Bodø / Glimt vs Aalesund Prediction, Preview and Stats

Norway flag 2026 Eliteserien, Norway
Aspmyra Stadion Tomorrow - 12:00 PM
Eliteserien
Bodø / Glimt BOD
Versus
Aalesund Aalesund
KICKOFF : Tomorrow - 12:00 PM
Round 5 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Bodø / Glimt host Aalesund in Eliteserien (Regular Season) at Aspmyra Stadion. Domestically, Bodø / Glimt sit 10th in the table while Aalesund are 15th. Power ranking favours Bodø / Glimt by 22.2 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Bodø / Glimt commands a 22.2-point power advantage while sitting 10th to Aalesund's 15th in the league.
  • Form: Bodø / Glimt outperforms with a form score of 14.58 against Aalesund's 4.17.
  • Squad: Squad potency shines through Bodø / Glimt's 33.31 power rating over Aalesund's 11.11.
  • Efficiency: No efficiency metrics provided for either team in this matchup.
  • Transition: Transition data absent from available fixture analysis.
  • Set pieces: Set piece insights limited by low confidence and proxy metrics for both sides.
  • xVariable: xG variables unavailable due to disabled add-on and proxy usage.
  • Market: Bodø / Glimt 79.8% (Δ+0%) | Draw 13.3% (Δ+0%) | Aalesund 6.9% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Bodø / Glimt K. Knutsen
K. Knutsen
VS
Aalesund K. Rekdal
K. Rekdal
2.09
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.5
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sarpsborg 08 Rank: D
Viking Rank: L
Kristiansund Rank: W
HamKam Rank: D
Fredrikstad Rank: W
KFUM Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
KFUM Rank: D
Fredrikstad Rank: L
Start Rank: D
Lillestrøm Rank: L
9
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
9 - 4 - 5
5
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Bodø / Glimt
79.82%
Draw
13.28%
Away Aalesund
6.9%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
33.31
11.11
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Bodø / Glimt
Aalesund
Power Score
33.31
11.11
League Position
10
15
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Bodø / Glimt — Opponent-weighted form score
Aalesund — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Bodø / Glimt Aalesund

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 18 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Bodø / Glimt BOD Home
18 matches
Aalesund Aalesund Away
Match Record
9
Wins
5
4
Draws
4
5
Losses
9
Goals
31
Goals Scored
13
13
Goals Conceded
31
+18
Goal Difference
-18
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-17T00:05:53+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 3-4-3
Pitch
N. Haikin
12 N. Haikin
F. Sjøvold
20 F. Sjøvold
O. Bjørtuft
4 O. Bjørtuft
J. Maurstad Gundersen
6 J. Maurstad Gundersen
F. Bjørkan
15 F. Bjørkan
P. Berg
7 P. Berg
S. Auklend
8 S. Auklend
S. Brunstad Fet
19 S. Brunstad Fet
O. Blomberg
11 O. Blomberg
K. Høgh
9 K. Høgh
J. Hauge
10 J. Hauge
K. Klaesson
1 K. Klaesson
P. Aukland
45 P. Aukland
O. Gudmundsson
3 O. Gudmundsson
A. Hammer Kjelsen
5 A. Hammer Kjelsen
J. Ørsal
16 J. Ørsal
E. Hagen
18 E. Hagen
M. Christensen
21 M. Christensen
U. Nwokoma
14 U. Nwokoma
H. Molvær Melland
8 H. Molvær Melland
K. Lonnebu
39 K. Lonnebu
D. Jóhannsson
11 D. Jóhannsson

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 18, 2026, 12:00 PM
Competition
2026 Eliteserien, Norway · Round 5 · Regular Season
Stadium
Aspmyra Stadion
Capacity
8270
Pitch Surface
Artificial turf
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Mohammad Usman Aslam

Expected Lineup

Referee : Mohammad Usman Aslam

Starting XI ▼

12
Nikita Haikin
Nikita Haikin Goalkeeper
6.99
9
Kasper Høgh
Kasper Høgh Centre Forward
7.18
10
Jens Petter Hauge
Jens Petter Hauge Attacker
6.88
11
Ole Didrik Blomberg
Ole Didrik Blomberg Attacker
7.19
19
Sondre Fet
Sondre Fet Central Midfield
6.71
4
Odin Luras Bjortuft
Odin Luras Bjortuft Right Back
6.8
6
Jostein Gundersen
Jostein Gundersen Left Back
6.45
7
Patrick Berg
Patrick Berg Central Midfield
7.13
8
Sondre Auklend
Sondre Auklend Central Midfield
6.93
15
Fredrik Bjørkan
Fredrik Bjørkan Left Back
7.12
20
Fredrik Sjøvold
Fredrik Sjøvold Right Back
6.8
Referee : Mohammad Usman Aslam

Starting XI ▼

1
Kristoffer Klaesson
Kristoffer Klaesson Goalkeeper
6.75
14
Uba Charles
Uba Charles Midfielder
6.6
16
J. Ørsahl
J. Ørsahl Midfielder
6.62
8
Henrik Melland
Henrik Melland Attacker
7.12
11
Davíð Snær Jóhannsson
Davíð Snær Jóhannsson Attacker
6.67
39
Kristian Lonebu
Kristian Lonebu Centre Forward
7.04
3
Ólafur Guðmundsson
Ólafur Guðmundsson Centre Back
6.41
45
Philip Sandvik Aukland
Philip Sandvik Aukland Left Back
6.73
5
Aleksander Hammer Kjelsen
Aleksander Hammer Kjelsen Right Back
6.49
21
Mathias Christensen
Mathias Christensen Central Midfield
6.81
18
Elias Kristoffersen Hagen
Elias Kristoffersen Hagen Central Midfield
6.7

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Bodø / Glimt holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Bodø / Glimt a 22.2-point edge. External projection is Bodø / Glimt 79.8%, draw 13.3%, and Aalesund 6.9%. That projection profile aligns with the structural signals. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.

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