Brentford vs Fulham Prediction, Preview and Stats

England flag 2025/2026 Premier League, England
Gtech Community Stadium Sat, 18 Apr - 11:30 AM
Premier League
Brentford BRE
Versus
Fulham FUL
KICKOFF : Sat, 18 Apr - 11:30 AM
Round 33 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Brentford welcome Fulham to the Gtech Community Stadium for a Premier League London derby in the 2025/2026 regular season. The home side sit in seventh place and hold a power advantage of 4.1 points over their visitors who occupy twelfth position. This suggests Brentford are the stronger team overall despite Fulham showing better recent form. The Bees last played out a draw at home against Everton while the Cottagers fell to a defeat away at Liverpool. Both clubs are focused on improving their standings with every point vital at this stage of the campaign. Brentford will look to use their home environment to press high and create chances while Fulham aim to stay compact and hit on the break. The fixture promises a tactical battle between two well-organized London sides eager to claim local bragging rights and valuable league points.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Brentford in 7th place hold a power advantage over 12th-placed Fulham, with home advantage at Gtech Community Stadium likely to play a key role.
  • Form: Fulham show stronger recent form (W3 D1 L2) than Brentford (W1 D4 L1), though the home side drew their last match while the visitors lost.
  • Squad: Brentford possess the stronger squad according to power scores of 25.49 to 21.4, giving them a 4.1 point edge.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics remain unavailable, leaving both teams to rely on general tactical setups in this encounter.
  • Transition: Brentford are expected to handle transitions effectively at home, potentially catching Fulham on the counter.
  • Set pieces: Set piece data shows low confidence with proxy metrics in use, suggesting limited reliance or unclear advantages for either side.
  • xVariable: xVariable analysis favors Brentford slightly in expected outputs despite the away side's current form streak.
  • Market: Brentford 45.2% (Δ+0%) | Draw 25.5% (Δ+0%) | Fulham 29.3% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Brentford K. Andrews
K. Andrews
VS
Fulham M. Saraiva Da Silva
M. Saraiva Da Silva
1.6
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.44
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Everton Rank: D
Leeds United Rank: D
Wolverhampton Wanderers Rank: D
AFC Bournemouth Rank: D
Burnley Rank: W
Brighton & Hove Albion Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Liverpool Rank: L
Burnley Rank: W
Nottingham Forest Rank: D
West Ham United Rank: L
Tottenham Hotspur Rank: W
Sunderland Rank: W
9
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
9 - 4 - 7
7
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Brentford
45.19%
Draw
25.53%
Away Fulham
29.28%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
25.49
21.4
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Brentford
Fulham
Power Score
25.49
21.4
League Position
7
12
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Brentford — Opponent-weighted form score
Fulham — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Brentford Fulham

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 20 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Brentford BRE Home
20 matches
Fulham FUL Away
Match Record
9
Wins
7
4
Draws
4
7
Losses
9
Goals
35
Goals Scored
25
25
Goals Conceded
35
+10
Goal Difference
-10
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-16T00:05:51+00:00

STARTING XI

Pitch
C. Kelleher
Republic of Ireland
1 C. Kelleher
M. Kayode
Italy
33 M. Kayode
S. van den Berg
Netherlands
4 S. van den Berg
N. Collins
Republic of Ireland
22 N. Collins
K. Lewis-Potter
England
23 K. Lewis-Potter
Y. Yarmoliuk
Ukraine
18 Y. Yarmoliuk
M. Jensen
Denmark
8 M. Jensen
Dango Ouattara
Burkina Faso
19 Dango Ouattara
M. Damsgaard
Denmark
24 M. Damsgaard
K. Schade
Germany
7 K. Schade
Thiago
Brazil
9 Thiago
B. Leno
Germany
1 B. Leno
A. Robinson
United States
33 A. Robinson
C. Bassey
Nigeria
3 C. Bassey
J. Andersen
Denmark
5 J. Andersen
T. Castagne
Belgium
21 T. Castagne
A. Iwobi
Nigeria
17 A. Iwobi
S. Berge
Norway
16 S. Berge
O. Bobb
Norway
14 O. Bobb
J. King
England
24 J. King
H. Wilson
Wales
8 H. Wilson
Rodrigo Muniz
Brazil
9 Rodrigo Muniz

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 18, 2026, 11:30 AM
Competition
2025/2026 Premier League, England · Round 33 · Regular Season
Stadium
Gtech Community Stadium
Capacity
17250
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ , Clear
Referees
Edward Smart
Black Antrobus
Paul Tierney
John Brooks

Lineup

Referee : Paul Tierney

Starting XI ▼

1
Caoimhín Kelleher
Caoimhín Kelleher Goalkeeper
6.88
4
Sepp van den Berg
Sepp van den Berg Defender
6.86
22
Nathan Collins
Nathan Collins Defender
6.89
23
Keane Lewis-Potter
Keane Lewis-Potter Defender
6.68
33
Michael Kayode
Michael Kayode Defender
6.81
8
Mathias Jensen
Mathias Jensen Midfielder
6.88
18
Yegor Yarmolyuk
Yegor Yarmolyuk Midfielder
6.67
24
Mikkel Damsgaard
Mikkel Damsgaard Midfielder
6.87
7
Kevin Schade
Kevin Schade Attacker
6.85
9
Igor Thiago
Igor Thiago Attacker
7.14
19
Dango Ouattara
Dango Ouattara Attacker
6.83
Referee : Paul Tierney

Starting XI ▼

1
Bernd Leno
Bernd Leno Goalkeeper
6.74
3
Calvin Bassey
Calvin Bassey Defender
6.73
5
Joachim Andersen
Joachim Andersen Defender
6.88
21
Timothy Castagne
Timothy Castagne Defender
6.78
33
Antonee Robinson
Antonee Robinson Defender
6.82
16
Sander Berge
Sander Berge Midfielder
6.81
17
Alex Iwobi
Alex Iwobi Midfielder
7.02
24
Josh King
Josh King Midfielder
6.62
8
Harry Wilson
Harry Wilson Attacker
7.18
9
Rodrigo Muniz
Rodrigo Muniz Attacker
6.69
14
Oscar Bobb
Oscar Bobb Attacker
6.58

CONCLUSION

Brentford enter this match with a structural edge and home support that could prove decisive against a Fulham side buoyed by stronger recent results. The home team will seek to control possession and exploit their power ranking advantage while Fulham look to remain resilient and capitalize on any openings. Though efficiency details are limited the contest should be competitive with both clubs showing solid organization. Brentford's ability to dictate play at the Gtech Community Stadium gives them the upper hand yet the visitors have enough quality to earn a share of the spoils if they stay compact. This derby is set to highlight tactical discipline and could swing on small moments in midfield or wide areas.

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