Juventus vs Bologna Prediction, Preview and Stats

Italy flag 2025/2026 Serie A, Italy
Juventus Stadium Sun, 19 Apr - 6:45 PM
Serie A
Juventus JUV
Versus
Bologna BOL
KICKOFF : Sun, 19 Apr - 6:45 PM
Round 33 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Juventus hosts Bologna at Juventus Stadium in a Serie A regular season clash during the 2025/2026 campaign. The Bianconeri enter as clear favorites, occupying 4th place while Bologna sits 8th in the standings. Juventus boasts a superior power score of 34.85 compared to Bologna's 27.22, translating to a 7.6-point advantage that underscores their structural dominance. Form metrics further tilt the scales, with Juventus at 31.78 against Bologna's 19.72, signaling consistent recent performances from the home side. Playing at home amplifies Juventus's edge, where their overall strength shines through in projections. Bologna faces an uphill battle, needing to disrupt transitions and capitalize on rare openings against a robust defense. Set-piece data remains limited due to low confidence and proxy usage, leaving efficiency and xG variables unavailable for deeper analysis. This matchup highlights Juventus's quest to solidify top-four aspirations.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Juventus commands a 7.6-point power advantage with scores of 34.85 home versus Bologna's 27.22 away.
  • Form: Home form score stands at 31.78 for Juventus, surpassing Bologna's 19.72.
  • Squad: Juventus occupies 4th in Serie A, ahead of Bologna in 8th position.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data unavailable for both teams in this fixture.
  • Transition: Transition metrics absent from current analysis datasets.
  • Set pieces: Set-piece stats rely on low-confidence proxies without xG availability.
  • xVariable: xG variables not provided due to add-on unavailability.
  • Market: Juventus 63.4% (Δ+0%) | Draw 21.7% (Δ+0%) | Bologna 14.9% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Juventus L. Spalletti
L. Spalletti
VS
Bologna V. Italiano
V. Italiano
1.85
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.46
2.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Atalanta Rank: W
Genoa Rank: W
Sassuolo Rank: D
Udinese Rank: W
Pisa Rank: W
Roma Rank: D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Lecce Rank: W
Cremonese Rank: W
Lazio Rank: L
Sassuolo Rank: W
Hellas Verona Rank: L
Pisa Rank: W
25
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
25 - 11 - 1
1
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Juventus
63.35%
Draw
21.72%
Away Bologna
14.93%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
34.85
27.22
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Juventus
Bologna
Power Score
34.85
27.22
League Position
4
8
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Juventus — Opponent-weighted form score
Bologna — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Juventus Bologna

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 37 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Juventus JUV Home
37 matches
Bologna BOL Away
Match Record
25
Wins
1
11
Draws
11
1
Losses
25
Goals
68
Goals Scored
25
25
Goals Conceded
68
+43
Goal Difference
-43
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-17T01:08:19+00:00

STARTING XI

Pitch
M. Di Gregorio
Italy
16 M. Di Gregorio
P. Kalulu Kyatengwa
France
15 P. Kalulu Kyatengwa
G. Bremer Silva Nascimento
Brazil
3 G. Bremer Silva Nascimento
F. Gatti
Italy
4 F. Gatti
E. Holm
Sweden
2 E. Holm
K. Thuram-Ulien
France
19 K. Thuram-Ulien
M. Locatelli
Italy
5 M. Locatelli
A. Cambiaso
Italy
27 A. Cambiaso
F. Conceição
Portugal
7 F. Conceição
E. Zhegrova
Kosovo
11 E. Zhegrova
J. Boga
Ivory Coast
13 J. Boga
M. Pessina
Italy
25 M. Pessina
J. Miranda González
Spain
33 J. Miranda González
J. Lucumí Bonilla
Colombia
26 J. Lucumí Bonilla
N. Casale
Italy
16 N. Casale
J. Neto Lopes
Portugal
17 J. Neto Lopes
N. Moro
Croatia
6 N. Moro
R. Freuler
Switzerland
8 R. Freuler
S. Sohm
Switzerland
23 S. Sohm
N. Cambiaghi
Italy
28 N. Cambiaghi
S. Castro
Argentina
9 S. Castro
R. Orsolini
Italy
7 R. Orsolini

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 19, 2026, 06:45 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Serie A, Italy · Round 33 · Regular Season
Stadium
Juventus Stadium
Capacity
41507
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Daniele Bindoni
Maurizio Mariani
Daniele Perenzoni
Alberto Tegoni

Lineup

Referee : Maurizio Mariani

Starting XI ▼

16
Michele Di Gregorio
Michele Di Gregorio Goalkeeper
6.84
2
Emil Holm
Emil Holm Defender
6.81
3
Bremer
Bremer Defender
7.04
4
Federico Gatti
Federico Gatti Defender
6.8
15
Pierre Kalulu
Pierre Kalulu Defender
7.02
27
Andrea Cambiaso
Andrea Cambiaso Defender
7.02
5
Manuel Locatelli
Manuel Locatelli Midfielder
7.41
7
Francisco Conceição
Francisco Conceição Midfielder
7.02
11
Edon Zhegrova
Edon Zhegrova Midfielder
6.76
19
Khéphren Thuram
Khéphren Thuram Midfielder
7.05
13
Jérémie Boga
Jérémie Boga Attacker
7.2
Referee : Maurizio Mariani

Starting XI ▼

25
Massimo Pessina
Massimo Pessina Goalkeeper
6.88
16
Nicolò Casale
Nicolò Casale Defender
6.66
17
João Mário
João Mário Defender
6.55
26
Jhon Lucumí
Jhon Lucumí Defender
6.86
33
Juan Miranda
Juan Miranda Defender
7.14
6
Nikola Moro
Nikola Moro Midfielder
7.02
8
Remo Freuler
Remo Freuler Midfielder
6.8
23
Simon Sohm
Simon Sohm Midfielder
6.69
7
Riccardo Orsolini
Riccardo Orsolini Attacker
6.96
9
Santiago Castro
Santiago Castro Attacker
6.91
28
Nicolò Cambiaghi
Nicolò Cambiaghi Attacker
6.84

CONCLUSION

Juventus appears poised for victory, leveraging home advantage, superior power ratings, and stronger form to overpower Bologna. The 7.6-point edge and higher league standing position the hosts to control possession and limit counters. Bologna must excel in defense and seize transitions despite data gaps in set pieces and efficiency. Expect Juventus to dictate tempo en route to three points, reinforcing their top-four push in Serie A. This encounter underscores the Bianconeri's reliability against mid-table challengers.

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