Portsmouth vs Leicester City Prediction, Preview and Stats

England flag 2025/2026 Championship, England
Fratton Park Tomorrow - 11:30 AM
Championship
Portsmouth PTM
Versus
Leicester City LEI
KICKOFF : Tomorrow - 11:30 AM
Round 43 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Portsmouth welcome Leicester City to Fratton Park for a crucial Championship regular season clash in 2025/2026. The hosts enter with a clear edge, boasting a power score of 24.59 against Leicester's 19.85, translating to a 4.7-point advantage that marks Portsmouth as the stronger side overall. Their recent form underscores this dominance, with a 24.17 rating dwarfing Leicester's modest 12.5, suggesting momentum lies firmly with the home team. Currently sitting 19th in the league table, Portsmouth hold a position above Leicester's 23rd, highlighting their relative stability amid the promotion and relegation battle. While detailed metrics like efficiency and set pieces remain unavailable due to low-confidence proxies, the structural power gap points to Portsmouth controlling proceedings. Leicester will need to disrupt this narrative through sharp transitions and resilience, but the home crowd's energy at Fratton Park could prove decisive in a match poised for intensity.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Portsmouth hold a 4.7-point power advantage over Leicester City with scores of 24.59 versus 19.85.
  • Form: Portsmouth's form score of 24.17 significantly outpaces Leicester City's 12.5.
  • Squad: Portsmouth are deemed the stronger team based on overall power ratings.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data is unavailable for both teams.
  • Transition: Transition metrics are not provided in current analysis.
  • Set pieces: Set piece data relies on low-confidence proxies with no xG available for either side.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables are unavailable due to add-on not being enabled.
  • Market: Portsmouth 39.9% (Δ+0%) | Draw 28.5% (Δ+0%) | Leicester City 31.6% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Portsmouth J. Mousinho
J. Mousinho
VS
Leicester City G. Rowett
G. Rowett
1.09
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.94
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Ipswich Town Rank: W
Middlesbrough Rank: W
Oxford United Rank: D
Norwich City Rank: D
Queens Park Rangers Rank: L
Derby County Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Swansea City Rank: L
Sheffield Wednesday Rank: D
Preston North End Rank: D
Watford Rank: D
Queens Park Rangers Rank: L
Bristol City Rank: W
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 3 - 3
3
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Portsmouth
39.92%
Draw
28.47%
Away Leicester City
31.61%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
24.59
19.85
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Portsmouth
Leicester City
Power Score
24.59
19.85
League Position
19
23
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Portsmouth — Opponent-weighted form score
Leicester City — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Portsmouth Leicester City

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 8 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Portsmouth PTM Home
8 matches
Leicester City LEI Away
Match Record
2
Wins
3
3
Draws
3
3
Losses
2
Goals
12
Goals Scored
11
11
Goals Conceded
12
+1
Goal Difference
-1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-17T00:05:39+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
N. Schmid
1 N. Schmid
T. Devlin
24 T. Devlin
R. Poole
5 R. Poole
C. Shaughnessy
6 C. Shaughnessy
J. Williams
2 J. Williams
M. Pack
7 M. Pack
A. Dozzell
21 A. Dozzell
A. Segečić
10 A. Segečić
J. Swift
8 J. Swift
M. Alli
27 M. Alli
C. Bishop
9 C. Bishop
J. Stolarczyk
1 J. Stolarczyk
L. Thomas
33 L. Thomas
J. Lascelles
24 J. Lascelles
J. Vestergaard
23 J. Vestergaard
R. Barbosa Pereira
21 R. Barbosa Pereira
O. Skipp
22 O. Skipp
H. Winks
8 H. Winks
S. Mavididi
10 S. Mavididi
D. Mukasa
29 D. Mukasa
A. Issahaku
7 A. Issahaku
P. Daka
20 P. Daka

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 18, 2026, 11:30 AM
Competition
2025/2026 Championship, England · Round 43 · Regular Season
Stadium
Fratton Park
Capacity
20688
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Gavin Ward
Richard Woodward
Connor Brown
Dean Whitestone

Expected Lineup

Referee : Gavin Ward

Starting XI ▼

1
Nicolas Schmid
Nicolas Schmid Goalkeeper
6.67
9
Colby Bishop
Colby Bishop Centre Forward
6.69
2
Jordan Williams
Jordan Williams Left Back
6.59
21
Andre Dozzell
Andre Dozzell Defensive Midfield
6.78
24
Terry Devlin
Terry Devlin Right Back
6.96
10
Adrian Segecic
Adrian Segecic Right Wing
6.72
7
Marlon Pack
Marlon Pack Defensive Midfield
6.93
5
Regan Poole
Regan Poole Right Back
6.86
27
Millenic Alli
Millenic Alli Left Wing
6.66
8
John Swift
John Swift Attacking Midfield
6.8
6
Conor Shaughnessy
Conor Shaughnessy Left Back
6.88
Referee : Gavin Ward

Starting XI ▼

1
Jakub Stolarczyk
Jakub Stolarczyk Goalkeeper
6.76
20
Patson Daka
Patson Daka Centre Forward
6.71
21
Ricardo Pereira
Ricardo Pereira Right Back
6.83
33
Luke Thomas
Luke Thomas Left Back
6.8
10
Stephy Mavididi
Stephy Mavididi Left Wing
6.58
22
Oliver Skipp
Oliver Skipp Defensive Midfield
6.63
23
Jannik Vestergaard
Jannik Vestergaard Right Back
7.03
7
Issahaku Fatawu
Issahaku Fatawu Right Wing
6.9
8
Harry Winks
Harry Winks Defensive Midfield
6.95
24
Jamaal Lascelles
Jamaal Lascelles Left Back
6.59
29
Divine Mukasa
Divine Mukasa Attacking Midfield
7.1

CONCLUSION

Portsmouth's superior power and form position them as favorites in this Fratton Park encounter, where their 4.7-point edge and higher league standing offer a solid foundation for success. Leicester, languishing at 23rd, face an uphill task against a home side energized by recent momentum. Without granular set-piece or efficiency insights, the focus shifts to Portsmouth's ability to leverage structural strengths in possession and transitions. Expect a competitive affair, but the hosts' overall rating suggests they can edge it, potentially climbing the table with a vital win. Fratton Park's atmosphere will amplify their push for three points.

Related Football Previews