FC Bayern München vs VfB Stuttgart Preview, Predictions, Analysis & Tips

2025/2026 Bundesliga, Germany

Allianz Arena Sun, 19 Apr - 3:30 PM

Bundesliga

FC Bayern München FCB

VfB Stuttgart VFB

KICKOFF : Sun, 19 Apr - 3:30 PM

Round 30 Regular Season

CONTEXT

FC Bayern München host VfB Stuttgart at the Allianz Arena in a pivotal Bundesliga regular season matchup during the 2025/2026 campaign. Perennial powerhouses Bayern sit atop the table in 1st place with a dominant power score of 51.62, dwarfing Stuttgart's 31.54 for a clear 20.1-point edge. Form metrics favor the hosts too, at 39.89 against the visitors' 29.11, underscoring their momentum. Stuttgart hold a respectable 3rd but face a stern test against Bayern's relentless machine. Without recent outing details or advanced xG stats, focus shifts to Bayern's structural superiority and home dominance. Set piece data remains elusive with low-confidence proxies, yet Bayern's overall prowess positions them to control proceedings and extend their lead.

TL;DR

Structural: FC Bayern München possess a 20.1-point power advantage over VfB Stuttgart.
Form: Bayern's form score of 39.89 surpasses Stuttgart's 29.11.
Squad: Bayern top the Bundesliga in 1st place while Stuttgart occupy 3rd.
Efficiency: Efficiency metrics unavailable for this fixture.
Transition: Transition data unavailable for both teams.
Set pieces: Set piece stats use low-confidence proxies with no xG available.
xVariable: xG data unavailable, limiting advanced variable analysis.
Market: FC Bayern München 68.7% (Δ+0%) | Draw 17.3% (Δ+0%) | VfB Stuttgart 14% (Δ+0%).

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Jan 25 vs Team A

Feb 1 vs Team B

Feb 8 vs Team C

V. Kompany

S. Hoeneß

2.5

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

1.86

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

27 - 5 - 5

No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

FC Bayern München

68.67%

Draw

17.32%

VfB Stuttgart

14.01%

Team Power Ranking

51.62

31.54

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

FC Bayern München

VfB Stuttgart

Power Score

51.62

31.54

League Position

Global Rank

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

FC Bayern München — Opponent-weighted form score

VfB Stuttgart — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) FC Bayern München VfB Stuttgart

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 37 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

FC Bayern München FCB Home

37 matches

VfB Stuttgart VFB Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

+55

Goal Difference

-55

Expected Goals

xGA

Data last updated: 2026-04-17T01:06:42+00:00

STARTING XI

1 M. Neuer

27 K. Laimer

3 M. Kim

21 H. Ito

20 T. Bischof

6 J. Kimmich

8 L. Goretzka

17 M. Olise

22 R. Guerreiro

10 J. Musiala

11 N. Jackson

33 A. Nübel

7 M. Mittelstädt

24 J. Chabot

3 R. Hendriks

22 L. Assignon

6 A. Stiller

30 J. Andrés Baixauli

10 C. Führich

8 T. de Melo Tomás

18 J. Leweling

9 E. Demirović

General Information

Date & Time

Apr 19, 2026, 03:30 PM

Competition

2025/2026 Bundesliga, Germany · Round 30 · Regular Season

Stadium

Allianz Arena

Capacity

75024

Pitch Surface

Grass

Weather

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Referees

Timo Gansloweit

Thorben Siewer

Christian Bandurski

Sören Storks

Lineup

Referee : Sören Storks

Manager ▼

V. Kompany Coach

Starting XI ▼

Manuel Neuer Goalkeeper

6.64

Min-jae Kim Defender

7.1

Tom Bischof Defender

7.05

Hiroki Ito Defender

6.82

Konrad Laimer Defender

6.98

Joshua Kimmich Midfielder

7.64

Leon Goretzka Midfielder

7.14

Raphaël Guerreiro Midfielder

6.93

Jamal Musiala Attacker

6.97

Nicolas Jackson Attacker

6.81

Michael Olise Attacker

7.82

Referee : Sören Storks

Manager ▼

S. Hoeneß Coach

Starting XI ▼

Alexander Nübel Goalkeeper

7.03

Ramon Hendriks Defender

6.67

Maximilian Mittelstädt Defender

7.3

Lorenz Assignon Defender

6.54

Jeff Chabot Defender

7.07

Angelo Stiller Midfielder

7.21

Tiago Tomás Midfielder

6.84

Chema Andrés Midfielder

6.92

Ermedin Demirovic Attacker

7.03

Chris Führich Attacker

7.07

Jamie Leweling Attacker

7.07

CONCLUSION

Bayern's commanding power score and top-table position make them heavy favorites against a gritty Stuttgart side. The hosts' superior form and home advantage at Allianz Arena should translate into control of possession and chance creation. While Stuttgart's 3rd-place standing signals threat, Bayern's 20.1-point edge highlights their structural dominance. Absent detailed efficiency or set-piece insights, Bayern's overall quality prevails, likely securing a routine victory to solidify their title charge.

STANDINGS

CONTEXT