LASK Linz vs Wolfsberger AC Prediction, Preview and Stats

Austria flag 2025/2026 Admiral Bundesliga, Austria
Raiffeisen Arena Sun, 8 Mar - 4:00 PM
Admiral Bundesliga
LASK Linz ASK
3 Winner 1
Wolfsberger AC WAC
Full Time Sun, 8 Mar 4:00 PM
Samuel Adeniran - 36'
Kasper Jørgensen - 69'
Maximilian Entrup - 90+3'
Goal
|
Goal
Dominik Baumgartner - 42'

CONTEXT

Match is finished. LASK Linz 2–0 Wolfsberger AC. The result saw LASK Linz take the points. LASK Linz showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. Possession was 44%–56%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: LASK Linz showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
S. Barmaksiz
S. Barmaksiz
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 20.17
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.17
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.33
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
M. El Sadany
M. El Sadany
2nd Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 20.17
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.17
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.33
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
M. Greinecker
M. Greinecker
4th Official • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 20.17
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.17
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.33
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
R. Steinacher
R. Steinacher
1st Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 20.17
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.17
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.33
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
LASK Linz D. Kühbauer
D. Kühbauer
VS
Wolfsberger AC I. Atalan
I. Atalan
1.94
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.19
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Austria Wien Rank: D
Salzburg Rank: L
Ried Rank: D
WSG Tirol Rank: W
Grazer AK Rank: W
Hartberg Rank: D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sturm Graz Rank: D
SK Rapid Rank: L
Blau-Weiß Linz Rank: L
Grazer AK Rank: D
Salzburg Rank: L
Austria Wien Rank: W
12
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
12 - 3 - 10
10

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home LASK Linz
53.84%
Draw
23.65%
Away Wolfsberger AC
22.51%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks’ model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
56.06
39.39
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
LASK Linz
Wolfsberger AC
Power Score
56.06
39.39
League Position
3
10
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
LASK Linz — Opponent-weighted form score
Wolfsberger AC — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) LASK Linz Wolfsberger AC

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

LASK Linz

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Wolfsberger AC

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

LASK Linz ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Wolfsberger AC
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
53.07
22.32
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
22.32
53.07
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
LASK Linz +2.39 Efficiency Index
vs
Wolfsberger AC -2.39 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
LASK Linz
Wolfsberger AC
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

LASK Linz ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Wolfsberger AC
Created Set-piece attacking threat
LASK Linz Wolfsberger AC
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
LASK Linz Wolfsberger AC
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
LASK Linz
Wolfsberger AC
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 13 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

LASK Linz ASK Home
13 matches
Wolfsberger AC WAC Away
Match Record
6
Wins
7
0
Draws
0
7
Losses
6
Goals
24
Goals Scored
17
17
Goals Conceded
24
+7
Goal Difference
-7
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-03-09T00:12:05+00:00

TEAM FORMATION

No team formation data available.

General Information

Date & Time
Mar 08, 2026, 04:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Admiral Bundesliga, Austria
Stadium
Raiffeisen Arena
Capacity
19080
Pitch Surface
N/A
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Safak Barmaksiz
Mohamed El Sadany
Markus Greinecker
Robert Steinacher

Statistics

Possession
ASK
48%
WAC
52%

Top Statistics

3 Goals 1
6 Big Chances Created 1
9 Shots 6
47 Dangerous attacks 30
44 Possession 56
2 Corners 6
6 Free kicks 8
0 Yellow Cards 3

Match Overview

12 Successful Dribbles 9
25 Throwins 21
23 Dribble Attempts 14
8 Goal Kicks 13
52 Successful Dribbles Percentage 64
3 Assists 1
49 Ball Safe 51
6 Substitutions 4
14 Goal Attempts 7
0 Hit Woodwork 1

Attacking

106 Attacks 92
4 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

82 Successful Passes Percentage 80
26 Successful Long Passes 29
53 Long Passes 53
271 Successful Passes 341
331 Passes 428
13 Key Passes 7
49 Successful Long Passes Percentage 55

Defensive

11 Interceptions 3
9 Tackles 18
5 Saves 4

Build-up

18 Total Crosses 17
6 Accurate Crosses 4

Discipline

1 Offsides 4
8 Fouls 3

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Lukas Kacavenda
Goal awarded
90+5'
Event
Maximilian Entrup
Right foot shot / 4th Goal
90+3'
Event
Florian Flecker → Kasper Jørgensen
8th Substitution
87'
Event
Maximilian Entrup → Samuel Adeniran
7th Substitution
87'
87'
Event
Angelo Gattermayer → Marco Sulzner
9th Substitution
87'
Event
Emmanuel Agyemang → Fabian Wohlmuth
6th Substitution
Event
Lukas Kacavenda → Moses Usor
5th Substitution
77'
Event
Kasper Jørgensen
Header / 3rd Goal
69'
67'
Event
Simon Piesinger → Emin Kujovic
4th Substitution
Event
Sasa Kalajdzic → Christoph Lang
3rd Substitution
66'
66'
Event
Dejan Zukic
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
63'
Event
Emin Kujovic
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
60'
Event
Alessandro Schöpf → David Atanga
2nd Substitution
Event
Xavier Mbuyamba → Alemão
1st Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
45+2'
Event
Rene Renner
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
42'
Event
Dominik Baumgartner
Header / 2nd Goal
Event
Samuel Adeniran
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
36'

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: LASK Linz exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

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