 A. Ekeroth
L. Mettler
Switzerland
10 L. Mettler
P. Metcalfe
Substitution
Canada
26 P. Metcalfe
A. Baran Potur
Substitution
Norway
17 A. Baran Potur
M. Alassane Niang
Substitution
29 M. Alassane Niang
H. Udahl
Norway
19 H. Udahl
H. Grøntvedt Jensen
Norway
25 H. Grøntvedt Jensen
E. Franke Saunes
Norway
19 E. Franke Saunes
F. Berglie
Substitution
Norway
5 F. Berglie
D. Schneider
Norway
2 D. Schneider
J. Lange Hjorth
Substitution
Norway
16 J. Lange Hjorth
R. Rasch
Substitution
Norway
7 R. Rasch
S. Hestnes
Norway
8 S. Hestnes
S. Sjøkvist
Norway
21 S. Sjøkvist
R. Eggen Vinge
Substitution
Norway
18 R. Eggen Vinge
M. Wolff Eikrem
Substitution
Norway
23 M. Wolff Eikrem
M. Vinjor
Norway
9 M. Vinjor

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 19, 2026, 03:00 PM
Competition
2026 Eliteserien, Norway · Round 5 · Regular Season
Stadium
Briskeby Arena
Capacity
8068
Pitch Surface
Artificial turf
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Jon-Michael Knutsen
Christer Solheim Jørgensen
Herman Holthe
Jørgen Haugen

Statistics

Possession
HamKam
53%
KFUM
47%

Top Statistics

4 Goals 0
3 Big Chances Created 0
1 Shots 6
39 Dangerous attacks 34
52 Possession 48
0 Corners 3
10 Free kicks 15
1 Yellow Cards 0
0 Red Cards 1

Match Overview

2 Assists 0
4 Successful Dribbles 4
57 Successful Dribbles Percentage 50
5 Substitutions 6
6 Goal Kicks 8
15 Throwins 22
100 Ball Safe 74
8 Goal Attempts 3
7 Dribble Attempts 8
2 Penalties 0

Attacking

1 Big Chances Missed 0
103 Attacks 86
2 Counter Attacks 2

Possession

87 Successful Passes Percentage 85
544 Passes 491
32 Successful Long Passes 16
473 Successful Passes 419
62 Long Passes 55
52 Successful Long Passes Percentage 29
9 Key Passes 8

Defensive

7 Interceptions 5
44 Duels Won 31
12 Tackles 6
2 Saves 2

Build-up

11 Total Crosses 18
3 Accurate Crosses 4

Discipline

15 Fouls 12
2 Offsides 0

Lineup

Referee : Jørgen Haugen

Starting XI ▼

12
M. Sandberg
M. Sandberg Goalkeeper
6.3
2
Martin Gjone
Martin Gjone Defender
6.56
3
Ethan Amundsen Day
Ethan Amundsen Day Defender
6.05
5
A. Ekeroth
A. Ekeroth Defender
6.55
7
V. Jónsson
V. Jónsson Defender
6.87
24
I. Hoffmann
I. Hoffmann
Defender73'
6.4
23
F. Sjølstad
F. Sjølstad Defender
6.34
4
H. Opsahl
H. Opsahl
Defender46'
6.34
10
Loris Mettler
Loris Mettler Midfielder
7
17
A. Potur
A. Potur Midfielder
6.5
6
William Osnes-Ringen
William Osnes-Ringen
Midfielder46'
6.61
26
Patrick Metcalfe
Patrick Metcalfe Midfielder
6.17
16
Anders Trondsen
Anders Trondsen
Midfielder60'
6.71
19
Henrik Udahl
Henrik Udahl Attacker
2
6.95
29
M. Alassane Niang
M. Alassane Niang Attacker
2
7.02
20
Julian Gonstad
Julian Gonstad
Attacker82'
6.37
Referee : Jørgen Haugen

Starting XI ▼

25
Havar Jensen
Havar Jensen Goalkeeper
6.42
2
Daniel Schneider
Daniel Schneider Defender
7
5
Fredrik Berglie
Fredrik Berglie Defender
6.67
4
Momodou Lion Njie
Momodou Lion Njie
Defender82'
6.44
19
Eirik Saunes
Eirik Saunes Defender
7.29
7
Robin Rasch
Robin Rasch Midfielder
6.7
14
Håkon Helland Hoseth
Håkon Helland Hoseth
Defender45+1'
6.66
8
Simen Hestnes
Simen Hestnes Midfielder
7.04
16
Jonas Lange Hjorth
Jonas Lange Hjorth Midfielder
6.7
33
Amin Nouri
Amin Nouri
Defender60'
6.33
21
S. Sjøkvist
S. Sjøkvist Midfielder
6.83
9
Martin Tangen Vinjor
Martin Tangen Vinjor Attacker
7.05
18
Rasmus Eggen Vinge
Rasmus Eggen Vinge Attacker
6.77
22
Bjørn Martin Kristensen
Bjørn Martin Kristensen
Attacker60'
6.5
23
Magnus Wolff Eikrem
Magnus Wolff Eikrem Attacker
6.56
28
Magnus Grødem
Magnus Grødem
Attacker60'
6.61

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Julian Gonstad → M. Alassane Niang
9th Substitution
82'
82'
Event
Momodou Lion Njie → Fredrik Berglie
10th Substitution
Event
M. Alassane Niang
Header / 2nd Goal
81'
Event
I. Hoffmann → V. Jónsson
8th Substitution
73'
Event
Anders Trondsen → Patrick Metcalfe
7th Substitution
60'
60'
Event
Magnus Grødem → Magnus Wolff Eikrem
4th Substitution
60'
Event
Amin Nouri → Jonas Lange Hjorth
6th Substitution
60'
Event
Bjørn Martin Kristensen → Rasmus Eggen Vinge
5th Substitution
Event
M. Alassane Niang
Header / 1st Goal
50'
Event
William Osnes-Ringen → A. Potur
3rd Substitution
46'
Event
H. Opsahl → F. Sjølstad
2nd Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
45+1'
Event
Håkon Helland Hoseth → Robin Rasch
1st Substitution
Event
Henrik Udahl
Right foot shot / 2nd Penalty
41'
39'
Event
S. Sjøkvist
Professional foul last man / 1st Redcard
Event
Henrik Udahl
Right foot shot / 1st Penalty
24'
Event
A. Potur
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
13'

CONCLUSION

HamKam's 2-0 triumph over KFUM exemplified clinical first-half execution, where both goals arrived before the break to set the tone. The red card to KFUM shifted dynamics decisively, enabling the hosts to protect their lead with poise despite balanced possession. As the stronger team, HamKam's minimal deviation and market alignment highlight a performance true to form, blending attacking intent with defensive solidity. This result bolsters their standing, showcasing adaptability amid the game's pivotal event and reinforcing home dominance.

Related Football Previews

Explore League Previews

Eliteserien View all league clusters