Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs FC Bayern München Prediction, Preview and Stats

Germany flag 2025/2026 Bundesliga, Germany
BayArena Sat, 14 Mar - 2:30 PM
Bundesliga
Bayer 04 Leverkusen B04
1 – 1
FC Bayern München FCB
Full Time Sat, 14 Mar 2:30 PM
Aleix García - 6'
Goal
|
Goal
Luis Díaz - 69'
|
Red Card Nicolas Jackson 42'
Second yellow card Luis Díaz 84'

CONTEXT

The match has officially finished, with FC Bayern München securing a 1-0 full-time victory over Bayer 04 Leverkusen. Going into the fixture, Bayern München were heavily backed as the stronger team with a 60.5% pre-match win probability, compared to a 20.2% chance of a draw and just 19.3% for a Leverkusen win. Ultimately

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: FC Bayern München showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: Red card(s) affected the match (Classify).
  • Red card distortion: Classify as red card distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
C. Dingert
C. Dingert
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 12.48
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.04
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.28
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.24
F. Exner
F. Exner
4th Official • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 12.48
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.04
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.28
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.24
B. Kempkes
B. Kempkes
1st Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 12.48
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.04
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.28
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.24
M. Achmüller
M. Achmüller
2nd Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 12.48
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.04
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.28
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.24
Bayer 04 Leverkusen K. Hjulmand
K. Hjulmand
VS
FC Bayern München V. Kompany
V. Kompany
1.88
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2.47
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Borussia Mönchengladbach Rank: 76 D
Eintracht Frankfurt Rank: 81 W
Werder Bremen Rank: 76 W
TSG Hoffenheim Rank: 85 L
VfB Stuttgart Rank: 87 L
RB Leipzig Rank: 85 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Hamburger SV Rank: 78 D
FC Augsburg Rank: 76 L
RB Leipzig Rank: 85 W
FC Köln Rank: 76 W
VfL Wolfsburg Rank: 76 W
Heidenheim Rank: 70 W
7
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
7 - 10 - 26
26

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Bayer 04 Leverkusen
19.3%
Draw
20.23%
Away FC Bayern München
60.47%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
89.47
98.94
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
FC Bayern München
Power Score
89.47
98.94
League Position
6
1
Global Rank
14
2

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Bayer 04 Leverkusen — Opponent-weighted form score
FC Bayern München — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Bayer 04 Leverkusen FC Bayern München

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

FC Bayern München

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Bayer 04 Leverkusen ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy FC Bayern München
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
53.78
24.45
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
24.45
53.78
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Bayer 04 Leverkusen +2.78 Efficiency Index
vs
FC Bayern München -2.78 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
FC Bayern München
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen
vs
FC Bayern München
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Bayer 04 Leverkusen FC Bayern München
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
0%
0%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
+0.00 vs +0.00
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Bayer 04 Leverkusen FC Bayern München
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
FC Bayern München
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 11 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen B04 Home
11 matches
FC Bayern München FCB Away
Match Record
2
Wins
5
4
Draws
4
5
Losses
2
Goals
11
Goals Scored
21
21
Goals Conceded
11
-10
Goal Difference
+10
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-03-16T00:56:14+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
J. Blaswich
Germany
28 J. Blaswich
J. Quansah
England
4 J. Quansah
R. Andrich
Germany
8 (C) R. Andrich
E. Tapsoba
Burkina Faso
12 E. Tapsoba
M. Amare Culbreath
Substitution
Germany
42 M. Amare Culbreath
I. Fernández Carballo
Argentina
6 I. Fernández Carballo
A. García Serrano
Substitution
Spain
24 A. García Serrano
E. Poku
Substitution
Netherlands
19 E. Poku
M. Terrier
Substitution
France
11 M. Terrier
M. Tillman
United States
10 M. Tillman
P. Schick
Substitution
Czech Republic
14 P. Schick
S. Ulreich
Germany
26 S. Ulreich
K. Laimer
Substitution
Austria
27 K. Laimer
J. Tah
Germany
4 J. Tah
D. Upamecano
France
2 D. Upamecano
J. Stanisic
Croatia
44 J. Stanisic
A. Pavlović
Substitution
Germany
45 A. Pavlović
J. Kimmich
Germany
6 (C) J. Kimmich
L. Díaz Marulanda
Colombia
14 L. Díaz Marulanda
L. Karl
Substitution
42 L. Karl
M. Olise
Substitution
France
17 M. Olise
N. Jackson
Senegal
11 N. Jackson

General Information

Date & Time
Mar 14, 2026, 02:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Bundesliga, Germany
Stadium
BayArena
Capacity
30210
Attendance
30210
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Christian Dingert
Florian Exner
Benedikt Kempkes
Marco Achmüller

Statistics

Possession
B04
47%
FCB
53%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 1
5 Big Chances Created 2
21 Shots 11
64 Dangerous attacks 49
45 Possession 55
4 Corners 1
13 Free kicks 12
3 Yellow Cards 4
0 Red Cards 2

Match Overview

15 Throwins 17
1 Assists 1
8 Successful Headers 6
7 Successful Dribbles 7
2 Injuries 0
15 Dribble Attempts 17
47 Successful Dribbles Percentage 41
82 Ball Safe 96
7 Goal Kicks 13
15 Goal Attempts 7
5 Substitutions 4

Attacking

103 Attacks 119
5 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

428 Successful Passes 566
16 Key Passes 11
20 Successful Long Passes 25
48 Successful Long Passes Percentage 47
497 Passes 636
86 Successful Passes Percentage 89
42 Long Passes 53

Defensive

20 Tackles 17
4 Saves 6
9 Interceptions 10
46 Duels Won 42

Build-up

4 Accurate Crosses 2
20 Total Crosses 8

Discipline

2 Offsides 1
12 Fouls 13

Lineup

Referee : Christian Dingert

Starting XI ▼

28
Janis Blaswich
Janis Blaswich Goalkeeper
7.25
4
Jarell Quansah
Jarell Quansah Defender
6.34
8
Robert Andrich
Robert Andrich (C) Defender
6.51
12
Edmond Tapsoba
Edmond Tapsoba Defender
6.58
6
Ezequiel Fernández
Ezequiel Fernández Midfielder
7.36
19
Ernest Poku
Ernest Poku Midfielder
6.93
23
Nathan Tella
Nathan Tella
Attacker86'
6.74
24
Aleix García
Aleix García Midfielder
7.31
25
Exequiel Palacios
Exequiel Palacios
Midfielder77'
6.71
42
Montrell Culbreath
Montrell Culbreath Midfielder
7.29
7
Jonas Hofmann
Jonas Hofmann
Midfielder77'
6.69
10
Malik Tillman
Malik Tillman Attacker
6.96
11
Martin Terrier
Martin Terrier Attacker
6.57
30
Ibrahim Maza
Ibrahim Maza
Attacker46'
6.77
14
Patrik Schick
Patrik Schick Attacker
7.2
35
Christian Kofane
Christian Kofane
Attacker61'
6.67
Referee : Christian Dingert

Starting XI ▼

26
Sven Ulreich
Sven Ulreich Goalkeeper
7.42
2
Dayot Upamecano
Dayot Upamecano Defender
7.14
4
Jonathan Tah
Jonathan Tah Defender
7.02
27
Konrad Laimer
Konrad Laimer Defender
6.2
3
Min-jae Kim
Min-jae Kim
Defender88'
44
Josip Stanisic
Josip Stanisic Defender
7.3
6
Joshua Kimmich
Joshua Kimmich (C) Midfielder
6.92
14
Luis Díaz
Luis Díaz Midfielder
6.31
17
Michael Olise
Michael Olise Midfielder
8.1
20
Tom Bischof
Tom Bischof
Midfielder89'
42
Lennart Karl
Lennart Karl Midfielder
6.64
9
Harry Kane
Harry Kane
Attacker61'
6.8
45
Aleksandar Pavlovic
Aleksandar Pavlovic Midfielder
7.11
8
Leon Goretzka
Leon Goretzka
Midfielder61'
6.85
11
Nicolas Jackson
Nicolas Jackson Attacker
6.35

Events

2ND-HALF
90+7'
Event
Sven Ulreich
Time wasting / 6th Yellowcard
Event
Edmond Tapsoba
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
90+5'
Event
Jonas Hofmann
Goal disallowed
90+4'
89'
Event
Tom Bischof → Michael Olise
9th Substitution
88'
Event
Min-jae Kim → Konrad Laimer
8th Substitution
Event
Nathan Tella → Ernest Poku
7th Substitution
86'
84'
Event
Luis Díaz
Simulation / 1st Yellow/red Card
Event
Jonas Hofmann → Montrell Culbreath
5th Substitution
77'
Event
Exequiel Palacios → Aleix García
6th Substitution
77'
Event
Robert Andrich
Argument / 3rd Yellowcard
74'
74'
Event
Luis Díaz
Dangerous play / 4th Yellowcard
70'
Event
Vincent Kompany
Argument / 8th Yellowcard
69'
Event
Luis Díaz
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
63'
Event
Harry Kane
Goal disallowed
Event
Christian Kofane → Patrik Schick
4th Substitution
61'
61'
Event
Harry Kane → Lennart Karl
3rd Substitution
61'
Event
Leon Goretzka → Aleksandar Pavlovic
2nd Substitution
Event
Ezequiel Fernández
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
56'
Event
Vincent Kompany
7th Yellowcard
56'
Event
Ibrahim Maza → Martin Terrier
1st Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
42'
Event
Nicolas Jackson
Foul / 1st Redcard
42'
Event
Nicolas Jackson
Card adjusted
32'
Event
Jonathan Tah
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
27'
Event
Jonathan Tah
Goal disallowed
Event
Aleix García
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
6'

Match Commentary

90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Bayer 04 Leverkusen after Harry Kane allowed the ball to go out.
90
Corner Corner
Opportunity wasted. Ibrahim Maza from Bayer 04 Leverkusen took a right-footed shot from the middle of the penalty area, but it sailed over the goal and to the right. The assist came from Exequiel Palacios following a corner kick.
90
Update Update
Ezequiél Fernández from Bayer 04 Leverkusen earned a free kick on the right side of the field.
90
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to Bayer 04 Leverkusen after a deflection off Leon Goretzka.
90
Update Update
Sven Ulreich of FC Bayern München has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
90
Update Update
VAR Review: The goal is disallowed; the score remains Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1, FC Bayern München 1.
90
Update Update
Joshua Kimmich from FC Bayern München earned a free kick in the offensive zone.
90
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Jarell Quansah of Bayer 04 Leverkusen fires a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it's successfully blocked.
90
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated that there will be 8 minutes of stoppage time.
90
Corner Corner
A fresh offensive move unfolds as Malik Tillman from Bayer 04 Leverkusen takes a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but Sven Ulreich of FC Bayern München makes a save in the bottom right corner.
90
Update Update
Opportunity wasted! Christian Kofane from Bayer 04 Leverkusen attempted a header from the middle of the penalty area, but it sailed over the bar and to the right. The cross was delivered by Ibrahim Maza.
90
Update Update
Harry Kane commits a foul against FC Bayern München.
90
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Exequiel Palacios from Bayer 04 Leverkusen fires a right-footed shot from the middle of the penalty area, but it gets blocked. The assist came from Jonas Hofmann.
90
Update Update
GOAL DISALLOWED AFTER VAR REVIEW: Jonas Hofmann from Bayer 04 Leverkusen finds the back of the net, but the goal is canceled following a VAR check.
90
Update Update
VAR Review: The goal is disallowed; the score remains Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1-1 FC Bayern München.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Sven Ulreich from FC Bayern München has been shown a yellow card.
90
Update Update
Edmond Tapsoba from Bayer 04 Leverkusen committed a foul.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Edmond Tapsoba of Bayer 04 Leverkusen has been shown a yellow card for committing a foul.
90
Update Update
Ibrahim Maza from Bayer 04 Leverkusen committed a foul.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Sven Ulreich from FC Bayern München has been shown a yellow card.
90
Update Update
Opportunity goes begging! Jarell Quansah of Bayer 04 Leverkusen heads the ball from the center of the box, but it narrowly misses the target. The assist came from Nathan Tella, who delivered a precise cross.
90
Update Update
The second half has concluded with the score tied at 1-1 between Bayer 04 Leverkusen and FC Bayern München.
89
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for FC Bayern München: Tom Bischof replaces Michael Olise.
88
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for FC Bayern München: Min-Jae Kim replaces Konrad Laimer.
87
Attempt Attempt
Another offensive effort underway. Josip Stanisic from FC Bayern München takes a right-footed shot from the right side of the penalty area, but it's stopped by the goalkeeper.
87
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Nathan Tella comes on to replace Ernest Poku.
86
Attempt Attempt
Opportunity wasted. Jarell Quansah of Bayer 04 Leverkusen took a right-footed shot from just a few meters out, but it went wide.
86
Attempt Attempt
Another offensive push from Bayer 04 Leverkusen. Ibrahim Maza takes a shot with his right foot from the middle of the penalty area, but Sven Ulreich, the goalkeeper for FC Bayern München, makes a save right in the center of the goal. The assist came from Ernest Poku.
84
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Luis Díaz of FC Bayern München receives his second yellow card.
84
Update Update
Luis Díaz committed a foul against FC Bayern München.
83
Attempt Attempt
Opportunity squandered. Ibrahim Maza of Bayer 04 Leverkusen attempted a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it sailed over the goal and to the right. The assist came from Ernest Poku.
80
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Bayer 04 Leverkusen after Jonathan Tah allowed the ball to go out.
78
Corner Corner
Opportunity wasted! Ezequiél Fernández from Bayer 04 Leverkusen took a left-footed shot from the center of the box following a corner kick.
77
Update Update
The pause has ended. They are set to resume play.
77
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Exequiel Palacios comes on to replace Aleix García, who is leaving the field due to an injury.
77
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Jonas Hofmann comes on to replace Montrell Culbreath.
77
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Bayer 04 Leverkusen after a deflection off Joshua Kimmich.
75
Update Update
Match halted due to an injury to Aleix García from Bayer 04 Leverkusen.
74
Update Update
Luis Díaz from FC Bayern München is involved in a risky challenge.
74
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Luis Díaz of FC Bayern München has been shown a yellow card for a reckless challenge.
74
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Robert Andrich from Bayer 04 Leverkusen has been shown a yellow card.
74
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Robert Andrich from Bayer 04 Leverkusen has been shown a yellow card.
73
Update Update
Aleix García from Bayer 04 Leverkusen earned a free kick on the right side of the field.
71
Attempt Attempt
Opportunity squandered. Harry Kane of FC Bayern München attempted a right-footed shot from over 35 yards but failed to find the target. The assist came from Leon Goretzka.
71
Attempt Attempt
Another offensive push! Michael Olise from FC Bayern München takes a left-footed shot from the left side of the penalty area, but Janis Blaswich of Bayer 04 Leverkusen makes a fantastic save, denying him in the top center of the goal. The assist came from Harry Kane.
69
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! It's now Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1, FC Bayern München 1. Luis Díaz scores for FC Bayern München with a right-footed shot from the center of the box into the bottom right corner, assisted by Michael Olise.
68
Update Update
Michael Olise from FC Bayern München earned a free kick in the defensive area.
68
Update Update
Ernest Poku committed a foul against Bayer 04 Leverkusen.
67
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Ezequiél Fernández of Bayer 04 Leverkusen takes a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it gets blocked. The assist came from Robert Andrich.
66
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity. Ernest Poku from Bayer 04 Leverkusen attempted a shot with his right foot from the left side of the penalty area.
63
Update Update
VAR Review: Goal Disallowed - Bayer 04 Leverkusen remains 1-0 ahead against FC Bayern München.
61
Attempt Attempt
Goal! Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1, FC Bayern München 1. Harry Kane scores for FC Bayern München with a left-footed shot from close range into the center of the net. The assist came from Luis Díaz.
61
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Christian Kofane comes on to replace Patrik Schick.
61
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for FC Bayern München: Harry Kane replaces Lennart Karl.
61
Attempt Attempt
Goal! It's 1-1 between Bayer 04 Leverkusen and FC Bayern München. Harry Kane scores for Bayern München with a left-footed shot from close range.
61
Update Update
VAR Review: Goal by FC Bayern München - Scored by Harry Kane.
59
Attempt Attempt
Another offensive move underway. Patrik Schick from Bayer 04 Leverkusen takes a left-footed shot from the middle of the penalty area, but it's stopped by the goalkeeper.
58
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity. Malik Tillman from Bayer 04 Leverkusen attempted a left-footed shot from the center of the penalty area after a quick counterattack.
58
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is denied. Luis Díaz from FC Bayern München takes a right-footed shot from the left side of the penalty area, but it gets intercepted. The assist came from Joshua Kimmich.
57
Update Update
Edmond Tapsoba of Bayer 04 Leverkusen committed a foul.
57
Update Update
Michael Olise from FC Bayern München has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
56
Update Update
Ezequiél Fernández from Bayer 04 Leverkusen committed a foul.
56
Update Update
Michael Olise of FC Bayern München has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
56
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Ezequiél Fernández from Bayer 04 Leverkusen has been shown a yellow card for committing a foul.
54
Attempt Attempt
Opportunity wasted. Patrik Schick from Bayer 04 Leverkusen attempted a left-footed shot from the left side of the penalty area.
53
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! Luis Díaz from FC Bayern München took a right-footed shot from the center of the box, but it sailed over the goal. The assist came from Michael Olise.
51
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! Ibrahim Maza from Bayer 04 Leverkusen took a right-footed shot from over 35 yards out, but it went just wide to the left after a quick counterattack.
49
Update Update
Offside call against FC Bayern München. Luis Díaz has been caught in an offside position.
48
Update Update
Joshua Kimmich of FC Bayern München earned a free kick in the defensive area.
48
Update Update
Patrik Schick from Bayer 04 Leverkusen committed a foul.
45
Update Update
Edmond Tapsoba from Bayer 04 Leverkusen committed a foul.
45
Update Update
The second half is underway with Bayer 04 Leverkusen leading FC Bayern München 1-0.
45
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated that there will be four minutes of stoppage time.
45
Update Update
Michael Olise of FC Bayern München was awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
45
Attempt Attempt
A fresh offensive effort unfolds. Malik Tillman from Bayer 04 Leverkusen takes a right-footed shot from the left side of the penalty area, but Sven Ulreich, the goalkeeper for FC Bayern München, makes a save right in the center of the goal. The assist came from Ernest Poku.
45
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to FC Bayern München after Robert Andrich allowed the ball to go out.
45
Update Update
The first half has concluded with Bayer 04 Leverkusen leading FC Bayern München 1-0.
45
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Ibrahim Maza comes on to replace Martin Terrier due to an injury.
44
Update Update
Michael Olise committed a foul against FC Bayern München.
44
Update Update
Aleix García from Bayer 04 Leverkusen earned a free kick in the defensive area.
42
Update Update
VAR Review: Nicolas Jackson receives an upgraded card for FC Bayern München.
42
Update Update
Match interruption - FC Bayern München is undergoing a VAR review.
42
Update Update
The pause has ended. They are set to resume play.
42
Red Card Red Card Important
Nicolas Jackson of FC Bayern München has been shown a red card.
41
Update Update
Match halted due to an injury to Martin Terrier from Bayer 04 Leverkusen.
41
Update Update
Martin Terrier of Bayer 04 Leverkusen has been awarded a free kick in an offensive position.
41
Update Update
Nicolas Jackson committed a foul against FC Bayern München.
38
Update Update
Ezequiél Fernández from Bayer 04 Leverkusen was awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
38
Update Update
Nicolas Jackson committed a foul against FC Bayern München.
32
Update Update
Patrik Schick from Bayer 04 Leverkusen was awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
32
Update Update
Jonathan Tah committed a foul against FC Bayern München.
32
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Jonathan Tah of FC Bayern München has been shown a yellow card for committing a foul.
31
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! Montrell Culbreath of Bayer 04 Leverkusen took a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area that narrowly went wide to the left. The assist came from Patrik Schick during a quick counterattack.
29
Update Update
Robert Andrich from Bayer 04 Leverkusen committed a foul.
29
Update Update
Josip Stanisic from FC Bayern München earned a free kick in the defensive area.
28
Update Update
Ezequiél Fernández from Bayer 04 Leverkusen committed a foul.
28
Update Update
Nicolas Jackson from FC Bayern München was awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
27
Update Update
VAR Review: The goal is disallowed; Bayer 04 Leverkusen remains at 1-0 against FC Bayern München.
26
Update Update
Jonathan Tah commits a handball for FC Bayern München.
26
Update Update
GOAL DISALLOWED AFTER VAR REVIEW: Jonathan Tah of FC Bayern München finds the back of the net, but the goal is cancelled following a VAR check.
25
Update Update
Edmond Tapsoba from Bayer 04 Leverkusen committed a foul.
25
Update Update
Michael Olise of FC Bayern München was awarded a free kick on the right flank.
24
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity. Luis Díaz of FC Bayern München attempted a right-footed shot from the left side of the penalty area, but it sailed over the goal. The assist was provided by Nicolas Jackson.
24
Attempt Attempt
A fresh offensive move unfolds as Nicolas Jackson from FC Bayern München takes a right-footed shot from the middle of the box. However, Janis Blaswich, the goalkeeper for Bayer 04 Leverkusen, makes a crucial save right in the center of the goal. The assist comes from Michael Olise.
22
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Lennart Karl from FC Bayern München fires a left-footed shot from the center of the penalty area, but it's blocked. The assist came from Michael Olise.
20
Update Update
Luis Díaz committed a foul against FC Bayern München.
20
Update Update
Montrell Culbreath from Bayer 04 Leverkusen has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
19
Update Update
Patrik Schick from Bayer 04 Leverkusen committed a foul.
19
Update Update
Joshua Kimmich from FC Bayern München has been awarded a free kick on the right flank.
17
Update Update
Montrell Culbreath from Bayer 04 Leverkusen has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
17
Update Update
Konrad Laimer from FC Bayern München committed a foul.
16
Update Update
Ezequiél Fernández from Bayer 04 Leverkusen committed a foul.
16
Update Update
Lennart Karl from FC Bayern München was awarded a free kick in an offensive position.
15
Update Update
Nicolas Jackson committed a foul against FC Bayern München.
15
Update Update
Jarell Quansah from Bayer 04 Leverkusen earned a free kick on the right side of the field.
15
Update Update
Offside call against Bayer 04 Leverkusen. Patrik Schick has been flagged for being offside.
14
Update Update
Luis Díaz committed a foul against FC Bayern München.
14
Update Update
Ezequiél Fernández from Bayer 04 Leverkusen was awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
9
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! Nicolas Jackson of FC Bayern München took a right-footed shot from the center of the box, but it went wide to the left. The assist came from Josip Stanisic.
6
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Bayer 04 Leverkusen takes the lead with a score of 1-0 against FC Bayern München. Aleix García scores with a right-footed shot from the right side of the penalty area, sending the ball into the upper center of the net. The assist comes from Patrik Schick, who set him up after a quick counterattack.

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: FC Bayern München exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Structural distortion: The match was materially influenced by red card(s), altering baseline dynamics. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

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