Fatih Karagümrük vs Eyüpspor Prediction, Preview and Stats

Turkey flag 2025/2026 Super Lig, Turkey
Vefa Stadı Tomorrow - 11:30 AM
Super Lig
Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük
Versus
Eyüpspor Eyüpspor
KICKOFF : Tomorrow - 11:30 AM
Round 30 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Fatih Karagümrük hosts Eyüpspor at Vefa Stadı in a crucial Super Lig regular season encounter during the 2025/2026 campaign. The home side holds a decisive edge with a power score of 20.83 compared to the visitors' 12.98, yielding a 7.9-point advantage that underscores their structural superiority. Form metrics further bolster Karagümrük's case, registering 21.72 against Eyüpspor's dismal 3, signaling recent momentum disparity. Both teams occupy the relegation zone, with Karagümrük in 18th and Eyüpspor just above in 17th, intensifying the stakes. Detailed efficiency, transition, and set-piece data remain unavailable due to absent xG metrics and low-confidence proxies. Squad depth appears tilted toward the hosts based on overall ratings. This fixture tests whether Karagümrük can convert their advantages into points against a faltering foe.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Fatih Karagümrük possesses a 7.9-point power advantage over Eyüpspor.
  • Form: Karagümrük's form score of 21.72 vastly outpaces Eyüpspor's 3.
  • Squad: Power ratings indicate stronger squad quality for the home team.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data unavailable for both sides.
  • Transition: Transition metrics not provided in available analysis.
  • Set pieces: Set-piece stats show low confidence with no xG data accessible.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables absent due to disabled add-on.
  • Market: Baseline split: Fatih Karagümrük 47.9% (Δ+0%) | Draw 27.4% (Δ+0%) | Eyüpspor 24.7% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Fatih Karagümrük A. Stanojević
A. Stanojević
VS
Eyüpspor A. Gerin
A. Gerin
0.81
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.81
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Konyaspor Rank: L
Rizespor Rank: W
Kayserispor Rank: L
Fenerbahçe Rank: W
Gaziantep F.K. Rank: D
Trabzonspor Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Samsunspor Rank: L
Antalyaspor Rank: L
Trabzonspor Rank: L
Kasımpaşa Rank: L
Kocaelispor Rank: L
Göztepe Rank: D
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 1 - 0
0
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Fatih Karagümrük
47.88%
Draw
27.4%
Away Eyüpspor
24.71%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
20.83
12.98
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Fatih Karagümrük
Eyüpspor
Power Score
20.83
12.98
League Position
18
17
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Fatih Karagümrük — Opponent-weighted form score
Eyüpspor — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Fatih Karagümrük Eyüpspor

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük Home
1 matches
Eyüpspor Eyüpspor Away
Match Record
0
Wins
0
1
Draws
1
0
Losses
0
Goals
1
Goals Scored
1
1
Goals Conceded
1
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-17T00:05:44+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 4-4-2
Match Formation 4-4-1-1
Pitch
I. Grbić
13 I. Grbić
R. Sousa Esgaio
47 R. Sousa Esgaio
I. Lichnovsky Osorio
3 I. Lichnovsky Osorio
D. Biraschi
4 D. Biraschi
Ç. Kurukalıp
33 Ç. Kurukalıp
D. Verde
10 D. Verde
B. Elmaz
6 B. Elmaz
B. Özcan
8 B. Özcan
W. Shavy
80 W. Shavy
S. Da Luiz Junior
70 S. Da Luiz Junior
S. Larsson
23 S. Larsson
M. de Freitas Monteiro
1 M. de Freitas Monteiro
C. Meraş
77 C. Meraş
S. Yaşar
16 S. Yaşar
L. Claro dos Santos
4 L. Claro dos Santos
T. Ulvan
17 T. Ulvan
A. Torres Quiñones
10 A. Torres Quiñones
M. Łęgowski
20 M. Łęgowski
B. Gezek
55 B. Gezek
L. Calegari
2 L. Calegari
C. Raux Yao
15 C. Raux Yao
M. Altunbaş
26 M. Altunbaş

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 18, 2026, 11:30 AM
Competition
2025/2026 Super Lig, Turkey · Round 30 · Regular Season
Stadium
Vefa Stadı
Capacity
6500
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

13
Ivo Grbic
Ivo Grbic Goalkeeper
7.02
80
Shavy Babicka
Shavy Babicka Midfielder
6.66
10
Daniele Verde
Daniele Verde Midfielder
7.11
23
Sam Larsson
Sam Larsson Attacker
6.93
70
Serginho
Serginho Attacker
6.84
4
Davide Biraschi
Davide Biraschi Left Back
6.48
3
Igor Lichnovsky
Igor Lichnovsky Right Back
6.9
8
Berkay Özcan
Berkay Özcan Central Midfield
6.68
6
Bartuğ Elmaz
Bartuğ Elmaz Central Midfield
6.82
33
Çağtay Kurukalıp
Çağtay Kurukalıp Left Back
6.78
47
Ricardo Esgaio
Ricardo Esgaio Right Back
6.49

Starting XI ▼

1
Marcos Felipe
Marcos Felipe Goalkeeper
6.92
2
Calegari
Calegari Midfielder
6.78
10
Ángel Torres
Ángel Torres Midfielder
6.71
26
Metehan Altunbaş
Metehan Altunbaş Centre Forward
6.88
16
Anıl Yaşar
Anıl Yaşar Left Back
6.59
17
Talha Ülvan
Talha Ülvan Right Back
6.77
4
Luccas Claro
Luccas Claro Right Back
6.75
55
Baran Gezek
Baran Gezek Central Midfield
6.8
77
Umut Meraş
Umut Meraş Left Back
6.68
15
Charles-Andre Raux Yao
Charles-Andre Raux Yao Attacking Midfield
6.72
20
Mateusz Legowski
Mateusz Legowski Central Midfield
6.56

CONCLUSION

Fatih Karagümrük enters as clear favorites, leveraging superior power and form to challenge Eyüpspor's fragile standing. The 7.9-point edge and 21.72 form score position the hosts for dominance at Vefa Stadı. Eyüpspor's lowly 3 form rating exposes defensive frailties against a motivated opponent. Absent detailed set-piece or efficiency insights, raw advantages point to a home victory. Both sides battle relegation, but Karagümrük's metrics suggest they seize control early and hold firm.

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