Strasbourg vs Rennes Prediction, Preview and Stats

France flag 2025/2026 Ligue 1, France
Stade de la Meinau Sun, 19 Apr - 3:15 PM
Ligue 1
Strasbourg STR
Versus
Rennes REN
KICKOFF : Sun, 19 Apr - 3:15 PM
Round 30 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Strasbourg host Rennes in Ligue 1 (Regular Season) at Stade de la Meinau. Domestically, Strasbourg sit 8th in the table while Rennes are 6th. Power ranking favours Rennes by 2.1 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Rennes possess a 2.1-point power advantage with a score of 31.48 over Strasbourg's 29.37.
  • Form: Form scores are closely matched at 26.61 for Strasbourg and 26.94 for Rennes.
  • Squad: Strasbourg sit 8th in Ligue 1 while Rennes occupy 6th place.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics are unavailable due to missing data.
  • Transition: No specific transition data is provided for either team.
  • Set pieces: Set piece performance data unavailable as xG metrics absent.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables not accessible for analysis.
  • Market: Strasbourg 36.7% (Δ+0%) | Draw 25.7% (Δ+0%) | Rennes 37.6% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Strasbourg G. O'Neil
G. O'Neil
VS
Rennes F. Haise
F. Haise
1.35
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.82
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Nice Rank: W
Nantes Rank: W
Paris Rank: D
Auxerre Rank: D
Lens Rank: D
Olympique Lyonnais Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Angers SCO Rank: W
Brest Rank: W
Metz Rank: D
LOSC Lille Rank: L
Nice Rank: W
Toulouse Rank: W
6
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
6 - 2 - 12
12
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Strasbourg
36.72%
Draw
25.68%
Away Rennes
37.6%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
29.37
31.48
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Strasbourg
Rennes
Power Score
29.37
31.48
League Position
8
6
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Strasbourg — Opponent-weighted form score
Rennes — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Strasbourg Rennes

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 20 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Strasbourg STR Home
20 matches
Rennes REN Away
Match Record
6
Wins
12
2
Draws
2
12
Losses
6
Goals
22
Goals Scored
31
31
Goals Conceded
22
-9
Goal Difference
+9
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-17T01:06:08+00:00

STARTING XI

Pitch
M. Penders
Belgium
39 M. Penders
G. Doué
France
22 G. Doué
A. Omobamidele
Republic of Ireland
2 A. Omobamidele
I. Doukoure
France
6 I. Doukoure
B. Chilwell
England
3 B. Chilwell
S. El Mourabet
France
29 S. El Mourabet
M. Oyedele
Poland
8 M. Oyedele
G. Yassine
France
80 G. Yassine
S. Nanasi
Sweden
11 S. Nanasi
M. Godo
England
20 M. Godo
J. Enciso
Paraguay
19 J. Enciso
B. Samba
France
30 B. Samba
Q. Merlin
France
26 Q. Merlin
L. Brassier
France
3 L. Brassier
Abdelhamid Ait Boudlal
Morocco
48 Abdelhamid Ait Boudlal
A. Seidu
Ghana
36 A. Seidu
M. Al Tamari
Jordan
11 M. Al Tamari
M. Camara
France
45 M. Camara
V. Rongier
France
21 V. Rongier
L. Blas
France
10 L. Blas
E. Lepaul
France
9 E. Lepaul
B. Embolo
Switzerland
7 B. Embolo

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 19, 2026, 03:15 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Ligue 1, France · Round 30 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stade de la Meinau
Capacity
29200
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Ruddy Buquet
Gwenaël Pasqualotti
Nicolas Danos
Mikael Lesage

Lineup

Referee : Ruddy Buquet

Starting XI ▼

39
Mike Penders
Mike Penders Goalkeeper
6.99
2
Andrew Omobamidele
Andrew Omobamidele Defender
6.67
3
Ben Chilwell
Ben Chilwell Defender
6.7
6
Ismaël Doukouré
Ismaël Doukouré Defender
6.68
22
Guela Doué
Guela Doué Defender
7.04
8
Maxi Oyedele
Maxi Oyedele Midfielder
6.9
11
Sebastian Nanasi
Sebastian Nanasi Midfielder
6.8
29
Samir El Mourabet
Samir El Mourabet Midfielder
6.96
19
Julio Enciso
Julio Enciso Attacker
6.94
20
Martial Godo
Martial Godo Attacker
6.93
80
Gessime Yassine
Gessime Yassine Attacker
7.11
Referee : Ruddy Buquet

Starting XI ▼

30
Brice Samba
Brice Samba Goalkeeper
6.81
3
Lilian Brassier
Lilian Brassier Defender
6.79
26
Quentin Merlin
Quentin Merlin Defender
6.91
36
Alidu Seidu
Alidu Seidu Defender
6.82
48
Abdelhamid Ait Boudlal
Abdelhamid Ait Boudlal Defender
6.64
10
Ludovic Blas
Ludovic Blas Midfielder
6.9
11
Mousa Tamari
Mousa Tamari Midfielder
6.86
21
Valentin Rongier
Valentin Rongier Midfielder
7.24
45
Mahdi Camara
Mahdi Camara Midfielder
6.89
7
Breel Embolo
Breel Embolo Attacker
6.83
9
Estéban Lepaul
Estéban Lepaul Attacker
6.86

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Rennes holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Rennes a 2.1-point edge. External projection is Strasbourg 36.7%, draw 25.7%, and Rennes 37.6%. That projection profile aligns with the structural signals. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.

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