Porto vs Tondela Prediction, Preview and Stats

Portugal flag 2025/2026 Liga Portugal, Portugal
Estádio Do Dragão Sun, 19 Apr - 7:30 PM
Liga Portugal
Porto POR
Versus
Tondela TND
KICKOFF : Sun, 19 Apr - 7:30 PM
Round 30 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Porto host Tondela in Liga Portugal (Regular Season) at Estádio Do Dragão. Domestically, Porto sit 1th in the table while Tondela are 17th. Power ranking favours Porto by 24.4 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Porto leads the league in 1st while Tondela occupies 17th position.
  • Form: Porto's form score reaches 37.83, surpassing Tondela's 10.22 markedly.
  • Squad: Home squad power for Porto hits 41.65, exceeding Tondela's away 17.24.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency statistics remain unavailable for both competing sides.
  • Transition: Transition performance details lack specification in current datasets.
  • Set pieces: Set piece analysis uses low-confidence proxies without xG availability.
  • xVariable: xG variables unavailable as add-on remains disabled for this fixture.
  • Market: Porto 79.4% (Δ+0%) | Draw 15.6% (Δ+0%) | Tondela 5% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Porto F. Farioli
F. Farioli
VS
Tondela G. Feio
G. Feio
2.57
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.81
2.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Estoril Rank: W
Famalicão Rank: D
Sporting Braga Rank: W
Moreirense Rank: W
Benfica Rank: D
Arouca Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Gil Vicente Rank: D
Vitória Guimarães Rank: L
AVS Rank: D
Sporting CP Rank: D
Rio Ave Rank: L
Santa Clara Rank: D
13
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
13 - 1 - 1
1
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Porto
79.43%
Draw
15.58%
Away Tondela
4.99%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
41.65
17.24
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Porto
Tondela
Power Score
41.65
17.24
League Position
1
17
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Porto — Opponent-weighted form score
Tondela — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Porto Tondela

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 15 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Porto POR Home
15 matches
Tondela TND Away
Match Record
13
Wins
1
1
Draws
1
1
Losses
13
Goals
32
Goals Scored
6
6
Goals Conceded
32
+26
Goal Difference
-26
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-17T01:08:45+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
D. Meireles Costa
99 D. Meireles Costa
A. Costa
20 A. Costa
J. Bednarek
5 J. Bednarek
J. Kiwior
4 J. Kiwior
Z. Sanusi
12 Z. Sanusi
V. Froholdt
8 V. Froholdt
A. Varela
22 A. Varela
G. Veiga Novas
10 G. Veiga Novas
E. Aquino Cossa
11 E. Aquino Cossa
D. Gül
27 D. Gül
O. Pietuszewski
77 O. Pietuszewski
B. Parise Fontes
31 B. Parise Fontes
R. Fernandes Conceição
27 R. Fernandes Conceição
C. Marques
4 C. Marques
J. Antunes da Silva
44 J. Antunes da Silva
T. Silva Manso
48 T. Silva Manso
H. Sequeira
79 H. Sequeira
J. Rodríguez López
32 J. Rodríguez López
J. Hodge
10 J. Hodge
M. Sie Ouattara
70 M. Sie Ouattara
M. Mesquita Lopes
16 M. Mesquita Lopes
P. Pereira dos Santos
7 P. Pereira dos Santos

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 19, 2026, 07:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Liga Portugal, Portugal · Round 30 · Regular Season
Stadium
Estádio Do Dragão
Capacity
50033
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Luis Claudio Pereira dos Santos
Fábio Oliveira Melo
Tiago José Pereira Costa
Sérgio Nuno Teixeira de Jesus

Expected Lineup

Referee : Luis Claudio Pereira dos Santos

Starting XI ▼

99
Diogo Costa
Diogo Costa Goalkeeper
6.94
11
Pepê
Pepê Attacker
6.97
27
Deniz Gül
Deniz Gül Centre Forward
6.58
77
Oskar Pietuszewski
Oskar Pietuszewski Attacker
6.95
4
Jakub Kiwior
Jakub Kiwior Left Back
7.22
5
Jan Bednarek
Jan Bednarek Right Back
7.17
8
Victor Froholdt
Victor Froholdt Central Midfield
7.02
10
Gabri Veiga
Gabri Veiga Central Midfield
7
12
Zaidu Sanusi
Zaidu Sanusi Left Back
6.9
20
Alberto Costa
Alberto Costa Right Back
6.97
22
Alan Varela
Alan Varela Central Midfield
6.98
Referee : Luis Claudio Pereira dos Santos

Starting XI ▼

31
Bernardo
Bernardo Goalkeeper
6.9
7
Maranhão
Maranhão Attacker
6.96
16
Rony Lopes
Rony Lopes Centre Forward
6.91
70
Moudjatovic
Moudjatovic Attacker
6.62
4
Christian Marques
Christian Marques Left Back
6.68
10
Joe Hodge
Joe Hodge Central Midfield
6.7
27
Rodrigo Conceição
Rodrigo Conceição Left Back
6.68
32
Juanse
Juanse Central Midfield
6.68
44
João Silva
João Silva Right Back
6.74
48
Tiago Manso
Tiago Manso Right Back
6.61
79
Hugo Félix
Hugo Félix Central Midfield
6.72

CONCLUSION

Porto approaches this home fixture against Tondela with overwhelming advantages in power, form, and positioning, poised for a straightforward triumph at Estádio Do Dragão. The 24.4-point gap and top-table status amplify expectations of control and clinical execution. Tondela faces an uphill battle, their low scores offering little optimism amid data voids in set pieces, efficiency, and transitions. Porto's squad depth should dictate proceedings, converting superiority into points. Fans anticipate a display reinforcing the Dragons' title charge.

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