WSG Tirol vs Grazer AK Prediction, Preview and Stats
2025/2026 Admiral Bundesliga, Austria
Tivoli Stadion Tirol
Sun, 8 Mar - 4:00 PM
Admiral Bundesliga
WSG Tirol
WSG
2
0
0
Grazer AK
GAK
Full Time
Sun, 8 Mar
4:00 PM
David Kubatta - 10'
Ademola Ola-Adebomi - 43'
|
|
Martin Kreuzriegler 42'
STANDINGS
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| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
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| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
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| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
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Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation
Data last checked: Apr 21
CONTEXT
Match is finished. WSG Tirol 0–0 Grazer AK. The match ended in a draw. WSG Tirol showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result diverged from the pre-match projection. Possession was 50%–50%. The match featured at least one red card, which may have affected the flow of the game.
TL;DR
-
Structural deviation: WSG Tirol showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
-
Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
-
xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
-
Market alignment: End result was diverging from the pre-match projection.
-
xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
-
Event impact: Red card(s) affected the match (Classify).
-
Red card distortion: Classify as red card distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)
Quality vs Volume
Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11
Open Play vs Set Play
Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
ℹ️
Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
M. Hartl
1st Assistant
•
25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0.52
League Avg
20.17
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0.12
League Avg
3.17
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0.33
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
S. Bosnjak
4th Official
•
25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0.52
League Avg
20.17
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0.12
League Avg
3.17
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0.33
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
F. Jäger
Referee
•
25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0.52
League Avg
20.17
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0.12
League Avg
3.17
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0.33
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
T. Kaplan
2nd Assistant
•
25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0.52
League Avg
20.17
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0.12
League Avg
3.17
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0.33
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
P. Semlic
VS
F. Feldhofer
1.18
Avg Points / Game
(Last 100 Matches)
1.06
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Blau-Weiß Linz
Rank:
W
Ried
Rank:
D
Sturm Graz
Rank:
W
LASK Linz
Rank:
L
Hartberg
Rank:
L
Rheindorf Altach
Rank:
L
Avg Points / Game
(Last 6 Matches)
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Ried
Rank:
W
Hartberg
Rank:
L
Salzburg
Rank:
D
Wolfsberger AC
Rank:
D
LASK Linz
Rank:
L
Sturm Graz
Rank:
L
0
Head to Head
(Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 4 - 1
1
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
WSG Tirol
39.54%
Draw
28.76%
Grazer AK
31.7%
Team Power Ranking
iWhat is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks’ model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
46.97
30.3
0 (Weakest)
100 (Strongest)
Metric
WSG Tirol
Grazer AK
Power Score
46.97
30.3
League Position
7
11
Global Rank
-
-
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
–
vs
WSG Tirol
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Grazer AK
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts)
Draw (1 pt)
Loss (0 pts)
WSG Tirol Grazer AK
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
–
vs
Loading…
WSG Tirol
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
Grazer AK
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
WSG Tirol
⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy
Grazer AK
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
38.40
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
13.80
Combined Efficiency Index
Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3
0
3
WSG Tirol
+1.92
Efficiency Index
vs
Grazer AK
-1.92
Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
WSG Tirol
Grazer AK
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
WSG Tirol
⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy
Grazer AK
Created
Set-piece attacking threat
WSG Tirol
Grazer AK
Set-piece xG Share
Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
Goals per Match
Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00
0.00
vs Expected (xG)
Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
—
vs
—
Conceded
Set-piece defensive exposure
WSG Tirol
Grazer AK
Set-piece xGA Share
Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
Conceded per Match
Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00
0.00
vs Expected (xGA)
Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
—
vs
—
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
WSG Tirol
Grazer AK
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 5 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
WSG Tirol
WSG
Home
5
matches
Grazer AK
GAK
Away
Match Record
0
Wins
1
4
Draws
4
1
Losses
0
Goals
3
Goals Scored
4
4
Goals Conceded
3
-1
Goal Difference
+1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0
Data last updated: 2026-03-09T00:13:59+00:00
TEAM FORMATION
No team formation data available.
General Information
Date & Time
Mar 08, 2026, 04:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Admiral Bundesliga, Austria
Stadium
Tivoli Stadion Tirol
Capacity
16008
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Mattias Hartl
Stjepan Bosnjak
Florian Jäger
Thomas Kaplan
Statistics
Possession
WSG
52%
GAK
48%
Top Statistics
2
Goals
0
2
Big Chances Created
0
9
Shots
2
44
Dangerous attacks
18
50
Possession
50
8
Corners
4
11
Free kicks
11
3
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
1
Match Overview
3
Goal Kicks
11
8
Goal Attempts
4
4
Successful Dribbles
4
36
Successful Dribbles Percentage
50
11
Dribble Attempts
8
2
Assists
0
24
Throwins
16
55
Ball Safe
60
1
Injuries
2
5
Substitutions
5
1
Hit Woodwork
0
Attacking
101
Attacks
64
1
Big Chances Missed
0
Possession
73
Long Passes
71
376
Passes
393
39
Successful Long Passes
33
76
Successful Passes Percentage
77
9
Key Passes
4
285
Successful Passes
302
53
Successful Long Passes Percentage
46
Defensive
3
Interceptions
5
9
Tackles
13
3
Saves
1
Build-up
20
Total Crosses
9
10
Accurate Crosses
1
Discipline
9
Fouls
12
Events
2ND-HALF
David Falkner → Moritz Wels
10th Substitution
90+2'
Christian Huetz → N. Frederiksen
9th Substitution
87'
79'
Dominik Frieser → Jacob Italiano
8th Substitution
69'
Daniel Maderner → Alexander Hofleitner
5th Substitution
69'
Tim Paumgartner → Mathias Olesen
6th Substitution
69'
Thomas Schiestl → Leon Klassen
7th Substitution
61'
Mathias Olesen
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
Yannick Vötter → Thomas Sabitzer
4th Substitution
59'
David Jaunegg → David Kubatta
3rd Substitution
59'
Thomas Sabitzer
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
55'
Lukas Hinterseer → Ademola Ola-Adebomi
2nd Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
45'
Mukhran Bagrationi → Christian Lichtenberger
1st Substitution
Ademola Ola-Adebomi
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
43'
42'
Martin Kreuzriegler
Violent conduct / 1st Redcard
41'
Thorsten Schriebl
Card adjusted
David Kubatta
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
38'
Ademola Ola-Adebomi
Argument / 1st Yellowcard
22'
David Kubatta
Header / 1st Goal
10'
CONCLUSION
Structural assessment: WSG Tirol exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was contrary to the pre-match probability model. Structural distortion: The match was materially influenced by red card(s), altering baseline dynamics. Market alignment: The match result was outside the projected probability range.