Sporting Braga vs Famalicão Prediction, Preview and Stats

Portugal flag 2025/2026 Liga Portugal, Portugal
Estádio Municipal de Braga Sun, 19 Apr - 7:30 PM
Liga Portugal
Sporting Braga SBR
Versus
Famalicão Famalicão
KICKOFF : Sun, 19 Apr - 7:30 PM
Round 30 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Sporting Braga host Famalicão in Liga Portugal (Regular Season) at Estádio Municipal de Braga. Domestically, Sporting Braga sit 4th in the table while Famalicão are 5th. Power ranking favours Sporting Braga by 12.5 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Sporting Braga possesses a 12.5-point power advantage over Famalicão, reflected in scores of 39.67 versus 27.21.
  • Form: Braga's form score stands at 29.39, edging Famalicão's mark of 27.
  • Squad: League standings place Sporting Braga 4th and Famalicão 5th.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data remains unavailable for this fixture.
  • Transition: Transition metrics are not detailed in the provided analysis.
  • Set pieces: Set piece stats use low-confidence proxies without xG availability for either side.
  • xVariable: xG variables are absent as the add-on is not enabled.
  • Market: Sporting Braga 51.3% (Δ+0.1%) | Draw 26.4% (Δ+0.2%) | Famalicão 22.3% (Δ-0.3%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Sporting Braga C. Vicens
C. Vicens
VS
Famalicão H. Carvalho Oliveira
H. Carvalho Oliveira
2.1
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.62
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Arouca Rank: W
Moreirense Rank: W
Porto Rank: L
Sporting CP Rank: D
Nacional Rank: W
Vitória Guimarães Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Moreirense Rank: D
Porto Rank: D
Nacional Rank: W
Vitória Guimarães Rank: W
Arouca Rank: W
Rio Ave Rank: D
5
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
5 - 6 - 2
2
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Sporting Braga
51.32%
Draw
26.38%
Away Famalicão
22.3%

Movement

Changes since opening
Sporting Braga
+0.05%
Draw
+0.2%
Famalicão
-0.25%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
39.67
27.21
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Sporting Braga
Famalicão
Power Score
39.67
27.21
League Position
4
5
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Sporting Braga — Opponent-weighted form score
Famalicão — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Sporting Braga Famalicão

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 13 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Sporting Braga SBR Home
13 matches
Famalicão Famalicão Away
Match Record
5
Wins
2
6
Draws
6
2
Losses
5
Goals
25
Goals Scored
18
18
Goals Conceded
25
+7
Goal Difference
-7
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-17T01:08:37+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
L. Horníček
1 L. Horníček
G. Moscardo de Salles
17 G. Moscardo de Salles
V. Carvalho Vieira
6 V. Carvalho Vieira
B. Arrey-Mbi
26 B. Arrey-Mbi
V. Gómez Perea
2 V. Gómez Perea
D. Tıknaz
34 D. Tıknaz
J. Iria Santos Moutinho
8 J. Iria Santos Moutinho
L. Cruz Lelo
5 L. Cruz Lelo
M. Dorgeles
20 M. Dorgeles
R. Horta
21 R. Horta
F. Navarro Aliaga
39 F. Navarro Aliaga
L. Carević
25 L. Carević
L. Soares Alves
5 L. Soares Alves
J. de Haas
16 J. de Haas
I. Ba
55 I. Ba
R. Pinheiro Ferreira
17 R. Pinheiro Ferreira
M. De Amorim
14 M. De Amorim
T. van de Looi
6 T. van de Looi
G. Alves Freitas Azevedo Sá
20 G. Alves Freitas Azevedo Sá
M. Lopes Moura
7 M. Lopes Moura
S. Elisor
12 S. Elisor
G. Bastião Dias
23 G. Bastião Dias

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 19, 2026, 07:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Liga Portugal, Portugal · Round 30 · Regular Season
Stadium
Estádio Municipal de Braga
Capacity
30286
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Carlos Campos
Nélson Cunha
Diogo Araújo
David Silva

Expected Lineup

Referee : David Silva

Starting XI ▼

1
Lukas Hornicek
Lukas Hornicek Goalkeeper
6.82
2
Víctor Gómez
Víctor Gómez Midfielder
6.95
5
Leonardo Lelo
Leonardo Lelo Midfielder
6.99
20
Mario Dorgeles
Mario Dorgeles Midfielder
6.81
21
Ricardo Horta
Ricardo Horta Midfielder
7.61
39
Fran Navarro
Fran Navarro Centre Forward
6.58
6
Vítor Carvalho
Vítor Carvalho Centre Back
7
8
João Moutinho
João Moutinho Central Midfield
7.03
34
Demir Ege Tıknaz
Demir Ege Tıknaz Central Midfield
6.78
17
Gabriel Moscardo
Gabriel Moscardo Right Back
6.58
26
Bright Arrey-Mbi
Bright Arrey-Mbi Left Back
6.7
Referee : David Silva

Starting XI ▼

25
Lazar Carević
Lazar Carević Goalkeeper
7.06
7
Sorriso
Sorriso Attacker
7.06
12
Simon Elisor
Simon Elisor Centre Forward
6.73
23
Gil Dias
Gil Dias Attacker
7.01
5
Rafa Soares
Rafa Soares Left Back
6.75
6
Tom van de Looi
Tom van de Looi Central Midfield
6.93
14
Mathias de Amorim
Mathias de Amorim Central Midfield
6.92
16
Justin de Haas
Justin de Haas Left Back
7.04
17
Rodrigo Pinheiro
Rodrigo Pinheiro Right Back
7
20
Gustavo Sá
Gustavo Sá Central Midfield
7
55
Ibrahima Ba
Ibrahima Ba Right Back
7.07

CONCLUSION

Sporting Braga approaches this home clash as the stronger outfit, bolstered by a decisive power edge and subtle form superiority over nearby rivals Famalicão. The Estádio Municipal de Braga amplifies their credentials in this Liga Portugal regular season tilt. Absent granular xG insights, outcomes may hinge on set-piece execution and transitional sharpness where proxies offer scant clarity. Projections lean towards Braga, yet Famalicão's competitive standing invites caution in a fixture ripe for drama and potential surprises.

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