Paris Saint Germain vs Olympique Lyonnais Prediction, Preview and Stats

France flag 2025/2026 Ligue 1, France
Parc des Princes Sun, 19 Apr - 6:45 PM
Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain PSG
Versus
Olympique Lyonnais LYO
KICKOFF : Sun, 19 Apr - 6:45 PM
Round 30 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Paris Saint Germain host Olympique Lyonnais in Ligue 1 (Regular Season) at Parc des Princes. Domestically, Paris Saint Germain sit 1th in the table while Olympique Lyonnais are 5th. Power ranking favours Paris Saint Germain by 27.9 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Paris Saint Germain lead Ligue 1 in first while Olympique Lyonnais sit fifth, backed by a 27.9-point power edge.
  • Form: Hosts register a stronger form score of 20.94 versus the visitors' 13.44.
  • Squad: PSG's squad power rates at 54.32, dwarfing Lyon's 26.42.
  • Efficiency: No efficiency metrics provided for either side.
  • Transition: Transition play data remains unavailable in current analysis.
  • Set pieces: Set-piece stats carry low confidence with proxy data and no xG for both teams.
  • xVariable: xG variables absent due to add-on not enabled.
  • Market: Paris Saint Germain 72.9% (Δ-0.2%) | Draw 16.4% (Δ+0.1%) | Olympique Lyonnais 10.7% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Paris Saint Germain L. Martínez García
L. Martínez García
VS
Olympique Lyonnais P. Rodrigues Fonseca
P. Rodrigues Fonseca
2.42
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.71
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Toulouse Rank: W
Nice Rank: W
Monaco Rank: L
Le Havre Rank: W
Metz Rank: W
Rennes Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Lorient Rank: W
Angers SCO Rank: D
Monaco Rank: L
Le Havre Rank: D
Paris Rank: D
Olympique Marseille Rank: L
21
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
21 - 8 - 12
12
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Paris Saint Germain
72.91%
Draw
16.38%
Away Olympique Lyonnais
10.7%

Movement

Changes since opening
Paris Saint Germain
-0.15%
Draw
+0.11%
Olympique Lyonnais
+0.03%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
54.32
26.42
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Paris Saint Germain
Olympique Lyonnais
Power Score
54.32
26.42
League Position
1
5
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Paris Saint Germain — Opponent-weighted form score
Olympique Lyonnais — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Paris Saint Germain Olympique Lyonnais

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 41 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Paris Saint Germain PSG Home
41 matches
Olympique Lyonnais LYO Away
Match Record
21
Wins
12
8
Draws
8
12
Losses
21
Goals
75
Goals Scored
50
50
Goals Conceded
75
+25
Goal Difference
-25
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-17T01:08:24+00:00

STARTING XI

Pitch
M. Safonov
Russia
39 M. Safonov
A. Hakimi Mouh
Morocco
2 A. Hakimi Mouh
I. Zabarnyi
Ukraine
6 I. Zabarnyi
W. Pacho Tenorio
Ecuador
51 W. Pacho Tenorio
L. Hernández Pi
France
21 L. Hernández Pi
W. Zaire Emery
France
33 W. Zaire Emery
L. Lopes Beraldo
Brazil
4 L. Lopes Beraldo
I. Mbaye
France
49 I. Mbaye
K. Lee
South Korea
19 K. Lee
O. Dembélé
France
10 O. Dembélé
K. Kvaratskhelia
Georgia
7 K. Kvaratskhelia
D. Greif
Slovakia
1 D. Greif
A. Da Silva Santos
Brazil
16 A. Da Silva Santos
M. Niakhaté
Senegal
19 M. Niakhaté
C. Mata Pedro Lourenço
Angola
22 C. Mata Pedro Lourenço
S. Kango
France
34 S. Kango
T. Morton
England
23 T. Morton
A. Bastardo Moreira
Portugal
17 A. Bastardo Moreira
N. Teye Nartey
Denmark
99 N. Teye Nartey
A. Maitland-Niles
England
98 A. Maitland-Niles
R. Ghezzal
Algeria
18 R. Ghezzal
R. Yaremchuk
Ukraine
77 R. Yaremchuk

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 19, 2026, 06:45 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Ligue 1, France · Round 30 · Regular Season
Stadium
Parc des Princes
Capacity
48583
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Jérôme Brisard
A. Kherradji
Alexis Auger
Steven Torregrossa

Lineup

Referee : Jérôme Brisard

Starting XI ▼

39
Matvey Safonov
Matvey Safonov Goalkeeper
6.76
2
Achraf Hakimi
Achraf Hakimi Defender
7.14
6
Ilya Zabarnyi
Ilya Zabarnyi Defender
6.87
21
Lucas Hernández
Lucas Hernández Defender
6.97
51
Willian Pacho
Willian Pacho Defender
6.92
4
Lucas Beraldo
Lucas Beraldo Midfielder
7.02
33
Warren Zaïre-Emery
Warren Zaïre-Emery Midfielder
7.11
49
Ibrahim Mbaye
Ibrahim Mbaye Midfielder
6.8
7
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia Attacker
7.24
10
Ousmane Dembélé
Ousmane Dembélé Attacker
7.65
19
Kang-in Lee
Kang-in Lee Attacker
7.13
Referee : Jérôme Brisard

Starting XI ▼

1
Dominik Greif
Dominik Greif Goalkeeper
7.03
16
Abner
Abner Defender
6.84
19
Moussa Niakhaté
Moussa Niakhaté Defender
7.05
22
Clinton Mata
Clinton Mata Defender
6.82
34
Steeve Kango
Steeve Kango Defender
6.57
23
Tyler Morton
Tyler Morton Midfielder
7.14
98
Ainsley Maitland-Niles
Ainsley Maitland-Niles Midfielder
6.81
99
Noah Nartey
Noah Nartey Midfielder
6.71
17
Afonso Moreira
Afonso Moreira Attacker
6.93
18
Rachid Ghezza
Rachid Ghezza Attacker
6.56
77
Roman Yaremchuk
Roman Yaremchuk Attacker
6.63

CONCLUSION

Paris Saint Germain enter as clear frontrunners, leveraging top-table position, superior power ratings, and better form to assert control at home. Olympique Lyonnais face an uphill battle against the league's strongest outfit, with projections mirroring this gap. Absent detailed set-piece or efficiency insights, PSG's overall edge should prevail in a routine victory. Expect the hosts to dictate terms early and secure maximum points before a watchful Parc des Princes crowd.

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