Pisa vs Genoa Prediction, Preview and Stats

Italy flag 2025/2026 Serie A, Italy
Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani Sun, 19 Apr - 4:00 PM
Serie A
Pisa PIS
Versus
Genoa GEN
KICKOFF : Sun, 19 Apr - 4:00 PM
Round 33 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Pisa host Genoa in Serie A (Regular Season) at Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani. Domestically, Pisa sit 20th in the table while Genoa are 13th. Power ranking favours Genoa by 10.7 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Genoa claims a 10.7-point power advantage, cementing their stronger team status over 20th-placed Pisa.
  • Form: Genoa's form score reaches 20.28, contrasting sharply with Pisa's lowly 5.72.
  • Squad: Squad strength tilts heavily toward Genoa via power ratings of 22.84 against Pisa's 12.17.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data unavailable for this matchup.
  • Transition: Transition play metrics absent from available statistics.
  • Set pieces: Set piece xG data unavailable with low confidence and proxy usage for both teams.
  • xVariable: xG variables unavailable across attack and defense for Pisa and Genoa.
  • Market: Baseline split: Pisa 28.5% (Δ+0%) | Draw 30.3% (Δ+0%) | Genoa 41.2% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Pisa O. Hiljemark
O. Hiljemark
VS
Genoa D. De Rossi
D. De Rossi
0.6
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.31
0.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Roma Rank: L
Torino Rank: L
Como Rank: L
Cagliari Rank: W
Juventus Rank: L
Bologna Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sassuolo Rank: W
Juventus Rank: L
Udinese Rank: L
Hellas Verona Rank: W
Roma Rank: W
Inter Rank: L
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 2 - 1
1
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Pisa
28.5%
Draw
30.33%
Away Genoa
41.17%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
12.17
22.84
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Pisa
Genoa
Power Score
12.17
22.84
League Position
20
13
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Pisa — Opponent-weighted form score
Genoa — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Pisa Genoa

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 3 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Pisa PIS Home
3 matches
Genoa GEN Away
Match Record
0
Wins
1
2
Draws
2
1
Losses
0
Goals
1
Goals Scored
2
2
Goals Conceded
1
-1
Goal Difference
+1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-17T01:06:47+00:00

STARTING XI

Pitch
A. Šemper
Croatia
1 A. Šemper
A. Calabresi
Italy
33 A. Calabresi
A. Caracciolo
Italy
4 A. Caracciolo
S. Canestrelli
Italy
5 S. Canestrelli
I. Touré
Germany
15 I. Touré
M. Aebischer
Switzerland
20 M. Aebischer
M. Höjholt
Denmark
8 M. Höjholt
S. Angori
Italy
3 S. Angori
M. Marcel Léris
Algeria
7 M. Marcel Léris
M. Tramoni
France
10 M. Tramoni
S. Moreo
Italy
32 S. Moreo
J. Bijlow
Netherlands
16 J. Bijlow
J. Vásquez Ibarra
Mexico
22 J. Vásquez Ibarra
L. Skiri Oestigaard
Norway
5 L. Skiri Oestigaard
A. Marcandalli
Italy
27 A. Marcandalli
A. Martín Caricol
Spain
3 A. Martín Caricol
J. Messias
Brazil
10 J. Messias
P. Masini
Italy
73 P. Masini
T. Baldanzi
Italy
8 T. Baldanzi
S. Sabelli
Italy
20 S. Sabelli
V. Carvalho Oliveira
Portugal
9 V. Carvalho Oliveira
L. Colombo
Italy
29 L. Colombo

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 19, 2026, 04:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Serie A, Italy · Round 33 · Regular Season
Stadium
Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani
Capacity
10442
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Valerio Crezzini
Domenico Palermo
Thomas Miniutti
Andrea Colombo

Lineup

Referee : Valerio Crezzini

Starting XI ▼

1
Adrian Semper
Adrian Semper Goalkeeper
6.92
3
Samuele Angori
Samuele Angori Defender
6.74
4
Antonio Caracciolo
Antonio Caracciolo Defender
6.72
5
Simone Canestrelli
Simone Canestrelli Defender
6.63
15
Idrissa Touré
Idrissa Touré Defender
6.72
33
Arturo Calabresi
Arturo Calabresi Defender
6.53
7
Mehdi Léris
Mehdi Léris Midfielder
6.76
8
Malthe Højholt
Malthe Højholt Midfielder
6.46
10
Matteo Tramoni
Matteo Tramoni Midfielder
6.73
20
Michel Aebischer
Michel Aebischer Midfielder
6.86
32
Stefano Moreo
Stefano Moreo Attacker
6.92
Referee : Valerio Crezzini

Starting XI ▼

16
Justin Bijlow
Justin Bijlow Goalkeeper
6.86
5
Leo Østigård
Leo Østigård Defender
7.12
22
Johan Vásquez
Johan Vásquez Defender
6.85
27
Alessandro Marcandalli
Alessandro Marcandalli Defender
6.56
3
Aarón Martín
Aarón Martín Midfielder
6.96
8
Tommaso Baldanzi
Tommaso Baldanzi Midfielder
6.73
10
Junior Messias
Junior Messias Midfielder
6.89
20
Stefano Sabelli
Stefano Sabelli Midfielder
6.71
73
Patrizio Masini
Patrizio Masini Midfielder
6.78
9
Vitinha
Vitinha Attacker
6.78
29
Lorenzo Colombo
Lorenzo Colombo Attacker
6.69

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Genoa holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Genoa a 10.7-point edge. External projection is Pisa 28.5%, draw 30.3%, and Genoa 41.2%. That projection profile aligns with the structural signals. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.

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