Werder Bremen vs Hamburger SV Prediction, Preview and Stats

Germany flag 2025/2026 Bundesliga, Germany
Wohninvest Weserstadion Sat, 18 Apr - 1:30 PM
Bundesliga
Werder Bremen SVW
3 Winner 1
Hamburger SV HSV
Full Time Sat, 18 Apr 1:30 PM
Round 30 Regular Season
Cameron Puertas - 90+1'
Jens Stage - 57', 37'
Goal
|
Goal
Robert Glatzel - 41'
|
Red Card Philip Otele 79'

CONTEXT

Werder Bremen claimed a 3-1 win over Hamburger SV in a match marked by a dramatic second half. The game was level at 1-1 at halftime, with both teams sharing the spoils after an even opening period. Bremen dominated possession with 57% compared to HSV's 43%, but it was the visitors' red card that shifted the momentum decisively. Down to ten men, Hamburger SV struggled to hold firm as Werder capitalized ruthlessly, adding two more goals to secure the victory. Despite being labeled the stronger side pre-match, HSV could not overcome the numerical disadvantage and their earlier promise. This result highlights Bremen's clinical finishing and resilience, turning a potential stalemate into a comfortable triumph. The red card proved pivotal, distorting the contest's structure.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Significant 51.9% deviation favored Werder Bremen.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with expectations.
  • xG alignment: xG data unavailable for alignment assessment.
  • Market alignment: Outcome aligned with pre-match market probabilities.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations unavailable due to missing data.
  • Event impact: Away red card impacted second-half adjustments.
  • Red card distortion: Red card to Hamburger SV distorted match dynamics.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

F. Exner

25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

N. Kimmeyer

1st Assistant

S. Lupp

2nd Assistant

H. Osmers

4th Official

Werder Bremen D. Thioune
D. Thioune
VS
Hamburger SV M. Polzin
M. Polzin
0.91
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
FC Köln Rank: L
RB Leipzig Rank: L
VfL Wolfsburg Rank: W
FSV Mainz 05 Rank: L
FC Union Berlin Rank: W
Heidenheim Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
VfB Stuttgart Rank: L
FC Augsburg Rank: D
Borussia Dortmund Rank: L
FC Köln Rank: D
VfL Wolfsburg Rank: W
Bayer 04 Leverkusen Rank: L
14
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
14 - 5 - 10
10

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Werder Bremen
48.1%
Draw
26.49%
Away Hamburger SV
25.41%

Movement

Changes since opening
Werder Bremen
-49.76%
Draw
+24.57%
Hamburger SV
+25.19%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
17.23
18.59
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Werder Bremen
Hamburger SV
Power Score
17.23
18.59
League Position
14
13
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Werder Bremen — Opponent-weighted form score
Hamburger SV — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Werder Bremen Hamburger SV

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Werder Bremen

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Hamburger SV

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Werder Bremen ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Hamburger SV
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
36.67
28.72
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
28.72
36.67
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Werder Bremen +0.72 Efficiency Index
vs
Hamburger SV -0.72 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Werder Bremen
Hamburger SV
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Werder Bremen ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Hamburger SV
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Werder Bremen Hamburger SV
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Werder Bremen Hamburger SV
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Werder Bremen
Hamburger SV
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Werder Bremen
vs
Hamburger SV
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Werder Bremen Hamburger SV
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Werder Bremen 0.31
Hamburger SV 0.41
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Werder Bremen Hamburger SV
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Werder Bremen 0.04
Hamburger SV 0.05
Werder Bremen
Hamburger SV
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • SVW had peak pressure around 65'.
  • SVW started the game with stronger pressure.
SVW Pressure HSV Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: SVW reached the top pressure at 65' (86.29).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 29 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Werder Bremen SVW Home
29 matches
Hamburger SV HSV Away
Match Record
14
Wins
10
5
Draws
5
10
Losses
14
Goals
40
Goals Scored
37
37
Goals Conceded
40
+3
Goal Difference
-3

Data last updated: 2026-04-19T00:03:39+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-1-4-1
Match Formation 3-4-1-2
Pitch
M. Backhaus
Germany
30 M. Backhaus
Y. Sugawara
Japan
3 Y. Sugawara
A. Pieper
Germany
5 A. Pieper
A. Coulibaly
Germany
31 A. Coulibaly
O. Deman
Belgium
2 O. Deman
S. Lynen
Belgium
14 S. Lynen
J. Njinmah
Substitution
Germany
11 J. Njinmah
J. Stage
Substitution
Denmark
6 J. Stage
C. Puertas
Spain
18 C. Puertas
R. Schmid
Austria
20 R. Schmid
J. Milošević
Substitution
Serbia
19 J. Milošević
Pitch
D. Heuer Fernandes
Portugal
1 D. Heuer Fernandes
W. Omari
France
17 W. Omari
J. Torunarigha
Nigeria
25 J. Torunarigha
N. Capaldo
Substitution
Argentina
24 N. Capaldo
M. Muheim
Substitution
Switzerland
28 M. Muheim
A. Erlykke
Substitution
Denmark
23 A. Erlykke
N. Remberg
Germany
21 N. Remberg
W. Mikelbrencis
France
2 W. Mikelbrencis
F. Ferreira Vieira
Portugal
20 F. Ferreira Vieira
R. Königsdörffer
Substitution
Ghana
11 R. Königsdörffer
R. Glatzel
Germany
9 R. Glatzel

General Information

Date & Time :
Apr 18, 2026, 01:30 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Bundesliga, Germany · Round 30 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Wohninvest Weserstadion
Capacity :
42100
Attendance :
40000
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Nikolai Kimmeyer
Stefan Lupp
Harm Osmers
Florian Exner

Statistics

Possession
SVW
55%
HSV
45%

Top Statistics

3 Goals 1
2 Big Chances Created 1
6 Shots 5
58 Dangerous attacks 27
57 Possession 43
7 Corners 3
14 Free kicks 14
4 Yellow Cards 3
0 Red Cards 1

Match Overview

44 Successful Dribbles Percentage 33
18 Dribble Attempts 21
8 Successful Dribbles 7
22 Throwins 21
15 Goal Attempts 8
13 Successful Headers 17
74 Ball Safe 76
9 Goal Kicks 8
3 Assists 1
3 Substitutions 4
0 Injuries 1

Attacking

1 Big Chances Missed 1
96 Attacks 109

Possession

448 Passes 340
27 Successful Long Passes 30
360 Successful Passes 252
57 Long Passes 72
80 Successful Passes Percentage 74
16 Key Passes 8
47 Successful Long Passes Percentage 42

Defensive

2 Saves 7
55 Duels Won 58
22 Tackles 20
6 Interceptions 7

Build-up

5 Accurate Crosses 2
20 Total Crosses 11

Discipline

14 Fouls 14
1 Offsides 1

Lineup

Referee : Florian Exner

Starting XI ▼

30
Mio Backhaus
Mio Backhaus Goalkeeper
6.91
2
Olivier Deman
Olivier Deman Defender
6.95
3
Yukinari Sugawara
Yukinari Sugawara Defender
6.67
5
Amos Pieper
Amos Pieper Defender
7.04
31
Karim Coulibaly
Karim Coulibaly Defender
6.56
6
Jens Stage
Jens Stage Midfielder
2
7.1
10
Leonardo Bittencourt
Leonardo Bittencourt
Midfielder67'
6.65
11
Justin Njinmah
Justin Njinmah Midfielder
6.74
4
Niklas Stark
Niklas Stark
Defender89'
6.48
14
Senne Lynen
Senne Lynen Midfielder
6.79
18
Cameron Puertas
Cameron Puertas Midfielder
6.83
20
Romano Schmid
Romano Schmid Midfielder
7.02
19
Jovan Milosevic
Jovan Milosevic Attacker
6.79
17
Marco Grüll
Marco Grüll
Attacker60'
6.82
Referee : Florian Exner

Starting XI ▼

1
Daniel Heuer Fernandes
Daniel Heuer Fernandes Goalkeeper
6.87
17
Warmed Omari
Warmed Omari Defender
6.61
24
Nicolás Capaldo
Nicolás Capaldo Defender
6.82
19
Damion Downs
Damion Downs
Attacker83'
6.58
25
Jordan Torunarigha
Jordan Torunarigha Defender
6.83
2
William Mikelbrencis
William Mikelbrencis Midfielder
6.5
21
Nicolai Remberg
Nicolai Remberg Midfielder
6.87
23
Albert Grønbæk
Albert Grønbæk Midfielder
6.43
27
Philip Otele
Philip Otele
Attacker66'
6.86
28
Miro Muheim
Miro Muheim Midfielder
6.97
18
Bakery Jatta
Bakery Jatta
Midfielder75'
6.69
9
Robert Glatzel
Robert Glatzel Attacker
6.64
11
Ransford Königsdörffer
Ransford Königsdörffer Attacker
6.72
49
Otto Stange
Otto Stange
Attacker75'
6.52
20
Fábio Vieira
Fábio Vieira Attacker
7.09

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Cameron Puertas
Right foot shot / 4th Goal
90+1'
Event
Niklas Stark → Justin Njinmah
7th Substitution
89'
89'
Event
Bakery Jatta
Foul / 7th Yellowcard
87'
Event
Bakery Jatta
Red card cancelled
83'
Event
Damion Downs → Nicolás Capaldo
6th Substitution
Event
Marco Grüll
Foul / 6th Yellowcard
82'
79'
Event
Philip Otele
Foul / 1st Redcard
78'
Event
Philip Otele
Card adjusted
75'
Event
Otto Stange → Ransford Königsdörffer
5th Substitution
75'
Event
Bakery Jatta → Miro Muheim
4th Substitution
Event
Leonardo Bittencourt
Argument / 5th Yellowcard
73'
Event
Yukinari Sugawara
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
71'
Event
Leonardo Bittencourt → Jens Stage
3rd Substitution
67'
66'
Event
Philip Otele → Albert Grønbæk
2nd Substitution
Event
Marco Grüll → Jovan Milosevic
1st Substitution
60'
58'
Event
Miro Muheim
Argument / 3rd Yellowcard
Event
Jens Stage
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
57'
1ST-HALF
Event
Olivier Deman
Argument / 1st Yellowcard
45'
45'
Event
Ransford Königsdörffer
Argument / 2nd Yellowcard
41'
Event
Robert Glatzel
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
Event
Jens Stage
Header / 1st Goal
37'

Match Commentary

90
Update Update
Cameron Puertas from SV Werder Bremen won a free kick in defense.
90
Corner Corner
SV Werder Bremen wins a corner after Warmed Omari concedes.
90
Attempt Attempt
Missed chance. Leonardo Bittencourt of SV Werder Bremen shot with his right foot from over 35 yards but missed to the left. The assist was by Cameron Puertas after a fast break.
90
Update Update
Damion Downs of Hamburger SV commits a handball.
90
Attempt Attempt
Romano Schmid from SV Werder Bremen missed a chance with a right-footed shot from outside the box following a free kick.
90
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated there will be 12 minutes of added time.
90
Update Update
Foul committed by Nicolai Remberg of Hamburger SV.
90
Attempt Attempt
Missed chance. Otto Stange from Hamburger SV shot with his left foot from the right side of the box.
90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Cameron Puertas scores for SV Werder Bremen with a right-footed shot from the left side of the box. The score is now 3-1.
90
Corner Corner
Cameron Puertas of SV Werder Bremen makes an attacking attempt, shooting with his left foot from the left side of the box, but the shot is saved in the left corner. Romano Schmid provides the assist.
90
Update Update
The second half ends with SV Werder Bremen winning 3-1 against Hamburger SV.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to SV Werder Bremen after Warmed Omari concedes.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to SV Werder Bremen after Warmed Omari concedes.
90
Attempt Attempt
New attacking attempt. Romano Schmid of SV Werder Bremen has a right-footed shot from the center of the box, but it's saved by goalkeeper Daniel Heuer Fernandes of Hamburger SV, who is positioned in the center of the goal. The assist comes from Marco Grüll.
90
Corner Corner
SV Werder Bremen wins a corner after Bakery Jatta concedes.
89
Red Card Red Card Important
The VAR decision is in: no red card for Bakery Jatta of Hamburger SV.
89
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for SV Werder Bremen: Niklas Stark replaces Justin Njinmah.
87
Red Card Red Card Important
The VAR decision is in: no red card for Bakery Jatta of Hamburger SV.
87
Red Card Red Card Important
Bakery Jatta from Hamburger SV receives a red card.
85
Corner Corner
SV Werder Bremen wins a corner after Damion Downs concedes.
85
Update Update
Marco Grüll from SV Werder Bremen won a free kick in an attacking position.
85
Update Update
Bakery Jatta from Hamburger SV commits a foul.
84
Attempt Attempt
Leonardo Bittencourt's left-footed shot from outside the box is blocked. The assist was provided by Olivier Deman.
83
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Hamburger SV: Damion Downs replaces Nicolás Capaldo.
82
Update Update
Nicolai Remberg from Hamburger SV won a free kick in the attacking area.
82
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Marco Grüll from SV Werder Bremen receives a yellow card for a foul.
82
Update Update
Marco Grüll from SV Werder Bremen committed a foul.
79
Red Card Red Card Important
Philip Otele from Hamburger SV receives a red card.
78
Update Update
VAR review results in an upgraded card for Philip Otele of Hamburger SV.
76
Update Update
Cameron Puertas from SV Werder Bremen won a free kick in defense.
76
Update Update
Foul committed by Philip Otele of Hamburger SV.
75
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Hamburger SV: Otto Stange replaces Ransford Königsdörffer.
75
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Hamburger SV: Bakery Jatta replaces Miro Muheim due to injury.
74
Update Update
There is a delay in the match due to an injury to Miro Muheim of Hamburger SV.
74
Corner Corner
Warmed Omari from Hamburger SV missed a chance, shooting with his left foot from outside the box, sending the ball high and wide to the left after a corner.
73
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Leonardo Bittencourt from SV Werder Bremen receives a yellow card.
73
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Hamburger SV after a concession by Amos Pieper.
72
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Hamburger SV after a concession by Marco Grüll.
72
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Hamburger SV after a concession by Yukinari Sugawara.
71
Update Update
Fábio Vieira from Hamburger SV won a free kick in the attacking area.
71
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yukinari Sugawara of SV Werder Bremen receives a yellow card for a foul.
71
Update Update
Foul committed by Senne Lynen of SV Werder Bremen.
69
Update Update
Leonardo Bittencourt from SV Werder Bremen won a free kick in defense.
69
Update Update
Leonardo Bittencourt from SV Werder Bremen won a free kick in defense.
68
Attempt Attempt
Cameron Puertas of SV Werder Bremen misses a chance with a right-footed shot from outside the box that goes high and wide to the right. The assist was provided by Justin Njinmah.
67
Update Update
Miro Muheim from Hamburger SV committed a foul.
67
Update Update
Justin Njinmah from SV Werder Bremen won a free kick in defense.
67
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for SV Werder Bremen: Leonardo Bittencourt replaces Jens Stage.
66
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Hamburger SV: Philip Otele replaces Albert Grønbæk.
66
Update Update
Foul committed by Senne Lynen of SV Werder Bremen.
66
Update Update
Fábio Vieira from Hamburger SV won a free kick in the attacking area.
62
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Hamburger SV after a concession by Senne Lynen.
61
Update Update
Foul committed by Jens Stage of SV Werder Bremen.
61
Update Update
Nicolai Remberg from Hamburger SV has won a free kick in defense.
60
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for SV Werder Bremen: Marco Grüll replaces Jovan Milosevic.
60
Update Update
Romano Schmid from SV Werder Bremen misses a chance, shooting with his right foot from outside the box, sending the ball high and wide to the right. Olivier Deman provided the assist.
59
Corner Corner
New attacking attempt. Justin Njinmah from SV Werder Bremen takes a right-footed shot from outside the box, but it's saved in the left corner by Daniel Heuer Fernandes of Hamburger SV. The assist came from Romano Schmid.
58
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Miro Muheim of Hamburger SV receives a yellow card.
57
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! SV Werder Bremen 2, Hamburger SV 1. Jens Stage scores for SV Werder Bremen with a right-footed shot from outside the box into the top right corner, assisted by Cameron Puertas.
55
Update Update
Olivier Deman of SV Werder Bremen won a free kick on the left wing.
55
Corner Corner
Jens Stage of SV Werder Bremen attempts a header from the center of the box, but it's saved in the right corner by Daniel Heuer Fernandes of Hamburger SV. The assist came from Cameron Puertas, who delivered the cross.
55
Update Update
William Mikelbrencis from Hamburger SV committed a foul.
54
Update Update
Nicolás Capaldo commits a handball for Hamburger SV.
52
Update Update
New attacking attempt. William Mikelbrencis of Hamburger SV heads the ball from the center of the box, but Mio Backhaus of SV Werder Bremen saves it in the top center of the goal. The assist comes from Miro Muheim with a cross.
51
Update Update
There is a delay in the match due to an injury to Miro Muheim from Hamburger SV.
50
Update Update
Miro Muheim from Hamburger SV won a free kick in defense.
50
Update Update
Jovan Milosevic from SV Werder Bremen commits a foul.
49
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to SV Werder Bremen after Albert Grønbæk concedes.
49
Attempt Attempt
Senne Lynen's right-footed shot from outside the box is blocked. The assist came from Romano Schmid.
48
Attempt Attempt
Albert Grønbæk's right-footed shot from the left side of the box is blocked. Nicolás Capaldo provided the assist.
48
Update Update
Nicolás Capaldo from Hamburger SV misses a chance, shooting with his right foot from the left side of the box, sending the ball high and wide to the right.
47
Update Update
Warmed Omari of Hamburger SV won a free kick in defense.
47
Update Update
Warmed Omari from Hamburger SV won a free kick in defense.
45
Corner Corner
Romano Schmid from SV Werder Bremen had a missed chance, shooting with his left foot from outside the box, but the shot went to the left after a corner.
45
Update Update
The second half begins with the match tied at 1-1 between SV Werder Bremen and Hamburger SV.
45
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Ransford Königsdörffer of Hamburger SV receives a yellow card.
45
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Olivier Deman from SV Werder Bremen receives a yellow card.
45
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated there will be 3 minutes of added time.
45
Update Update
The first half ends with the score at SV Werder Bremen 1, Hamburger SV 1.
44
Corner Corner
SV Werder Bremen wins a corner after Warmed Omari concedes.
41
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Robert Glatzel scores for Hamburger SV with a right-footed shot from the right side of the box into the top left corner. The match is now 1-1, with an assist from Nicolás Capaldo on a fast break.
37
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! SV Werder Bremen leads 1-0 against Hamburger SV. Jens Stage scores with a header from close range into the top right corner, assisted by Yukinari Sugawara's cross.
33
Update Update
Foul committed by Amos Pieper of SV Werder Bremen.
33
Update Update
Robert Glatzel of Hamburger SV won a free kick in the attacking area.
32
Attempt Attempt
New attacking attempt. Justin Njinmah of SV Werder Bremen takes a left-footed shot from outside the box, but it's saved.
30
Update Update
Fábio Vieira from Hamburger SV won a free kick in defense.
30
Update Update
Fábio Vieira from Hamburger SV won a free kick in defense.
27
Corner Corner
New attacking attempt. Fábio Vieira of Hamburger SV takes a left-footed shot from outside the box, but it's saved in the left corner by Mio Backhaus of SV Werder Bremen. The assist comes from Robert Glatzel.
26
Attempt Attempt
Ransford Königsdörffer from Hamburger SV had a missed chance, shooting with his right foot from the left side of the box, but it went close and missed. The assist was provided by Warmed Omari.
25
Update Update
Foul committed by Senne Lynen of SV Werder Bremen.
25
Update Update
Ransford Königsdörffer from Hamburger SV won a free kick in defense.
24
Update Update
Nicolás Capaldo fouled by Hamburger SV.
24
Update Update
Romano Schmid of SV Werder Bremen won a free kick on the left wing.
23
Update Update
Jovan Milosevic of SV Werder Bremen is flagged for offside.
22
Update Update
Ransford Königsdörffer from Hamburger SV won a free kick in defense.
22
Update Update
Foul committed by Yukinari Sugawara of SV Werder Bremen.
21
Attempt Attempt
Miro Muheim's left-footed shot from outside the box is blocked. The assist was provided by Fábio Vieira.
16
Update Update
Foul committed by Albert Grønbæk of Hamburger SV.
16
Update Update
Justin Njinmah of SV Werder Bremen won a free kick on the right wing.
15
Update Update
Romano Schmid from SV Werder Bremen won a free kick in the attacking area.
15
Update Update
Foul committed by Jordan Torunarigha of Hamburger SV.
13
Update Update
Offside called against Hamburger SV. Ransford Königsdörffer is offside.
13
Update Update
Foul committed by Jens Stage of SV Werder Bremen.
13
Update Update
Fábio Vieira from Hamburger SV won a free kick in the attacking area.
11
Attempt Attempt
Cameron Puertas from SV Werder Bremen missed a chance, shooting with his right foot from outside the box. The assist came from Justin Njinmah's cross.
10
Update Update
Ransford Königsdörffer of Hamburger SV commits a foul.
10
Update Update
Amos Pieper of SV Werder Bremen won a free kick in defense.
8
Attempt Attempt
Cameron Puertas of SV Werder Bremen attempts an attack with a left-footed shot from the center of the box, but it's saved by goalkeeper Daniel Heuer Fernandes of Hamburger SV. The assist came from Jovan Milosevic.
8
Update Update
Robert Glatzel from Hamburger SV won a free kick in an attacking position.
8
Update Update
Cameron Puertas of SV Werder Bremen commits a foul.
8
Update Update
Albert Grønbæk from Hamburger SV won a free kick on the left wing.
8
Update Update
Yukinari Sugawara fouled a player from SV Werder Bremen.
7
Attempt Attempt
New attacking attempt. Justin Njinmah of SV Werder Bremen takes a left-footed shot from the left side of the box, but it's saved.
7
Update Update
Karim Coulibaly of SV Werder Bremen won a free kick in defense.
7
Update Update
Foul committed by Robert Glatzel of Hamburger SV.
5
Attempt Attempt
Robert Glatzel from Hamburger SV had a missed chance, heading the ball from the center of the box just wide. The assist came from Nicolai Remberg, who also used his head.
4
Update Update
Foul committed by Jens Stage of SV Werder Bremen.
4
Update Update
Robert Glatzel of Hamburger SV was awarded a free kick on the left wing.
1
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to SV Werder Bremen after a concession by William Mikelbrencis.
1
Update Update
Senne Lynen of SV Werder Bremen won a free kick in an attacking position.
1
Update Update
Ransford Königsdörffer of Hamburger SV commits a foul.

CONCLUSION

Werder Bremen's 3-1 victory over Hamburger SV underscores their ability to exploit key moments, particularly after the opponent's red card in the second half. Level at halftime, Bremen leveraged superior possession and numerical advantage to score twice more, overcoming pre-match perceptions of HSV as the stronger team. This significant structural deviation highlights tactical discipline and finishing prowess. With market alignment confirmed, the result reflects expected value realization amid event-driven shifts. The red card distortion was decisive, altering efficiency and flow. Bremen solidify their standing, while HSV rue the sending-off that derailed their challenge.

Werder Bremen vs Hamburger SV preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

About BestPreviews Methodology & FAQ More Match Reports

How We Build This Analysis

BestPreviews combines tactical context, lineup quality, xG trends, and form data across competitions. Read the full methodology and FAQ.

Related Football Previews

Explore League Previews

Bundesliga, Germany View all league clusters View methodology and FAQ

Author

Daniels Zorge

Daniels Zorge covers football fixtures with a focus on tactical matchups, playing styles, and key details that shape each game.