Sporting CP vs Benfica Prediction, Preview and Stats

Portugal flag 2025/2026 Liga Portugal, Portugal
Estádio José Alvalade Sun, 19 Apr - 5:00 PM
Liga Portugal
Sporting CP SCP
Versus
Benfica SLB
KICKOFF : Sun, 19 Apr - 5:00 PM
Round 30 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Sporting CP host Benfica in Liga Portugal (Regular Season) at Estádio José Alvalade. Domestically, Sporting CP sit 2th in the table while Benfica are 3th. Power ranking favours Sporting CP by 0.2 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Sporting CP claims a narrow 0.2-point power advantage, rated at 40.85 against Benfica's 40.69.
  • Form: Benfica outperforms in recent form with 33.11, surpassing Sporting CP's 29.44.
  • Squad: Sporting CP occupies 2nd in the league table, one spot ahead of 3rd-placed Benfica.
  • Efficiency: No efficiency metrics provided for either team in this fixture.
  • Transition: Transition play details absent from available data sources.
  • Set pieces: Set piece stats use low-confidence proxies as xG data unavailable for both squads.
  • xVariable: xG variables unavailable due to disabled add-on and proxy reliance.
  • Market: Sporting CP 43.9% (Δ+0.2%) | Draw 26.6% (Δ-1.2%) | Benfica 29.5% (Δ+1.1%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Sporting CP R. Gomes Borges
R. Gomes Borges
VS
Benfica José Mourinho
José Mourinho
2.52
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2.43
2.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Estrela Amadora Rank: W
Santa Clara Rank: W
Alverca Rank: W
Tondela Rank: D
Sporting Braga Rank: D
Estoril Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Nacional Rank: W
Casa Pia Rank: D
Vitória Guimarães Rank: W
Arouca Rank: W
Porto Rank: D
Gil Vicente Rank: W
9
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
9 - 15 - 17
17
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Sporting CP
43.9%
Draw
26.59%
Away Benfica
29.52%

Movement

Changes since opening
Sporting CP
+0.17%
Draw
-1.24%
Benfica
+1.07%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
40.85
40.69
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Sporting CP
Benfica
Power Score
40.85
40.69
League Position
2
3
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Sporting CP — Opponent-weighted form score
Benfica — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Sporting CP Benfica

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 41 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Sporting CP SCP Home
41 matches
Benfica SLB Away
Match Record
9
Wins
17
15
Draws
15
17
Losses
9
Goals
42
Goals Scored
57
57
Goals Conceded
42
-15
Goal Difference
+15
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-17T01:07:43+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
R. Dantas da Silva
1 R. Dantas da Silva
G. Vagiannidis
13 G. Vagiannidis
E. Quaresma Coimbra Simões
72 E. Quaresma Coimbra Simões
Z. Debast
6 Z. Debast
M. Araújo Vilches
20 M. Araújo Vilches
M. Hjulmand
42 M. Hjulmand
D. Santos Bragança
23 D. Santos Bragança
G. Cipriano Catamo
10 G. Cipriano Catamo
F. Machado Mota de Castro Trincão
17 F. Machado Mota de Castro Trincão
P. Pereira Gonçalves
8 P. Pereira Gonçalves
L. Suárez Charris
97 L. Suárez Charris
A. Trubin
1 A. Trubin
S. Dahl
26 S. Dahl
N. Otamendi
30 N. Otamendi
A. Tavares Silva
4 A. Tavares Silva
A. Dedić
17 A. Dedić
L. Barreiro Martins
18 L. Barreiro Martins
R. Rios
20 R. Rios
A. Schjelderup
21 A. Schjelderup
R. Fernandes Ferreira da Silva
27 R. Fernandes Ferreira da Silva
G. Prestianni Gross
25 G. Prestianni Gross
V. Pavlidis
14 V. Pavlidis

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 19, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Liga Portugal, Portugal · Round 30 · Regular Season
Stadium
Estádio José Alvalade
Capacity
52095
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Joao Pedro Pinheiro
Bruno Miguel Alves Jesus
Luciano António Gomes Maia
Miguel André Monteiro Fonseca

Expected Lineup

Referee : Joao Pedro Pinheiro

Starting XI ▼

1
Rui Silva
Rui Silva Goalkeeper
6.94
97
Luis Suárez
Luis Suárez Centre Forward
7.55
20
Maxi Araújo
Maxi Araújo Left Back
7.14
23
Daniel Bragança
Daniel Bragança Defensive Midfield
7.12
42
Morten Hjulmand
Morten Hjulmand Defensive Midfield
7.22
72
Eduardo Quaresma
Eduardo Quaresma Right Back
7.21
6
Zeno Debast
Zeno Debast Left Back
6.8
8
Pedro Gonçalves
Pedro Gonçalves Left Wing
7.61
10
Geny Catamo
Geny Catamo Right Wing
7.1
17
Francisco Trincão
Francisco Trincão Attacking Midfield
7.36
13
Georgios Vagiannidis
Georgios Vagiannidis Right Back
6.91
Referee : Joao Pedro Pinheiro

Starting XI ▼

1
Anatoliy Trubin
Anatoliy Trubin Goalkeeper
6.79
14
Vangelis Pavlidis
Vangelis Pavlidis Centre Forward
7.29
18
Leandro Barreiro
Leandro Barreiro Defensive Midfield
6.87
20
Richard Ríos
Richard Ríos Defensive Midfield
7.08
21
Andreas Schjelderup
Andreas Schjelderup Left Wing
7
25
Gianluca Prestianni
Gianluca Prestianni Right Wing
6.99
26
Samuel Dahl
Samuel Dahl Left Back
7.01
27
Rafa Silva
Rafa Silva Attacking Midfield
6.87
30
Nicolás Otamendi
Nicolás Otamendi Left Back
7.3
17
Amar Dedić
Amar Dedić Right Back
6.69
4
António Silva
António Silva Right Back
7.05

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Sporting CP holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Sporting CP a 0.2-point edge. External projection is Sporting CP 43.7%, draw 27.8%, and Benfica 28.5%. That projection profile aligns with the structural signals. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.

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