St. Pauli vs Eintracht Frankfurt Prediction, Preview and Stats

Germany flag 2025/2026 Bundesliga, Germany
Millerntor-Stadion Sun, 8 Mar - 2:30 PM
Bundesliga
St. Pauli PAU
0 – 0
Eintracht Frankfurt SGE
Full Time Sun, 8 Mar 2:30 PM

CONTEXT

Match is finished. St. Pauli 0–0 Eintracht Frankfurt. The match ended in a draw. Eintracht Frankfurt showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result diverged from the pre-match projection. Possession was 28%–72%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Eintracht Frankfurt showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was diverging from the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
F. Zwayer
F. Zwayer
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 10.53
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 1.42
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.21
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.32
E. Weisbach
E. Weisbach
4th Official • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 10.53
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 1.42
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.21
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.32
Robert Kempter
Robert Kempter
1st Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 10.53
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 1.42
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.21
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.32
Christian Dietz
Christian Dietz
2nd Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 10.53
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 1.42
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.21
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.32
St. Pauli A. Blessin
A. Blessin
VS
Eintracht Frankfurt A. Riera Ortega
A. Riera Ortega
0.86
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.24
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
TSG Hoffenheim Rank: W
Werder Bremen Rank: W
Bayer 04 Leverkusen Rank: L
VfB Stuttgart Rank: W
FC Augsburg Rank: L
RB Leipzig Rank: D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
TSG Hoffenheim Rank: L
Werder Bremen Rank: D
VfB Stuttgart Rank: L
Borussia Dortmund Rank: D
Hamburger SV Rank: D
FC Augsburg Rank: W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 1 - 4
4

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home St. Pauli
37.58%
Draw
28.27%
Away Eintracht Frankfurt
34.15%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks’ model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
32
46.67
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
St. Pauli
Eintracht Frankfurt
Power Score
32
46.67
League Position
16
7
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
St. Pauli — Opponent-weighted form score
Eintracht Frankfurt — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) St. Pauli Eintracht Frankfurt

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

St. Pauli

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Eintracht Frankfurt

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

St. Pauli ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Eintracht Frankfurt
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
45.89
14.24
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
14.24
45.89
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
St. Pauli +3.00 Efficiency Index
vs
Eintracht Frankfurt -3.00 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
St. Pauli
Eintracht Frankfurt
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

St. Pauli ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Eintracht Frankfurt
Created Set-piece attacking threat
St. Pauli Eintracht Frankfurt
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
St. Pauli Eintracht Frankfurt
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
St. Pauli
Eintracht Frankfurt
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 3 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

St. Pauli PAU Home
3 matches
Eintracht Frankfurt SGE Away
Match Record
0
Wins
2
1
Draws
1
2
Losses
0
Goals
2
Goals Scored
5
5
Goals Conceded
2
-3
Goal Difference
+3
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-03-09T00:09:12+00:00

TEAM FORMATION

No team formation data available.

General Information

Date & Time
Mar 08, 2026, 02:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Bundesliga, Germany
Stadium
Millerntor-Stadion
Capacity
29546
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Felix Zwayer
Eric-dominic Weisbach
Robert Kempter
Christian Dietz

Statistics

Possession
PAU
32%
SGE
68%

Top Statistics

5 Shots 4
37 Dangerous attacks 45
28 Possession 72
6 Corners 5
8 Free kicks 13
2 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

12 Dribble Attempts 8
2 Goal Kicks 7
11 Successful Headers 11
83 Successful Dribbles Percentage 63
2 Hit Woodwork 0
10 Successful Dribbles 5
20 Throwins 15
36 Ball Safe 78
4 Goal Attempts 2
3 Substitutions 3
1 Injuries 0

Attacking

76 Attacks 124

Possession

31 Long Passes 60
8 Successful Long Passes 31
26 Successful Long Passes Percentage 52
166 Successful Passes 604
9 Key Passes 4
68 Successful Passes Percentage 89
243 Passes 679

Defensive

15 Tackles 8
5 Interceptions 15
2 Saves 2

Build-up

2 Accurate Crosses 3
15 Total Crosses 15

Discipline

1 Offsides 1
13 Fouls 8

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Mathias Pereira Lage
4th Yellowcard
90+4'
Event
Alexander Blessin
Argument / 5th Yellowcard
90+3'
Event
Connor Metcalfe
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
89'
87'
Event
Love Arrhov → Farès Chaïbi
6th Substitution
83'
Event
Ayoube Amaimouni-Echghouyab → Arnaud Kalimuendo
5th Substitution
Event
Connor Metcalfe → James Sands
4th Substitution
81'
76'
Event
Ritsu Doan
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Adam Dzwigala → T. Ando
3rd Substitution
66'
66'
Event
Ritsu Doan → Oscar Højlund
2nd Substitution
Event
T. Ando
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
62'
Event
Lars Ritzka → Manolis Saliakas
1st Substitution
48'

Match Commentary

90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Connor Metcalfe from FC St. Pauli Hamburg has been shown a yellow card for committing a foul.
90
Update Update
Lars Ritzka from FC St. Pauli Hamburg committed a foul.
90
Update Update
Ayoube Amaimouni-Echghouyab from Eintracht Frankfurt has been awarded a free kick on the right side of the field.
90
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated that there will be 7 minutes of stoppage time.
90
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Jean-Mattéo Bahoya from Eintracht Frankfurt takes a right-footed shot from the left side of the penalty area, but it's successfully blocked.
90
Attempt Attempt
Another offensive push! Danel Sinani from FC St. Pauli Hamburg takes a left-footed shot from the right side of the penalty area, but Michael Zetterer from Eintracht Frankfurt makes a great save, stopping it in the upper center of the goal. The assist came from Joel Chima Fujita.
90
Attempt Attempt
A shot has been deflected. Joel Chima Fujita from FC St. Pauli Hamburg attempted a right-footed strike from outside the penalty area, but it was blocked. The assist came from Connor Metcalfe.
90
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! Aurèle Amenda from Eintracht Frankfurt attempted a header from the middle of the penalty area, but it sailed over the crossbar and to the left. The assist came from Jean-Mattéo Bahoya.
90
Update Update
The second half has concluded with the score tied at FC St. Pauli Hamburg 0, Eintracht Frankfurt 0.
89
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Eintracht Frankfurt: Love Arrhov comes on to replace Farès Chaïbi.
89
Update Update
Connor Metcalfe committed a foul on the field during the match involving FC St. Pauli Hamburg.
89
Update Update
Nnamdi Collins from Eintracht Frankfurt earned a free kick in the defensive area.
87
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Eintracht Frankfurt after Hauke Wahl allowed the ball to go out.
86
Update Update
Nnamdi Collins from Eintracht Frankfurt has earned a free kick in the defensive area.
84
Update Update
Danel Sinani committed a foul against the player from FC St. Pauli Hamburg.
84
Corner Corner
Another offensive push! Jonathan Burkardt from Eintracht Frankfurt heads the ball from the center of the box, but Nikola Vasilj of FC St. Pauli Hamburg makes a great save, directing it to the right corner. The assist came from Farès Chaïbi, who delivered a precise cross.
84
Update Update
Nathaniel Brown from Eintracht Frankfurt was awarded a free kick on the right side of the field.
83
Update Update
Arnaud Kalimuendo of Eintracht Frankfurt has been awarded a free kick in the defensive zone.
83
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Eintracht Frankfurt: Ayoube Amaimouni-Echghouyab comes on to replace Arnaud Kalimuendo.
83
Update Update
Mathias Pereira Lage from FC St. Pauli Hamburg committed a foul.
82
Update Update
Mathias Pereira Lage from FC St. Pauli Hamburg committed a foul.
81
Update Update
The pause has ended. They are set to resume play.
81
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for FC St. Pauli Hamburg: Connor Metcalfe replaces James Sands due to an injury.
80
Update Update
Match halted due to an injury to James Sands from FC St. Pauli Hamburg.
79
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to FC St. Pauli Hamburg after Nathaniel Brown allowed the ball to go out.
79
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to FC St. Pauli Hamburg after a defensive play by Jean-Mattéo Bahoya.
79
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to FC St. Pauli Hamburg after a play that resulted in a foul by Jean-Mattéo Bahoya.
79
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to FC St. Pauli Hamburg after Nathaniel Brown allowed the ball to go out.
78
Update Update
Mathias Pereira Lage from FC St. Pauli Hamburg earned a free kick in an offensive position.
78
Update Update
Nnamdi Collins from Eintracht Frankfurt committed a foul.
78
Update Update
The pause has ended. They are set to resume play.
77
Update Update
Match interruption due to an injury to James Sands from FC St. Pauli Hamburg.
76
Update Update
James Sands from FC St. Pauli Hamburg has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
76
Update Update
Ritsu Doan commits a foul against Eintracht Frankfurt.
76
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Ritsu Doan from Eintracht Frankfurt has been shown a yellow card for committing a foul.
73
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Eintracht Frankfurt after Lars Ritzka allowed the ball to go out.
71
Update Update
James Sands committed a foul against FC St. Pauli Hamburg.
71
Update Update
Hugo Larsson from Eintracht Frankfurt has been awarded a free kick in an offensive position.
67
Update Update
Arkadiusz Pyrka from FC St. Pauli Hamburg committed a foul.
67
Update Update
Jean-Mattéo Bahoya from Eintracht Frankfurt was awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
67
Corner Corner
A fresh offensive effort unfolds as Danel Sinani from FC St. Pauli Hamburg takes a left-footed shot from the left side of the penalty area, but it's expertly saved in the bottom right corner. The assist came from James Sands.
66
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Eintracht Frankfurt: Ritsu Doan comes on to replace Oscar Højlund.
66
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for FC St. Pauli Hamburg: Adam Dzwigala replaces Tomoya Ando.
65
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity. Farès Chaïbi of Eintracht Frankfurt took a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area following a free kick.
63
Update Update
Tomoya Ando from FC St. Pauli Hamburg committed a foul.
63
Update Update
Farès Chaïbi of Eintracht Frankfurt earned a free kick in an offensive position.
62
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Tomoya Ando of FC St. Pauli Hamburg has been shown a yellow card for committing a foul.
61
Update Update
Jonathan Burkardt from Eintracht Frankfurt was awarded a free kick on the right side of the field.
61
Update Update
Foul committed by Tomoya Ando from FC St. Pauli Hamburg.
60
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Jean-Mattéo Bahoya from Eintracht Frankfurt takes a right-footed shot from the left side of the penalty area, but it's blocked.
56
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to FC St. Pauli Hamburg after Aurèle Amenda allowed the ball to go out.
54
Update Update
Nnamdi Collins from Eintracht Frankfurt has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
54
Update Update
Danel Sinani commits a foul for FC St. Pauli Hamburg.
52
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to FC St. Pauli Hamburg after a defensive play by Farès Chaïbi.
51
Update Update
Tomoya Ando from FC St. Pauli Hamburg has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
51
Update Update
Nathaniel Brown from Eintracht Frankfurt committed a foul.
48
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for FC St. Pauli Hamburg: Lars Ritzka comes on to replace Manolis Saliakas due to an injury.
48
Update Update
The pause has ended. They are set to resume play.
47
Update Update
Match interruption due to an injury to Manolis Saliakas from FC St. Pauli Hamburg.
46
Corner Corner
Another offensive push is underway. Jean-Mattéo Bahoya of Eintracht Frankfurt takes a right-footed shot from the left side of the penalty area, but Nikola Vasilj from FC St. Pauli Hamburg makes a save in the bottom right corner. The assist came from Oscar Højlund.
45
Update Update
The first half has concluded with the score tied at 0-0 between FC St. Pauli and Eintracht Frankfurt.
45
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated that there will be four minutes of stoppage time.
45
Update Update
The second half is underway with the score still tied at FC St. Pauli 0, Eintracht Frankfurt 0.
44
Update Update
Mathias Pereira Lage from FC St. Pauli Hamburg was awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
40
Update Update
Aurèle Amenda from Eintracht Frankfurt committed a foul.
37
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Eintracht Frankfurt after Hauke Wahl allowed the ball to go out.
37
Attempt Attempt
Danel Sinani from FC St. Pauli Hamburg strikes the right post with a left-footed shot taken from outside the penalty area, with an assist from Mathias Pereira Lage.
36
Attempt Attempt
Danel Sinani from FC St. Pauli Hamburg strikes the right post with a left-footed shot taken from outside the penalty area, assisted by Mathias Pereira Lage.
31
Update Update
Offside call against FC St. Pauli Hamburg. Mathias Pereira Lage has been flagged for being in an offside position.
28
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to FC St. Pauli Hamburg after a defensive play by Aurèle Amenda.
27
Update Update
James Sands committed a foul against FC St. Pauli in Hamburg.
25
Update Update
Farès Chaïbi of Eintracht Frankfurt has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
25
Update Update
Joel Chima Fujita from FC St. Pauli Hamburg was awarded a free kick on the right side of the field.
24
Update Update
Joel Chima Fujita from FC St. Pauli Hamburg earned a free kick on the right flank.
24
Update Update
Nnamdi Collins from Eintracht Frankfurt committed a foul.
23
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! Mathias Pereira Lage from FC St. Pauli Hamburg had a header from within the six-yard box on the left side, but it went wide. The assist came from Arkadiusz Pyrka, who delivered a cross.
23
Update Update
Mathias Pereira Lage from FC St. Pauli Hamburg has been awarded a free kick in an offensive position.
23
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to FC St. Pauli Hamburg after a deflection off Oscar Højlund.
22
Update Update
Nnamdi Collins from Eintracht Frankfurt committed a foul.
21
Update Update
The pause has ended. They are set to resume play.
21
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to Eintracht Frankfurt after Eric Smith allowed the ball to go out of play.
15
Update Update
Match is currently paused due to an injury to Jonathan Burkardt from Eintracht Frankfurt.
9
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! Mathias Pereira Lage of FC St. Pauli Hamburg had a header from the center of the penalty area but couldn't find the target. The assist came from Manolis Saliakas.
8
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Arkadiusz Pyrka from FC St. Pauli Hamburg fires a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it gets blocked.
7
Update Update
Nnamdi Collins from Eintracht Frankfurt has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
7
Update Update
Joel Chima Fujita from FC St. Pauli Hamburg committed a foul.
5
Update Update
Arnaud Kalimuendo commits a foul against Eintracht Frankfurt.
5
Update Update
Arkadiusz Pyrka from FC St. Pauli Hamburg earned a free kick in the defensive area.
4
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is denied. Farès Chaïbi from Eintracht Frankfurt takes a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it's intercepted.
3
Update Update
Tomoya Ando from FC St. Pauli Hamburg committed a foul.
3
Update Update
Nathaniel Brown of Eintracht Frankfurt has been awarded a free kick in an offensive position.
3
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Jonathan Burkardt from Eintracht Frankfurt takes a right-footed shot from the middle of the penalty area, but it gets blocked.
1
Update Update
Eric Smith from FC St. Pauli Hamburg has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
1
Update Update
Jonathan Burkardt from Eintracht Frankfurt committed a foul.

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Eintracht Frankfurt exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was contrary to the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was outside the projected probability range.

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