Hammarby vs Örgryte Preview, Predictions, Analysis & Tips

2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden

Tele2 Arena Sat, 18 Apr - 1:00 PM

Allsvenskan

Hammarby HAM

Örgryte Örgryte

Full Time Sat, 18 Apr 1:00 PM

Round 3 Regular Season

Nikola Vasic - 86', 79', 70'

Montader Madjed - 57'

Victor Lind - 33'

Paulos Abraham - 22'

Nahir Besara - 18'

Noah Persson - 11'

Christoffer Styffe - 32'

CONTEXT

Hammarby produced a dominant display in thrashing Örgryte 8-1, asserting control early and never relenting. They led 4-1 at halftime, then piled on four more goals in the second half, capitalizing on 62% possession to dictate proceedings. As the stronger team, Hammarby delivered a performance that exceeded structural baselines by a significant 22.7% deviation in their favor. The result aligned with pre-market assessments, reflecting their favored status. No red cards marred the game, and efficiency metrics stayed in line with projections. Örgryte managed a lone goal but were overwhelmed throughout, unable to mount a serious challenge. This one-sided encounter emphasized Hammarby's superiority in attack and midfield control.

TL;DR

Structural deviation: Match exhibited a significant 22.7% structural deviation favoring Hammarby.
Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with expectations.
xG alignment: xG alignment data unavailable due to missing metrics.
Market alignment: Outcome fully aligned with pre-market evaluations.
xG expectations: xG expectations unavailable as data not provided.
Event impact: No second-half adjustments or key events impacted flow.
Red card distortion: Absence of red cards produced no distortion in match dynamics.

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Match referee

G. Maqedonci

25 matches in sample

Avg. cards

0.12

Fouls / match 0.52

Yellow cards / match 0.12

Red cards / match 0

Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

M. Lundgren

1st Assistant

A. Svensson

2nd Assistant

F. Ben Ahmed Nehdi

4th Official

K. Karlsson

A. Holmberg

2.17

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

1 - 2 - 3

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Hammarby

77.25%

Draw

14.23%

Örgryte

8.52%

Movement

Changes since opening

Hammarby

-20.19%

Draw

+12.32%

Örgryte

+7.87%

Team Power Ranking

39.26

33.33

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Hammarby

Örgryte

Power Score

39.26

33.33

League Position

Global Rank

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

Hammarby — Opponent-weighted form score

Örgryte — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Hammarby Örgryte

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

Hammarby

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Örgryte

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Hammarby ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Örgryte

Attacking Efficiency

Higher is better

Attacking Efficiency

59.19

38.03

Defensive Efficiency

Lower is better

Defensive Efficiency

38.03

59.19

Combined Efficiency Index

-3 0 3

Hammarby +2.19 Efficiency Index

Örgryte -2.19 Efficiency Index

xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.

Hammarby

Örgryte

AttackEff = xG ÷ pos

DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Hammarby ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Örgryte

Created Set-piece attacking threat

Hammarby Örgryte

Set-piece xG Share

—

Goals per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xG)

— vs —

Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure

Hammarby Örgryte

Set-piece xGA Share

—

Conceded per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xGA)

— vs —

xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.

Hammarby

Örgryte

xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG

vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Hammarby

Örgryte

Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence

Hammarby Örgryte

Goals per Match ↑ better

—

Shots per Match ↑ better

—

Dangerous Attacks ↑ better

—

Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure

Hammarby Örgryte

Goals Conceded ↓ better

—

Shots Conceded ↓ better

—

Dangerous Attacks Conceded ↓ better

—

Hammarby

Örgryte

Window = 15s post-possession change

Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

HAM had peak pressure around 46'.
HAM started the game with stronger pressure.

HAM Pressure Örgryte Pressure

⚡

Pressure Index: HAM reached the top pressure at 46' (86.54).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 6 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Hammarby HAM Home

6 matches

Örgryte Örgryte Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

-1

Goal Difference

Data last updated: 2026-04-19T00:03:23+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1

Match Formation 3-4-3

General Information

Date & Time :

Apr 18, 2026, 01:00 PM

Competition :

2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden · Round 3 · Regular Season

Stadium :

Tele2 Arena

Capacity :

32000

Pitch Surface :

Artificial turf

Weather :

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Referees :

Marcus Lundgren

Andreas Svensson

Farouk Ben Ahmed Nehdi

Granit Maqedonci

Statistics

Possession

HAM

60%

Örgryte

40%

Top Statistics

8 Goals 1

11 Big Chances Created 2

10 Shots 7

74 Dangerous attacks 29

62 Possession 38

6 Corners 6

9 Free kicks 8

0 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

17 Throwins 14

19 Dribble Attempts 13

53 Successful Dribbles Percentage 46

7 Goal Kicks 15

72 Ball Safe 84

7 Assists 0

22 Goal Attempts 7

10 Successful Dribbles 6

5 Substitutions 4

Attacking

117 Attacks 68

6 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

526 Successful Passes 295

582 Passes 360

15 Successful Long Passes 24

90 Successful Passes Percentage 82

47 Successful Long Passes Percentage 46

32 Long Passes 52

22 Key Passes 9

Defensive

25 Tackles 21

47 Duels Won 42

14 Interceptions 5

3 Saves 9

Build-up

15 Total Crosses 9

4 Accurate Crosses 4

Discipline

8 Fouls 9

2 Offsides 0

Lineup

Referee : Granit Maqedonci

Manager ▼

K. Karlsson Coach

Starting XI ▼

Warner Hahn Goalkeeper

7.49

Hampus Skoglund Defender

6.88

Frederik Winther Defender

7.49

Victor Eriksson Defender

6.58

Noah Persson Defender

6.52

Oscar Steinke Brånby

Defender78'

6.38

Markus Karlsson Midfielder

7.29

Victor Lind Midfielder

6.78

Oscar Johansson Schellhas Midfielder

7.22

Frank Junior Adjei

Midfielder60'

6.71

Nahir Besara Midfielder

7.7

Tesfaldet Tekie

Midfielder60'

6.81

Montader Madjed Midfielder

6.83

Oliver Jordan Hagen

Attacker71'

6.83

Paulos Abraham Attacker

8.01

Nikola Vasic

Attacker60'

9.36

Substitutes ▼

Frank Junior Adjei

Midfielder60'

6.71

Tesfaldet Tekie

Midfielder60'

6.81

Nikola Vasic

Attacker60'

9.36

Oliver Jordan Hagen

Attacker71'

6.83

Oscar Steinke Brånby

Defender78'

6.38

Bench ▼

Felix Jakobsson Goalkeeper

Ibrahima Fofana Defender

6.91

Wilson Lindberg Uhrström Midfielder

Elohim Kaboré Attacker

6.52

Referee : Granit Maqedonci

Manager ▼

A. Holmberg Coach

Starting XI ▼

Hampus Gustafsson Goalkeeper

7.49

Michael Parker Defender

6.94

Christoffer Styffe Defender

7.19

Mikael Dyrestam Defender

8.41

Jonathan Azulay

Defender73'

5.97

Benjamin Laturnus Midfielder

7.19

Daniel Paulson Midfielder

6.47

Anton Andreasson Midfielder

7.11

Owen Parker-Price Midfielder

7.45

Demirel Hodzic

Midfielder57'

6.5

Jerome Tibbling Ugwo Attacker

6.97

Noah Christoffersson

Attacker57'

6.54

William Hofvander Attacker

6.71

Tobias Sana Attacker

7.2

Marlon Ebietomere

Defender73'

5.99

Substitutes ▼

Noah Christoffersson

Attacker57'

6.54

Demirel Hodzic

Midfielder57'

6.5

Jonathan Azulay

Defender73'

5.97

Marlon Ebietomere

Defender73'

5.99

Bench ▼

Alex Rahm Goalkeeper

Hampus Dahlqvist Defender

William Svensson Defender

6.52

S. Lagerlund Defender

William Kenndal Midfielder

Events

2ND-HALF

Nikola Vasic

Right foot shot / 9th Goal

86'

Nikola Vasic

Right foot shot / 8th Goal

79'

Oscar Steinke Brånby →

9th Substitution

78'

73'

Jonathan Azulay →

7th Substitution

73'

Marlon Ebietomere →

8th Substitution

Oliver Jordan Hagen →

6th Substitution

71'

Nikola Vasic

Right foot shot / 7th Goal

70'

Frank Junior Adjei →

3rd Substitution

60'

Tesfaldet Tekie →

4th Substitution

60'

Nikola Vasic →

5th Substitution

60'

Montader Madjed

Left foot shot / 6th Goal

57'

Noah Christoffersson →

1st Substitution

57'

Demirel Hodzic →

2nd Substitution

1ST-HALF

Victor Lind

Right foot shot / 5th Goal

33'

32'

Christoffer Styffe

Header / 4th Goal

28'

Mikael Dyrestam

Foul / 1st Yellowcard

Paulos Abraham

Right foot shot / 3rd Goal

22'

Nahir Besara

Right foot shot / 2nd Goal

18'

Noah Persson

Left foot shot / 1st Goal

11'

CONCLUSION

Hammarby's 8-1 demolition of Örgryte exemplified total control, with halftime lead and possession edge paving way for second-half dominance. The significant 22.7% deviation underscored their overperformance against baselines, while market alignment confirmed pre-match favoritism. Efficiency in line and no red card disruptions allowed unhindered execution. Though xG absence limits precision, raw stats reveal Hammarby's clinical edge and Örgryte's defensive frailty. This result bolsters Hammarby's credentials in competitive standings.

Hammarby vs Örgryte preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

About BestPreviews Methodology & FAQ More Match Reports

How We Build This Analysis

BestPreviews combines tactical context, lineup quality, xG trends, and form data across competitions. Read the full methodology and FAQ.

Explore League Previews

Allsvenskan, Sweden View all league clusters View methodology and FAQ

Author

Published Sat, 11 Apr 2026 at 12:18 AM

Daniels Zorge

Daniels Zorge covers football fixtures with a focus on tactical matchups, playing styles, and key details that shape each game.

Hammarby vs Örgryte Prediction, Preview and Stats

STANDINGS

CONTEXT

TL;DR

Quality vs Volume

Open Play vs Set Play

Expected Points

G. Maqedonci

Other match officials

M. Lundgren

A. Svensson

F. Ben Ahmed Nehdi

Win Probabilities

Movement

Team Power Ranking

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Hammarby

Örgryte

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

PRESSURE INDEX

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

STARTING XI

General Information

Next Match

Statistics

Top Statistics

Match Overview

Attacking

Possession

Defensive

Build-up

Discipline

Lineup

Manager ▼

Starting XI ▼

Substitutes ▼

Bench ▼

Manager ▼

Starting XI ▼

Substitutes ▼

Bench ▼

Events

CONCLUSION

How We Build This Analysis

Related Football Previews

St. Louis City VS Sporting KC

Chicago Fire VS Vancouver Whitecaps

Feyenoord VS Sporting Charleroi

Seattle Sounders VS Portland Timbers

Explore League Previews

Author