Ried vs Austria Wien Prediction, Preview and Stats

Austria flag 2025/2026 Admiral Bundesliga, Austria
josko ARENA Sun, 8 Mar - 4:00 PM
Admiral Bundesliga
Ried Ried
0 Winner 2
Austria Wien FAK
Full Time Sun, 8 Mar 4:00 PM
|
Goal
Abubakr Barry - 56'
Aleksandar Dragovic - 73'

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Ried 0–2 Austria Wien. The result saw Austria Wien take the points. Austria Wien showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result diverged from the pre-match projection. Possession was 52%–48%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Austria Wien showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was diverging from the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
J. Schnur
J. Schnur
4th Official • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 20.17
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.17
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.33
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
A. Harkam
A. Harkam
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 20.17
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.17
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.33
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
M. Weiss
M. Weiss
1st Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 20.17
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.17
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.33
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
A. Borucki
A. Borucki
2nd Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 20.17
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.17
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.33
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Ried M. Senft
M. Senft
VS
Austria Wien S. Helm
S. Helm
1.31
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.81
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Grazer AK Rank: L
WSG Tirol Rank: D
LASK Linz Rank: D
Sturm Graz Rank: L
Rheindorf Altach Rank: W
SK Rapid Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
LASK Linz Rank: D
Rheindorf Altach Rank: L
SK Rapid Rank: W
Salzburg Rank: W
Sturm Graz Rank: W
Wolfsberger AC Rank: L
10
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
10 - 15 - 32
32

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Ried
40.17%
Draw
29.08%
Away Austria Wien
30.75%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks’ model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
39.24
54.55
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Ried
Austria Wien
Power Score
39.24
54.55
League Position
9
4
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Ried — Opponent-weighted form score
Austria Wien — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Ried Austria Wien

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Ried

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Austria Wien

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Ried ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Austria Wien
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
29.90
30.21
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
30.21
29.90
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Ried -0.02 Efficiency Index
vs
Austria Wien +0.02 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Ried
Austria Wien
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Ried ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Austria Wien
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Ried Austria Wien
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Ried Austria Wien
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Ried
Austria Wien
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 9 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Ried Ried Home
9 matches
Austria Wien FAK Away
Match Record
2
Wins
6
1
Draws
1
6
Losses
2
Goals
12
Goals Scored
21
21
Goals Conceded
12
-9
Goal Difference
+9
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-03-09T00:13:10+00:00

TEAM FORMATION

No team formation data available.

General Information

Date & Time
Mar 08, 2026, 04:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Admiral Bundesliga, Austria
Stadium
josko ARENA
Capacity
5000
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Julian Schnur
Alexander Harkam
Maximilian Weiss
Alexander Borucki

Statistics

Possession
Ried
52%
FAK
48%

Top Statistics

0 Goals 2
2 Big Chances Created 4
9 Shots 9
71 Dangerous attacks 70
52 Possession 48
4 Corners 7
16 Free kicks 6
1 Yellow Cards 3

Match Overview

30 Throwins 32
9 Successful Dribbles 4
43 Successful Dribbles Percentage 33
21 Dribble Attempts 12
7 Goal Kicks 7
50 Ball Safe 46
5 Goal Attempts 5
5 Substitutions 5
0 Assists 1

Attacking

2 Big Chances Missed 2
82 Attacks 96

Possession

9 Key Passes 6
74 Successful Passes Percentage 64
350 Passes 321
64 Long Passes 60
30 Successful Long Passes 23
260 Successful Passes 205
47 Successful Long Passes Percentage 38

Defensive

14 Tackles 26
9 Interceptions 10
3 Saves 2

Build-up

6 Accurate Crosses 2
18 Total Crosses 11

Discipline

5 Fouls 16

Events

2ND-HALF
90+4'
Event
Vasilije Markovic
Time wasting / 4th Yellowcard
Event
Evan Eghosa → Nicolas Bajlicz
8th Substitution
86'
Event
Yussef Nasrawe → Ante Bajic
9th Substitution
86'
86'
Event
Marko Raguz → Johannes Eggestein
10th Substitution
85'
Event
Romeo Vucic → Abubakr Barry
7th Substitution
81'
Event
Johannes Handl → Philipp Maybach
6th Substitution
81'
Event
Marijan Österreicher → Reinhold Ranftl
5th Substitution
Event
Jonathan Scherzer → Yusuf Maart
4th Substitution
76'
Event
Joris Boguo → Antonio Van Wyk
2nd Substitution
76'
Event
Martin Rasner → Fabian Rossdorfer
3rd Substitution
76'
76'
Event
Tae-seok Lee
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
76'
Event
5th Yellowcard
73'
Event
Aleksandar Dragovic
Header / 2nd Goal
Event
Fabian Rossdorfer
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
67'
65'
Event
Vasilije Markovic → Manfred Fischer
1st Substitution
56'
Event
Abubakr Barry
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
1ST-HALF
41'
Event
Aleksandar Dragovic
Foul / 1st Yellowcard

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Austria Wien exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was contrary to the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was outside the projected probability range.

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